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#3 · 59 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#14 · 37 pts
Model wrong — prediction NEC Nijmegen, result Draw
T. Chery (ast. Danilo Pereira) 85'
32' (ast. C. Hatenboer) S. van Duijn
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NEC Nijmegen a 63% win probability (draw 20%, Telstar 16%). The final result was NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Telstar. In 1 previous meetings, NEC Nijmegen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Telstar.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
4
1.95
Actual xG
1.22
3
Saves
5
70%
Possession
30%
9
Corners
0
9
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
P. Sandler
21'
N. Lebreton
30'
32'
ast. C. Hatenboer · S. van Duijn
37'
G. Offerhaus
52'
S. Hetli / T. Owusu
E. Dasa / Danilo Pereira
67'
N. Lebreton / Y. El Kachati
67'
B. Linssen / B. Pereira
67'
B. Nuytinck / K. Ogawa
67'
74'
K. Tejan / S. van Duijn
74'
J. Seedorf / T. Noslin
82'
R. Koeman
T. Chery · ast. Danilo Pereira
85'
88'
D. Fonville
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
63.32%
NEC
20.32%
X ←
16.36%
Telstar
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NEC
2.65
1.95
-0.7
Telstar
1.31
1.22
-0.09
NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.22). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 34 84
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 34 65
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 34 59
4 Twente Twente 34 58
5 Ajax Ajax 34 56
6 Utrecht Utrecht 34 53
7 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 34 52
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 34 51
9 Groningen Groningen 34 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 34 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 34 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 34 38
13 Excelsior Excelsior 34 38
14 Telstar Telstar 34 37
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 34 37
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 34 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 34 29
18 Heracles Heracles 34 19
Lineups
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-4-1-2
1
G 7.20
24 Deveron Fonville Deveron Fonville D 7.20
17 Bram Nuytinck Bram Nuytinck 67' D 6.20
14 Eli Dasa Eli Dasa 66' D 7.00
20 N. Lebreton N. Lebreton 67' M 6.30
3 P. Sandler P. Sandler M 7.20
6
M 7.30
25 S. Ouaissa S. Ouaissa M 7.20
23 K. Sano K. Sano F 6.90
30 B. Linssen B. Linssen 67' F 7.00
10 T. Chery T. Chery 1 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
9 Danilo Danilo 1 👟 33' F 6.60
18 Koki Ogawa Koki Ogawa 32' F 6.50
34 Youssef el Kachati Youssef el Kachati 32' F 6.70
Telstar Telstar 3-4-2-1
1 Ronald Koeman Jr Ronald Koeman Jr G 8.60
6 D. Bakker D. Bakker D 7.90
21 Devon Koswal Devon Koswal D 6.90
14
D 6.90
2 J. Hardeveld J. Hardeveld M 6.60
23
M 6.20
4 G. Offerhaus G. Offerhaus M 6.50
11 T. Noslin T. Noslin 74' M 6.90
27 P. Brouwer P. Brouwer F 7.30
8 Tyrone Owusu Tyrone Owusu 52' F 6.30
37 Sem van Duijn Sem van Duijn 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.60
Bench
9 Jelani Seedorf Jelani Seedorf 25' F 6.20
5 Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo D
Best on the pitch
Ronald Koeman Jr
Ronald Koeman Jr
G · Telstar
8.60
· 45 pass
T. Chery
T. Chery
F · NEC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
D. Bakker
D. Bakker
D · Telstar
7.90
1 shots · 33 pass
Sem van Duijn
Sem van Duijn
F · Telstar
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
P. Brouwer
P. Brouwer
F · Telstar
7.30
1 shots · 10 pass
M · NEC
7.30
· 52 pass
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 7.20 49 38%
Deveron Fonville D 99 7.20 84 76% 1 1
Bram Nuytinck D 67 6.20 67 58%
Eli Dasa D 66 7.00 1 60 55%
N. Lebreton M 67 6.30 2 24 18% 2 1
P. Sandler M 99 7.20 2 62 51% 1
M 99 7.30 52 46% 4
S. Ouaissa M 99 7.20 2 32 24%
K. Sano F 99 6.90 2 33 30% 2
B. Linssen F 67 7.00 2 6 5%
T. Chery F 99 8.30 1 2 37 34%
Danilo F 33 6.60 1 7 6%
Koki Ogawa F 32 6.50 3 2 1%
Youssef el Kachati F 32 6.70 5 4%
Telstar Telstar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ronald Koeman Jr G 99 8.60 45 27% 1
D. Bakker D 99 7.90 1 33 23% 4
Devon Koswal D 99 6.90 11 8%
D 99 6.90 21 16% 1
J. Hardeveld M 99 6.60 25 13% 3
M 99 6.20 2 17 8% 1
G. Offerhaus M 99 6.50 31 24% 1
T. Noslin M 74 6.90 9 7% 2
P. Brouwer F 99 7.30 1 10 5% 2
Tyrone Owusu F 52 6.30 1 5 3%
Sem van Duijn F 74 7.60 1 1 15 10% 1
Jelani Seedorf F 25 6.20 1 6 4%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
The final score was NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Telstar.
What did the model predict before NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
The model assigned 63% probability to a NEC Nijmegen win, 20% to a draw, and 16% to an Telstar win.