Premier League
· Final
May 10, 2026 11:00
22'
A. Kozic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mosta a 39% win probability (draw 31%, Naxxar Lions 28%). The final result was Naxxar Lions 0–1 Mosta. In 3 previous meetings, Naxxar Lions have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mosta.
Match statistics
Match Events
22'
A. Kozic⚽
43'
Leo Fernandes
F. Bugeja
49'
60'
Willian
/
A. Kozic
C. Gauci
/ G. Costa Goncalves
64'
Theo Kruger
/ M. Micallef
64'
70'
A. Udoh
74'
Pedro Cacho
F. Bugeja
75'
F. Bugeja
75'
Vitinho
/ C. Kontchou
79'
Vinicius Baiano
/ S. Guehi
79'
79'
Agius
/
Pedro Cacho
79'
C. Oderinde
/
Leo Fernandes
82'
Agius
82'
90'+4
S. Cachia
/
N. Portelli
90'+4
C. Diamanka
/
Giancarlo
Pre-match prediction
28.67%
Naxxar
31.56%
X
39.77%
Mosta ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mosta)
39.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
—
—
1.22
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Mosta?
The final score was Naxxar Lions 0–1 Mosta.
What did the model predict before Naxxar Lions vs Mosta?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Naxxar Lions win, 31% to a draw, and 39% to an Mosta win.