← Eredivisie
#4 · 56 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#15 · 34 pts
Model wrong — prediction NEC Nijmegen, result Pareggio
T. Chery (ast. Danilo Pereira) 85'
32' (ast. C. Hatenboer) S. van Duijn

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NEC Nijmegen a 63% win probability (draw 20%, Telstar 16%). The final result was NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Telstar. In 1 previous meetings, NEC Nijmegen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Telstar.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
4
1.95
Actual xG
1.22
3
Saves
5
70%
Possession
30%
9
Corners
0
9
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
P. Sandler
21'
N. Lebreton
30'
32'
ast. C. Hatenboer · S. van Duijn
37'
G. Offerhaus
52'
S. Hetli / T. Owusu
E. Dasa / Danilo Pereira
67'
N. Lebreton / Y. El Kachati
67'
B. Linssen / B. Pereira
67'
B. Nuytinck / K. Ogawa
67'
74'
K. Tejan / S. van Duijn
74'
J. Seedorf / T. Noslin
82'
R. Koeman
T. Chery · ast. Danilo Pereira
85'
88'
D. Fonville
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
63.32%
NEC
20.32%
X ←
16.36%
Telstar
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NEC
2.65
1.95
-0.7
Telstar
1.31
1.22
-0.09
NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.22). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-4-1-2
1
G 7.20
24 Deveron Fonville Deveron Fonville D 7.20
17 Bram Nuytinck Bram Nuytinck 67' D 6.20
14 Eli Dasa Eli Dasa 66' D 7.00
20 N. Lebreton N. Lebreton 67' M 6.30
3 P. Sandler P. Sandler M 7.20
6
M 7.30
25 S. Ouaissa S. Ouaissa M 7.20
23 K. Sano K. Sano F 6.90
30 B. Linssen B. Linssen 67' F 7.00
10 T. Chery T. Chery 1 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
9 Danilo Danilo 1 👟 33' F 6.60
18 Koki Ogawa Koki Ogawa 32' F 6.50
34 Youssef el Kachati Youssef el Kachati 32' F 6.70
Telstar Telstar 3-4-2-1
1 Ronald Koeman Jr Ronald Koeman Jr G 8.60
6 D. Bakker D. Bakker D 7.90
21 Devon Koswal Devon Koswal D 6.90
14
D 6.90
2 J. Hardeveld J. Hardeveld M 6.60
23
M 6.20
4 G. Offerhaus G. Offerhaus M 6.50
11 Tyrese Noslin Tyrese Noslin 74' M 6.90
27 P. Brouwer P. Brouwer F 7.30
8
T. Owusu 52' F 6.30
37 Sem van Duijn Sem van Duijn 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.60
Bench
9 Jelani Seedorf Jelani Seedorf 25' F 6.20
5 Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo D
Best on the pitch
Ronald Koeman Jr
Ronald Koeman Jr
G · Telstar
8.60
· 45 pass
T. Chery
T. Chery
F · NEC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
D. Bakker
D. Bakker
D · Telstar
7.90
1 shots · 33 pass
Sem van Duijn
Sem van Duijn
F · Telstar
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
P. Brouwer
P. Brouwer
F · Telstar
7.30
1 shots · 10 pass
M · NEC
7.30
· 52 pass
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 7.20 49 38%
Deveron Fonville D 99 7.20 84 76% 1 1
Bram Nuytinck D 67 6.20 67 58%
Eli Dasa D 66 7.00 1 60 55%
N. Lebreton M 67 6.30 2 24 18% 2 1
P. Sandler M 99 7.20 2 62 51% 1
M 99 7.30 52 46% 4
S. Ouaissa M 99 7.20 2 32 24%
K. Sano F 99 6.90 2 33 30% 2
B. Linssen F 67 7.00 2 6 5%
T. Chery F 99 8.30 1 2 37 34%
Danilo F 33 6.60 1 7 6%
Koki Ogawa F 32 6.50 3 2 1%
Youssef el Kachati F 32 6.70 5 4%
Telstar Telstar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ronald Koeman Jr G 99 8.60 45 27% 1
D. Bakker D 99 7.90 1 33 23% 4
Devon Koswal D 99 6.90 11 8%
D 99 6.90 21 16% 1
J. Hardeveld M 99 6.60 25 13% 3
M 99 6.20 2 17 8% 1
G. Offerhaus M 99 6.50 31 24% 1
Tyrese Noslin M 74 6.90 9 7% 2
P. Brouwer F 99 7.30 1 10 5% 2
T. Owusu F 52 6.30 1 5 3%
Sem van Duijn F 74 7.60 1 1 15 10% 1
Jelani Seedorf F 25 6.20 1 6 4%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
The final score was NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Telstar.
What did the model predict before NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
The model assigned 63% probability to a NEC Nijmegen win, 20% to a draw, and 16% to an Telstar win.