Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 12
June 10, 2026 00:00
(og)
44'
Mateus Silva
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nautico Recife a 44% win probability (draw 26%, Fortaleza EC 28%). The final result was Nautico Recife 0–1 Fortaleza EC.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
3
10
Shots on target
1
2.24
Actual xG
0.19
1
Saves
9
73%
Possession
27%
10
Corners
4
10
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
36'
E. Britez
39'
Luiz Fernando
Leonai Souza
39'
44'
(og)
Mateus Silva⚽
46'
T. Pochettino
/
Vitinho
46'
Lucas Crispim
/
J. B. Miritello
52'
Rodriguinho
Igor Fernandes
/ Yuri
60'
62'
Kayke
/
Luiz Fernando
Leonai Souza
/ Ramon
64'
Derek
/ Juninho
65'
67'
Kayke
76'
Mauricio Junior
Betao
/ Wanderson
80'
Wenderson
/ Rosa
80'
80'
G. Fuentes
/
Mauricio Junior
Mateus Silva
85'
Juninho
90'+5
90'+6
J. B. Miritello
90'
Ryan
/
Lucas Sasha
Pre-match prediction
44.65%
Nautico
26.82%
X
28.53%
Fortaleza ←
we assigned to the actual result (Fortaleza EC)
28.53%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
2.24
+0.56
1.18
0.19
-1.0
Nautico Recife dominated by xG (2.24 vs 0.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Muriel
G
Muriel
G
23
Igor Fernandes
60'
D
Igor Fernandes
60'
D
3
Alberto
80'
D
Alberto
80'
D
25
Mateus Silva
1 ⚽
D
Mateus Silva
1 ⚽
D
93
Reginaldo Lopes
D
Reginaldo Lopes
D
8
Wenderson
80'
M
Wenderson
80'
M
19
Leonai
64'
M
Leonai
64'
M
29
Júnior Todinho
M
Júnior Todinho
M
10
Dodozinho
M
Dodozinho
M
7
Vinícius
M
Vinícius
M
72
Derek
64'
F
Derek
64'
F
Bench
2
Arnaldo
D
Arnaldo
D
5
Auremir
M
Auremir
M
30
Felipe Cardoso
M
Felipe Cardoso
M
55
G. Guruceaga
G
G. Guruceaga
G
18
Halan
M
Halan
M
77
Juninho
35'
M
Juninho
35'
M
14
Matheus Ribeiro
D
Matheus Ribeiro
D
40
Ramon
35'
M
Ramon
35'
M
31
Rosa
19'
F
Rosa
19'
F
41
Samuel
M
Samuel
M
34
Wanderson
19'
D
Wanderson
19'
D
6
Yuri
39'
D
Yuri
39'
D
1
João Ricardo
G
João Ricardo
G
13
Mauricio Junior
80'
D
Mauricio Junior
80'
D
3
Lucas Gazal
D
Lucas Gazal
D
4
Luan
D
Luan
D
2
E. Brítez
D
E. Brítez
D
75
Rodriguinho
52'
D
Rodriguinho
52'
D
32
Luiz Fernando
62'
M
Luiz Fernando
62'
M
29
Rodrigo
M
Rodrigo
M
88
Lucas Sasha
M
Lucas Sasha
M
11
Vitinho
45'
M
Vitinho
45'
M
9
J. Miritello
45'
F
J. Miritello
45'
F
Bench
18
G. Fuentes
19'
D
G. Fuentes
19'
D
33
Kauã Rocha
D
Kauã Rocha
D
99
Kayke
37'
F
Kayke
37'
F
10
Lucas Crispim
54'
M
Lucas Crispim
54'
M
38
Lucca
M
Lucca
M
22
Maílton
D
Maílton
D
77
Paulo Baya
F
Paulo Baya
F
8
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
37
Ryan Gustavo
9'
M
Ryan Gustavo
9'
M
7
T. Pochettino
54'
M
T. Pochettino
54'
M
25
Vinícius Silvestre
G
Vinícius Silvestre
G
31
Welliton
F
Welliton
F
Best on the pitch
João Ricardo
G · Fortaleza
10.00
· 28 pass
Dodozinho
M · Nautico
8.90
3 shots
· 50 pass
Wenderson
M · Nautico
8.30
2 shots
· 75 pass
E. Brítez
D · Fortaleza
7.90
1 shots
· 12 pass
Luan
D · Fortaleza
7.30
· 9 pass
Lucas Gazal
D · Fortaleza
7.30
· 25 pass
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muriel | G | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Igor Fernandes | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Alberto | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateus Silva | D | 99 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 67 | 63% | — | 1 | — |
| Reginaldo Lopes | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 80 | 8.30 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonai | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Júnior Todinho | M | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Dodozinho | M | 99 | 8.90 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Derek | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 4 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Juninho | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ramon | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Rosa | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wanderson | D | 19 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Yuri | D | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Fortaleza EC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Ricardo | G | 99 | 10.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Junior | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Gazal | D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Luan | D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Brítez | D | 99 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rodriguinho | D | 52 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Luiz Fernando | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo | M | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Sasha | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Miritello | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | 1 |
| G. Fuentes | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Kayke | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Crispim | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Gustavo | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Pochettino | M | 54 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nautico Recife vs Fortaleza EC?
The final score was Nautico Recife 0–1 Fortaleza EC.
What did the model predict before Nautico Recife vs Fortaleza EC?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Nautico Recife win, 26% to a draw, and 28% to an Fortaleza EC win.