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NEC Nijmegen - Levski Sofia

Europa League October 15, 2026 21:00
NEC Nijmegen
#24 · 0 pts
vs
Levski Sofia
#19 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.66%
Win
NEC Nijmegen
24.47%
Draw
41.87%
Win
Levski Sofia
1.29
Expected xG
1.53

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.22%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 24%
2 42%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 58%
X2 66%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 67%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Levski Sofia a 41% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 33% for NEC Nijmegen. Expected goals are 1.3 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.5 for Levski Sofia (total 2.8), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.22% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ NEC Nijmegen Levski Sofia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0% 9.1% 7.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
1 7.7% 11.8% 9.0% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.0% 7.6% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% —
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
L SC Braga 1–0
D SC Braga 0–0
D Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–0
D Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
Attack
45
Defence
51
Form
39
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
Attack
44
Defence
77
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
The model gives NEC Nijmegen a 33% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 41% for an Levski Sofia win.
How many goals are expected in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
Expected goals: NEC Nijmegen 1.3, Levski Sofia 1.5 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.22%.