Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 32
October 09, 2026 00:30
✓Model correct — prediction Novorizontino
7'
(ast. Luís Oyama)
Nicolas Morês da Cruz
(pen.)
14'
Romulo Azevedo Simão
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Nautico Recife 22%). The final result was Nautico Recife 0–2 Novorizontino. In 1 previous meetings, Nautico Recife have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Novorizontino.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
1
Shots on target
5
3
Saves
1
66%
Possession
34%
3
Corners
4
17
Tackles
25
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
ast. Luís Oyama ·
Nicolas Morês da Cruz⚽
14'
(pen.)
Romulo Azevedo Simão⚽
18'
Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes
Alberto Magno Santos de Melo Filho
21'
Todinho
25'
32'
Leonardo Naldi de Matos
/
Matheus Henrique Bianqui
35'
Carlos Henrique de Moura Brito
/
Robson
Todinho
/ Benjamín Borasi
38'
Léo Índio
45'+2
Léo Índio
/ Wanderson Camelo Viana
45'
Derek Freitas Ribeiro
/ Kauan Almeida da Costa
45'
45'
Helio Cunha Borges
/
Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes
59'
Carlinhos
/
Gabriel Henrique Feitosa da Silva
59'
Maykon Kesley de Jesus Ramalho
/
Nicolas Morês da Cruz
64'
Leonardo Naldi de Matos
Samuel
/ Patricio Nunez\t
69'
Luan Sales
/ Paulo Sérgio
73'
Pre-match prediction
22.06%
Nautico
20.84%
X
57.1%
Novorizontino ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Novorizontino)
57.1%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
—
—
2.09
—
—
Lineups
1
Muriel
G
Muriel
G
23
Igor Fernandes
D
Igor Fernandes
D
3
Alberto
D
Alberto
D
15
Léo Índio
45'
D
Léo Índio
45'
D
2
Arnaldo
73'
D
Arnaldo
73'
D
41
Samuel
69'
M
Samuel
69'
M
8
Wenderson
M
Wenderson
M
7
Vinícius
M
Vinícius
M
10
Jean Carlos
M
Jean Carlos
M
29
Júnior Todinho
38'
M
Júnior Todinho
38'
M
72
Derek
45'
F
Derek
45'
F
Bench
5
Auremir
M
Auremir
M
24
B. Borasi
52'
M
B. Borasi
52'
M
55
G. Guruceaga
G
G. Guruceaga
G
46
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
19
Kaua Almeida da Costa
45'
F
Kaua Almeida da Costa
45'
F
27
Luiz Felipe
M
Luiz Felipe
M
9
Paulo Sérgio
17'
F
Paulo Sérgio
17'
F
22
P. Núñez
21'
M
P. Núñez
21'
M
93
Reginaldo Lopes
D
Reginaldo Lopes
D
6
Ryan
D
Ryan
D
11
Victor Andrade
F
Victor Andrade
F
34
Wanderson
45'
D
Wanderson
45'
D
93
Jordi
G
Jordi
G
5
Sander
D
Sander
D
4
Patrick
D
Patrick
D
26
Gabriel Bahia
59'
D
Gabriel Bahia
59'
D
2
Madson
D
Madson
D
30
Nicolas Careca
1 ⚽
59'
M
Nicolas Careca
1 ⚽
59'
M
6
Luis Oyama
1 👟
M
Luis Oyama
1 👟
M
17
Matheus Bianqui
32'
M
Matheus Bianqui
32'
M
41
Reidiney
45'
M
Reidiney
45'
M
11
Robson
35'
F
Robson
35'
F
10
Romulo
1 ⚽
F
Romulo
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
Carlão
55'
F
Carlão
55'
F
3
Carlinhos
31'
D
Carlinhos
31'
D
31
César
G
César
G
19
Diego Galo
M
Diego Galo
M
14
Eduardo Brock
D
Eduardo Brock
D
77
Hélio Borges
45'
F
Hélio Borges
45'
F
50
Juninho
M
Juninho
M
18
Léo Naldi
58'
M
Léo Naldi
58'
M
28
Marlon
M
Marlon
M
66
Maykon
31'
D
Maykon
31'
D
7
Ronald Barcellos
F
Ronald Barcellos
F
Best on the pitch
Romulo
F · Novorizontino
7.75
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
Nicolas Careca
M · Novorizontino
7.75
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Madson
D · Novorizontino
7.11
1 shots
· 22 pass
Sander
D · Novorizontino
6.93
1 shots
· 26 pass
Hélio Borges
F · Novorizontino
6.82
1 shots
· 6 pass
Carlinhos
D · Novorizontino
6.76
1 shots
· 7 pass
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muriel | G | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| Igor Fernandes | D | 90 | 5.66 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Alberto | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 83 | 74% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Léo Índio | D | 45 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Arnaldo | D | 73 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel | M | 69 | 5.95 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 79 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinícius | M | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 90 | 5.96 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Júnior Todinho | M | 38 | 5.71 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Derek | F | 45 | 5.94 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Borasi | M | 52 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Kaua Almeida da Costa | F | 45 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Paulo Sérgio | F | 17 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Núñez | M | 21 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Wanderson | D | 45 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
Novorizontino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordi | G | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Sander | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Patrick | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Bahia | D | 59 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Madson | D | 90 | 7.11 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicolas Careca | M | 59 | 7.75 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Oyama | M | 90 | 6.19 | — | 1 | 0 | 27 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Bianqui | M | 32 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Reidiney | M | 45 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Robson | F | 35 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Romulo | F | 90 | 7.75 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Carlão | F | 55 | 6.61 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Carlinhos | D | 31 | 6.76 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Hélio Borges | F | 45 | 6.82 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Léo Naldi | M | 58 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maykon | D | 31 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?
The final score was Nautico Recife 0–2 Novorizontino.
What did the model predict before Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Nautico Recife win, 20% to a draw, and 57% to an Novorizontino win.