Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 19
July 23, 2026 02:30
Kauan Maranhao
(ast. Jean Carlos)
35'
Jean Carlos
74'
(pen.)
82'
(ast. Joao Vitor)
Gabriel Lacerda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nautico Recife a 45% win probability (draw 25%, Londrina 29%). The final result was Nautico Recife 2–1 Londrina.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
4
1.93
Actual xG
0.95
3
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
8
Corners
7
12
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Kauan Maranhao
· ast. Jean Carlos
35'
Jean Carlos
38'
46'
Rai Nascimento
/
Kaue Leonardo
46'
Lucas Marques
/
Joao Tavares
46'
Nino Paraiba
/
Vitinho Mota
49'
Heron
Arnaldo
/ Reginaldo
56'
58'
Gilberto
/
Pablo Dyego
Samuel Felix
59'
⚽Jean Carlos
(pen.)
74'
Kauan Maranhao
/ Luiz Claudio
75'
Derek
/ Victor Andrade
75'
Luiz Claudio
77'
Igor Fernandes
81'
82'
ast. Joao Vitor ·
Gabriel Lacerda⚽
87'
Kevyn
/
Tarik
Jean Carlos
/ Auremir
89'
Samuel Felix
/ Wanderson
89'
Pre-match prediction
45.08%
Nautico ←
25.45%
X
29.47%
Londrina
we assigned to the actual result (Nautico Recife)
45.08%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
1.93
+0.55
1.21
0.95
-0.26
Nautico Recife dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Muriel
G
Muriel
G
23
Igor Fernandes
D
Igor Fernandes
D
46
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
15
Léo Índio
D
Léo Índio
D
2
Arnaldo
56'
D
Arnaldo
56'
D
8
Wenderson
M
Wenderson
M
41
Samuel
89'
M
Samuel
89'
M
20
Jean Carlos
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
M
Jean Carlos
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
M
72
Derek Freitas
75'
M
Derek Freitas
75'
M
27
Luiz Felipe
M
Luiz Felipe
M
19
Kauã Maranhão
1 ⚽
75'
F
Kauã Maranhão
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
5
Auremir
12'
M
Auremir
12'
M
3
Betão
D
Betão
D
55
Gastón Guruceaga
G
Gastón Guruceaga
G
18
Halan
M
Halan
M
37
Juan Rikelme
D
Juan Rikelme
D
16
Luiz Claudio
15'
F
Luiz Claudio
15'
F
14
Matheus Ribeiro
D
Matheus Ribeiro
D
93
Reginaldo
34'
D
Reginaldo
34'
D
11
Victor Andrade
15'
F
Victor Andrade
15'
F
34
Wanderson
11'
D
Wanderson
11'
D
30
Kozlinski
G
Kozlinski
G
34
Heron
D
Heron
D
15
Gabriel Lacerda
1 ⚽
D
Gabriel Lacerda
1 ⚽
D
3
Yago Lincoln
D
Yago Lincoln
D
75
Kauê Leonardo
45'
D
Kauê Leonardo
45'
D
5
Tarik
87'
M
Tarik
87'
M
11
Pablo Dyego
58'
M
Pablo Dyego
58'
M
20
João Vitor
1 👟
M
João Vitor
1 👟
M
32
João Tavares
45'
M
João Tavares
45'
M
7
Victor Hugo
45'
M
Victor Hugo
45'
M
18
Paulinho Moccelin
F
Paulinho Moccelin
F
Bench
22
Artur
D
Artur
D
44
Caio Rodrigues
D
Caio Rodrigues
D
9
Gilberto
32'
F
Gilberto
32'
F
33
Kevyn
13'
D
Kevyn
13'
D
1
Luan
G
Luan
G
8
Lucas Marques
45'
M
Lucas Marques
45'
M
27
Murilo Sousa
M
Murilo Sousa
M
2
Nino Paraíba
45'
D
Nino Paraíba
45'
D
6
Rafael Monteiro
D
Rafael Monteiro
D
28
Raí Nascimento
45'
F
Raí Nascimento
45'
F
4
Wallace Reis
D
Wallace Reis
D
Best on the pitch
Jean Carlos
M · Nautico
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 21 pass
Gabriel Lacerda
D · Londrina
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
Derek Freitas
M · Nautico
7.50
2 shots
· 13 pass
Muriel
G · Nautico
7.20
· 23 pass
Kauã Maranhão
F · Nautico
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
Lucas Marques
M · Londrina
7.00
· 36 pass
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muriel | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Igor Fernandes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Léo Índio | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Arnaldo | D | 56 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Samuel | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 88 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Derek Freitas | M | 75 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Felipe | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Kauã Maranhão | F | 75 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Auremir | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Claudio | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Reginaldo | D | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Victor Andrade | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Wanderson | D | 11 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Londrina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozlinski | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Heron | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Lacerda | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Yago Lincoln | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Kauê Leonardo | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tarik | M | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo Dyego | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| João Vitor | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| João Tavares | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 4 | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Paulinho Moccelin | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Gilberto | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kevyn | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Marques | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Nino Paraíba | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Raí Nascimento | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nautico Recife vs Londrina?
The final score was Nautico Recife 2–1 Londrina.
What did the model predict before Nautico Recife vs Londrina?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Nautico Recife win, 25% to a draw, and 29% to an Londrina win.