Kevin Kers
(ast. Dennis Geiger)
28'
Willum Thor Willumsson
(ast. Perr Schuurs)
90'+3
18'
(ast. Rodrigo Guth)
Anthony Descotte
48'
(ast. Shiloh 't Zand)
Anthony Descotte
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NEC Nijmegen a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Fortuna Sittard 33%). The final result was NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard. In 2 previous meetings, NEC Nijmegen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Fortuna Sittard.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
3.06
Actual xG
0.45
1
Saves
5
74%
Possession
26%
13
Corners
0
14
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
ast. Rodrigo Guth ·
Anthony Descotte⚽
⚽Kevin Kers
· ast. Dennis Geiger
28'
38'
Shiloh 't Zand
45'
Kristoffer Peterson
/
Sven Simons
48'
ast. Shiloh 't Zand ·
Anthony Descotte⚽
54'
Rodrigo Guth
Noe Lebreton
/ Kaj Sierhuis
63'
Kevin Kers
/ Adam Tahaui
63'
Deveron Fonville
/ Mitchel Bakker
63'
70'
Daley Sinkgraven
/
Lequincio Zeefuik
81'
Siebe Wylin
/
Shiloh 't Zand
Jamiro Monteiro
/ Perr Schuurs
84'
Tobias Storm
/ Willum Thor Willumsson
84'
86'
Nick de Groot
/
Syb Van Ottele
88'
⚽Willum Thor Willumsson
· ast. Perr Schuurs
90'+3
⚽Mitchel Bakker
(missed pen.)
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.35%
NEC
29.67%
X ←
33.99%
Fortuna
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
3.06
+2.08
1.19
0.45
-0.74
NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (3.06 vs 0.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G. Crettaz
G
G. Crettaz
G
24
Deveron Fonville
63'
D
Deveron Fonville
63'
D
22
A. Kaplan
D
A. Kaplan
D
21
T. Storm
84'
D
T. Storm
84'
D
35
Jamiro Monteiro
84'
M
Jamiro Monteiro
84'
M
18
D. Geiger
1 👟
M
D. Geiger
1 👟
M
6
D. Nejašmić
M
D. Nejašmić
M
34
Kevin Kers
1 ⚽
63'
M
Kevin Kers
1 ⚽
63'
M
99
Clement Bischoff
M
Clement Bischoff
M
20
N. Lebreton
63'
M
N. Lebreton
63'
M
30
B. Linssen
F
B. Linssen
F
Bench
19
Adam Tahaui
27'
F
Adam Tahaui
27'
F
66
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
D
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
D
73
Gabriel Brás
D
Gabriel Brás
D
8
I. Hansen-Aarøen
M
I. Hansen-Aarøen
M
38
Joep Geneste
G
Joep Geneste
G
14
K. Sierhuis
27'
F
K. Sierhuis
27'
F
5
M. Bakker
27'
D
M. Bakker
27'
D
12
N. Polster
G
N. Polster
G
4
P. Schuurs
1 👟
6'
D
P. Schuurs
1 👟
6'
D
9
T. Chery
M
T. Chery
M
11
W. Willumsson
1 ⚽
6'
M
W. Willumsson
1 ⚽
6'
M
42
Y. Moslih
D
Y. Moslih
D
31
M. Branderhorst
G
M. Branderhorst
G
28
Justin Quincy Hubner
D
Justin Quincy Hubner
D
23
P. Brittijn
D
P. Brittijn
D
3
Rodrigo Guth
1 👟
D
Rodrigo Guth
1 👟
D
6
S. van Ottele
86'
D
S. van Ottele
86'
D
12
Ivo Pinto
D
Ivo Pinto
D
22
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
1 👟
81'
M
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
1 👟
81'
M
20
É. Michut
M
É. Michut
M
14
S. Simons
45'
M
S. Simons
45'
M
25
L. Zeefuik
70'
F
L. Zeefuik
70'
F
9
A. Descotte
2 ⚽
F
A. Descotte
2 ⚽
F
Bench
24
D. Sinkgraven
20'
D
D. Sinkgraven
20'
D
39
Ganni Buyukhan
M
Ganni Buyukhan
M
7
K. Peterson
45'
F
K. Peterson
45'
F
33
K. Reitmaier
G
K. Reitmaier
G
1
L. Koopmans
G
L. Koopmans
G
52
M. Ihattaren
M
M. Ihattaren
M
38
Moussa Gbemou
M
Moussa Gbemou
M
15
N. de Groot
4'
D
N. de Groot
4'
D
2
S. Wylin
9'
D
S. Wylin
9'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Descotte
F · Fortuna
9.01
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
Kevin Kers
M · NEC
8.07
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
D. Geiger
M · NEC
7.70
1 👟
· 86 pass
W. Willumsson
M · NEC
7.53
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
M. Bakker
D · NEC
7.32
1 shots
· 26 pass
A. Kaplan
D · NEC
7.02
1 shots
· 88 pass
NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Crettaz | G | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 63 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 70 | 66% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Kaplan | D | 90 | 7.02 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 84% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Storm | D | 84 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 87 | 82% | 3 | — | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | 84 | 6.48 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Geiger | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 0 | 86 | 76% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Nejašmić | M | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Kers | M | 63 | 8.07 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Clement Bischoff | M | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 5 | 41 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Lebreton | M | 63 | 6.39 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Linssen | F | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Adam Tahaui | F | 27 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Sierhuis | F | 27 | 6.03 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Bakker | D | 27 | 7.32 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Schuurs | D | 6 | 6.41 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Willumsson | M | 6 | 7.53 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Fortuna Sittard — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Branderhorst | G | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Justin Quincy Hubner | D | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Brittijn | D | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Guth | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. van Ottele | D | 86 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Ivo Pinto | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 9% | 7 | — | — |
| Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand | M | 81 | 6.64 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| É. Michut | M | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Simons | M | 45 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Zeefuik | F | 70 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Descotte | F | 90 | 9.01 | 2 | — | 3 | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Sinkgraven | D | 20 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Peterson | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| N. de Groot | D | 4 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Wylin | D | 9 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
The final score was NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard.
What did the model predict before NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
The model assigned 36% probability to a NEC Nijmegen win, 29% to a draw, and 33% to an Fortuna Sittard win.