Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 16
July 06, 2026 01:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nautico Recife a 43% win probability (draw 24%, Juventude 31%). The final result was Nautico Recife 0–0 Juventude.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
5
0.81
Actual xG
0.62
64%
Possession
36%
6
Corners
2
Match Events
26'
Jandrei
Junior Todinho
/ Reginaldo
43'
Derek
48'
53'
Alisson Safira
64'
Mandaca
/
Rai Silva
64'
Luan Martins
/
Lucas Mineiro
Gustavo Henrique
/ Leo Jance
64'
72'
Allanzinho
/
MP
72'
Wadson
/
Patryck
Matheus Ribeiro
79'
82'
M. Castro
/
Fabio Lima
Derek
/ Luiz Claudio
84'
Wenderson
85'
Pre-match prediction
43.4%
Nautico
24.71%
X ←
31.9%
Juventude
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
0.81
-0.67
1.28
0.62
-0.66
xG dominance was balanced (0.81 – 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nautico Recife vs Juventude?
The final score was Nautico Recife 0–0 Juventude.
What did the model predict before Nautico Recife vs Juventude?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Nautico Recife win, 24% to a draw, and 31% to an Juventude win.