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NEC Nijmegen - Benfica

Europa League January 21, 2027 18:45
NEC Nijmegen
#24 · 0 pts
vs
Benfica
#4 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
20.55%
Win
NEC Nijmegen
18.02%
Draw
61.43%
Win
Benfica
1.34
Expected xG
3.06
Most likely outcome
Benfica
61.43%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.49%)
1X2 Result
1 21%
X 18%
2 61%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 39%
X2 80%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 76%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Benfica a 61% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 20% for NEC Nijmegen. Expected goals are 1.3 for NEC Nijmegen and 3.1 for Benfica (total 4.4), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.49% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ NEC Nijmegen Benfica →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2% 3.8% 5.8% 5.9% 4.5% 2.7%
1 1.7% 5.0% 7.7% 7.9% 6.0% 3.7%
2 1.1% 3.4% 5.2% 5.3% 4.0% 2.5%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
5 — 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
No data available
Benfica Benfica
W Aarhus 1–3
W Aarhus 3–1
D Heart Of Midlothian 1–1
W Heart Of Midlothian 6–1
W FC ST. Gallen 5–0

Playing profile

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
Attack
39
Defence
47
Form
34
Benfica Benfica
Attack
74
Defence
83
Form
77
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica?
The model gives NEC Nijmegen a 20% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 61% for an Benfica win.
How many goals are expected in NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica?
Expected goals: NEC Nijmegen 1.3, Benfica 3.1 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.49%.