Skip to main content
← Europa League

NEC Nijmegen - Benfica

Europa League January 21, 2027 18:45
NEC Nijmegen
#20 · 4 pts
vs
Benfica
#1 · 9 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
20.55%
Win
NEC Nijmegen
18.02%
Draw
61.43%
Win
Benfica
1.34
Expected xG
3.06
Most likely outcome
Benfica
61.43%
Probability
65.4%
1X2 accuracy · 26 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.49%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 21%
X 18%
2 61%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 39%
X2 80%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 76%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Benfica a 61% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 20% for NEC Nijmegen. Expected goals are 1.3 for NEC Nijmegen and 3.1 for Benfica (total 4.4), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.49% probability.

Season Stats

NEC Nijmegen
1W 1D 1L
Benfica
7W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
3.2
2.7
Conceded
0.9
5.7
Shots OT
8.9
3.0
Corners
6.1
48%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
78%
67%
BTTS
78%
0%
Clean Sht
22%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
90%
BTTS
NEC Nijmegen
0W 1D 0L · at home
Benfica
3W 1D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
2.2
1.0
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
60%
100%
Win or Draw
80%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
60%
0%
O 3.5
40%
100%
BTTS
80%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ NEC Nijmegen Benfica →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2% 3.8% 5.8% 5.9% 4.5% 2.7%
1 1.7% 5.0% 7.7% 7.9% 6.0% 3.7%
2 1.1% 3.4% 5.2% 5.3% 4.0% 2.5%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
5 — 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
W Dinamo Zagreb 2–4
D Levski Sofia 1–1
L Juventus 5–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Benfica Benfica
W Omonia Nicosia 1–4
W Celtic 4–1
W AC Milan 0–2
W Aarhus 1–3
W Aarhus 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
Attack
45
Defence
49
Form
34
Benfica Benfica
Attack
63
Defence
67
Form
77
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica?
The model gives NEC Nijmegen a 20% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 61% for an Benfica win.
How many goals are expected in NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica?
Expected goals: NEC Nijmegen 1.3, Benfica 3.1 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.49%.