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NEC Nijmegen - Olympiakos Piraeus

Champions League August 11, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
52.5%
Win
NEC Nijmegen
22.64%
Draw
24.86%
Win
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.82
Expected xG
1.33

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.38%)
1X2 Result
1 53%
X 23%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 48%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 68%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives NEC Nijmegen a 52% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Olympiakos Piraeus. Expected goals are 2.8 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.3 for Olympiakos Piraeus (total 4.1), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.38% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ NEC Nijmegen Olympiakos Piraeus →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.5% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
2 6.3% 8.3% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.2% 5.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.3% 3.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
D Bayer Leverkusen 0–0
L Bayer Leverkusen 0–2
W Ajax 1–2
W Bayer Leverkusen 2–0
W Kairat Almaty 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
Attack
51
Defence
63
Form
57
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
Attack
34
Defence
62
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model gives NEC Nijmegen a 52% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 24% for an Olympiakos Piraeus win.
How many goals are expected in NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Expected goals: NEC Nijmegen 2.8, Olympiakos Piraeus 1.3 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.38%.