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Naval 1893 - Felgueiras 1932

Taça de Portugal September 20, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.0%
Win
Naval 1893
31.27%
Draw
31.73%
Win
Felgueiras 1932
2.48
Expected xG
1.42

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.8%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 31%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 63%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Naval 1893 a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Felgueiras 1932. Expected goals are 2.5 for Naval 1893 and 1.4 for Felgueiras 1932 (total 3.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.8% probability.

Season Stats

Naval 1893
2W 0D 1L
Felgueiras 1932
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
2.0
0.7
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Naval 1893
1W 0D 1L · at home
Felgueiras 1932
1W 0D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.0
0.5
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
50%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Naval 1893 Felgueiras 1932 →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0% 2.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.1% 7.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.3% 8.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.2% 7.3% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

W AD Nogueirense 1–3
L Leixoes 0–1
W Académico do Fundão 3–0
L Atlético CP 2–0
W Sanjoanense 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Naval 1893 Naval 1893
Attack
42
Defence
67
Form
58
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
Attack
23
Defence
80
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Naval 1893 vs Felgueiras 1932?
The model gives Naval 1893 a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Felgueiras 1932 win.
How many goals are expected in Naval 1893 vs Felgueiras 1932?
Expected goals: Naval 1893 2.5, Felgueiras 1932 1.4 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Naval 1893 vs Felgueiras 1932?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.8%.