Nazarenos - Vitória de Sernache
Taça de Portugal
August 30, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Nazarenos
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Vitória de Sernache
3.55
0.3
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.3%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Nazarenos a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Vitória de Sernache. Expected goals are 3.5 for Nazarenos and 0.3 for Vitória de Sernache (total 3.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.3% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
1.0
0.5
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Nazarenos
Vitória de Sernache →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 1 | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 2 | 13.4% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 15.8% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 14.0% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 10.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Nazarenos
Attack
12
Defence
87
Form
53
Vitória de Sernache
Attack
3
Defence
5
Form
18
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Nazarenos vs Vitória de Sernache?
The model gives Nazarenos a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Vitória de Sernache win.
How many goals are expected in Nazarenos vs Vitória de Sernache?
Expected goals: Nazarenos 3.5, Vitória de Sernache 0.3 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Nazarenos vs Vitória de Sernache?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.3%.