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#9 · 7 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#14 · 4 pts
Model wrong — prediction NEC Nijmegen, result Draw
T. Chery (ast. Danilo Pereira) 85'
32' (ast. C. Hatenboer) S. van Duijn
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NEC Nijmegen a 63% win probability (draw 20%, Telstar 16%). The final result was NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Telstar. In 2 previous meetings, NEC Nijmegen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Telstar.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
4
1.95
Actual xG
1.22
3
Saves
5
70%
Possession
30%
9
Corners
0
9
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
P. Sandler
21'
N. Lebreton
30'
32'
ast. C. Hatenboer · S. van Duijn
37'
G. Offerhaus
52'
S. Hetli / T. Owusu
E. Dasa / Danilo Pereira
67'
N. Lebreton / Y. El Kachati
67'
B. Linssen / B. Pereira
67'
B. Nuytinck / K. Ogawa
67'
74'
K. Tejan / S. van Duijn
74'
J. Seedorf / T. Noslin
82'
R. Koeman
T. Chery · ast. Danilo Pereira
85'
88'
D. Fonville
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
63.32%
NEC
20.32%
X ←
16.36%
Telstar
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NEC
2.65
1.95
-0.7
Telstar
1.31
1.22
-0.09
NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.22). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 5 10
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 5 8
8 Ajax Ajax 4 7
9 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5 7
10 Groningen Groningen 5 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
16 Willem II Willem II 5 2
17 Cambuur Cambuur 5 1
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-4-1-2
1
G 7.20
24 Deveron Fonville Deveron Fonville D 7.20
17 B. Nuytinck B. Nuytinck 67' D 6.20
14 Eli Dasa Eli Dasa 66' D 7.00
20 N. Lebreton N. Lebreton 67' M 6.30
3 P. Sandler P. Sandler M 7.20
6
M 7.30
25 Sami Ouaissa Sami Ouaissa M 7.20
23 K. Sano K. Sano F 6.90
30 B. Linssen B. Linssen 67' F 7.00
10 T. Chery T. Chery 1 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
9 Danilo Danilo 1 👟 33' F 6.60
18 Koki Ogawa Koki Ogawa 32' F 6.50
34 Y. El Kachati Y. El Kachati 32' F 6.70
Telstar Telstar 3-4-2-1
1 R. Koeman R. Koeman G 8.60
6 D. Bakker D. Bakker D 7.90
21 Devon Koswal Devon Koswal D 6.90
14
D 6.90
2 J. Hardeveld J. Hardeveld M 6.60
23
M 6.20
4 G. Offerhaus G. Offerhaus M 6.50
11 T. Noslin T. Noslin 74' M 6.90
27 P. Brouwer P. Brouwer F 7.30
8 T. Owusu T. Owusu 52' F 6.30
37 S. van Duijn S. van Duijn 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.60
Bench
9 Jelani Seedorf Jelani Seedorf 25' F 6.20
5 N. Ogidi Nwankwo N. Ogidi Nwankwo D
Best on the pitch
R. Koeman
R. Koeman
G · Telstar
8.60
· 45 pass
T. Chery
T. Chery
F · NEC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
D. Bakker
D. Bakker
D · Telstar
7.90
1 shots · 33 pass
S. van Duijn
S. van Duijn
F · Telstar
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
P. Brouwer
P. Brouwer
F · Telstar
7.30
1 shots · 10 pass
M · NEC
7.30
· 52 pass
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 7.20 49 38%
Deveron Fonville D 99 7.20 84 76% 1 1
B. Nuytinck D 67 6.20 67 58%
Eli Dasa D 66 7.00 1 60 55%
N. Lebreton M 67 6.30 2 24 18% 2 1
P. Sandler M 99 7.20 2 62 51% 1
M 99 7.30 52 46% 4
Sami Ouaissa M 99 7.20 2 32 24%
K. Sano F 99 6.90 2 33 30% 2
B. Linssen F 67 7.00 2 6 5%
T. Chery F 99 8.30 1 2 37 34%
Danilo F 33 6.60 1 7 6%
Koki Ogawa F 32 6.50 3 2 1%
Y. El Kachati F 32 6.70 5 4%
Telstar Telstar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Koeman G 99 8.60 45 27% 1
D. Bakker D 99 7.90 1 33 23% 4
Devon Koswal D 99 6.90 11 8%
D 99 6.90 21 16% 1
J. Hardeveld M 99 6.60 25 13% 3
M 99 6.20 2 17 8% 1
G. Offerhaus M 99 6.50 31 24% 1
T. Noslin M 74 6.90 9 7% 2
P. Brouwer F 99 7.30 1 10 5% 2
T. Owusu F 52 6.30 1 5 3%
S. van Duijn F 74 7.60 1 1 15 10% 1
Jelani Seedorf F 25 6.20 1 6 4%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
The final score was NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Telstar.
What did the model predict before NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
The model assigned 63% probability to a NEC Nijmegen win, 20% to a draw, and 16% to an Telstar win.