✗Model wrong — prediction Levski Sofia, result Draw
Tjaronn Chery
64'
35'
(ast. Svetoslav Vutsov)
Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Levski Sofia a 57% win probability (draw 18%, NEC Nijmegen 24%). The final result was NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
2
2.16
Actual xG
1.28
1
Saves
8
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
1
24
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
17'
Noe Lebreton
24'
35'
ast. Svetoslav Vutsov ·
Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno⚽
62'
Armstrong Oko-Flex
/
David Kusso
62'
Gasper Trdin
/
Mehdi Moubarik
⚽Tjaronn Chery
64'
Perr Schuurs
/ Ahmetcan Kaplan
75'
75'
Mazire Soula
/
Marko Grujić
75'
Juan Esteban Perea Sanchez
/
Francisco Everton Mota de Castro
Dušan Tadić
/ Willum Thor Willumsson
84'
Clement Bischoff
/ Dennis Geiger
84'
Noe Lebreton
/ Almugera Kabar
90'+2
Gabriel·Bras
/ Yassin Moslih
90'+2
90'+4
Álex Centelles
/
Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno
Pre-match prediction
24.33%
NEC
18.1%
X ←
57.57%
Levski
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
18.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
2.16
+1.01
2.58
1.28
-1.3
NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (2.16 vs 1.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G. Crettaz
G
G. Crettaz
G
24
Deveron Fonville
D
Deveron Fonville
D
4
P. Schuurs
75'
D
P. Schuurs
75'
D
73
Gabriel Brás
89'
D
Gabriel Brás
89'
D
99
Clement Bischoff
84'
M
Clement Bischoff
84'
M
20
N. Lebreton
89'
M
N. Lebreton
89'
M
6
D. Nejašmić
M
D. Nejašmić
M
34
Kevin Kers
M
Kevin Kers
M
10
D. Tadić
84'
F
D. Tadić
84'
F
30
B. Linssen
F
B. Linssen
F
9
T. Chery
1 ⚽
F
T. Chery
1 ⚽
F
Bench
22
A. Kaplan
15'
D
A. Kaplan
15'
D
66
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
1'
D
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
1'
D
18
D. Geiger
6'
M
D. Geiger
6'
M
35
Jamiro Monteiro
M
Jamiro Monteiro
M
38
Joep Geneste
G
Joep Geneste
G
14
K. Sierhuis
F
K. Sierhuis
F
12
N. Polster
G
N. Polster
G
11
W. Willumsson
6'
M
W. Willumsson
6'
M
42
Y. Moslih
1'
D
Y. Moslih
1'
D
92
S. Vutsov
1 👟
G
3
Maicon
D
4
C. Makoun
D
50
K. Dimitrov
D
21
Aldair
D
19
E. El Moubarik
62'
M
8
M. Grujić
75'
M
35
Serginho
M
17
Everton Bala
75'
F
7
Reinaldo
1 ⚽
89'
F
27
David Kusso
62'
F
David Kusso
62'
F
Bench
20
Álex Centelles
1'
D
11
A. Oko-Flex
28'
F
18
G. Trdin
28'
M
G. Trdin
28'
M
2
Hevertton Santos
D
Hevertton Santos
D
9
J. Perea
15'
F
78
M. Lukov
G
M. Lukov
G
22
M. Soula
15'
F
31
N. Serafimov
D
1
O. Vladimirov
G
Best on the pitch
S. Vutsov
G · Levski
8.43
1 👟
· 73 pass
T. Chery
F · NEC
7.94
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 33 pass
Reinaldo
F · Levski
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 20 pass
Aldair
D · Levski
7.07
· 31 pass
Gabriel Brás
D · NEC
6.98
· 47 pass
M. Soula
F · Levski
6.92
· 5 pass
NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Crettaz | G | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 75 | 61% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Schuurs | D | 75 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Gabriel Brás | D | 89 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 41% | 5 | — | — |
| Clement Bischoff | M | 84 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Lebreton | M | 89 | 6.45 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Nejašmić | M | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Kers | M | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Tadić | F | 84 | 6.29 | — | — | 4 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Linssen | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Chery | F | 90 | 7.94 | 1 | — | 5 | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Kaplan | D | 15 | 5.98 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar | D | 1 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Geiger | M | 6 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Willumsson | M | 6 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Moslih | D | 1 | 6.14 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Levski Sofia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Vutsov | G | 90 | 8.43 | — | 1 | 0 | 73 | 43% | 0 | — | — |
| Maicon | D | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| C. Makoun | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Dimitrov | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| Aldair | D | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| E. El Moubarik | M | 62 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Grujić | M | 75 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Serginho | M | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Everton Bala | F | 75 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Reinaldo | F | 89 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| David Kusso | F | 62 | 6.21 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Álex Centelles | D | 1 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Oko-Flex | F | 28 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Trdin | M | 28 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Perea | F | 15 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Soula | F | 15 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
The final score was NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia.
What did the model predict before NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
The model assigned 24% probability to a NEC Nijmegen win, 18% to a draw, and 57% to an Levski Sofia win.