Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28 March 22, 2026 12:15 Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

#10 · 0 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Heerenveen

#8 · 0 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction NEC Nijmegen, result Draw

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NEC Nijmegen a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Heerenveen 19%). The final result was NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Heerenveen. In 1 previous meetings, NEC Nijmegen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Heerenveen.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

5

2.22

Actual xG

1.38

54%

Possession

46%

6

Corners

2

Pre-match prediction

62.13%

NEC

18.79%

X ←

19.08%

Heerenveen

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.79% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

NEC

2.42

2.22

-0.2

Heerenveen

1.24

1.38

+0.14

NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (2.22 vs 1.38). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Cambuur	0	0
2	Fortuna Sittard	0	0
3	Telstar	0	0
4	PEC Zwolle	0	0
5	PSV Eindhoven	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0
7	Twente	0	0
8	Heerenveen	0	0
9	Feyenoord	0	0
10	NEC Nijmegen	0	0
11	Utrecht	0	0
12	AZ Alkmaar	0	0
13	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0
14	Willem II	0	0
15	Excelsior	0	0
16	ADO Den Haag	0	0
17	GO Ahead Eagles	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0