✗Model wrong — prediction NEC Nijmegen, result Draw
T. Chery
(ast. Danilo Pereira)
85'
32'
(ast. C. Hatenboer)
S. van Duijn
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NEC Nijmegen a 63% win probability (draw 20%, Telstar 16%). The final result was NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Telstar. In 2 previous meetings, NEC Nijmegen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Telstar.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
4
1.95
Actual xG
1.22
3
Saves
5
70%
Possession
30%
9
Corners
0
9
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
P. Sandler
21'
N. Lebreton
30'
32'
ast. C. Hatenboer ·
S. van Duijn⚽
37'
G. Offerhaus
52'
S. Hetli
/
T. Owusu
E. Dasa
/ Danilo Pereira
67'
N. Lebreton
/ Y. El Kachati
67'
B. Linssen
/ B. Pereira
67'
B. Nuytinck
/ K. Ogawa
67'
74'
K. Tejan
/
S. van Duijn
74'
J. Seedorf
/
T. Noslin
82'
R. Koeman
⚽T. Chery
· ast. Danilo Pereira
85'
88'
D. Fonville
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
63.32%
NEC
20.32%
X ←
16.36%
Telstar
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.65
1.95
-0.7
1.31
1.22
-0.09
NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.22).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
24
Deveron Fonville
D
Deveron Fonville
D
17
B. Nuytinck
67'
D
B. Nuytinck
67'
D
14
Eli Dasa
66'
D
Eli Dasa
66'
D
20
N. Lebreton
67'
M
N. Lebreton
67'
M
3
P. Sandler
M
P. Sandler
M
6
M
25
Sami Ouaissa
M
Sami Ouaissa
M
23
K. Sano
F
K. Sano
F
30
B. Linssen
67'
F
B. Linssen
67'
F
10
T. Chery
1 ⚽
F
T. Chery
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
Danilo
1 👟
33'
F
Danilo
1 👟
33'
F
18
Koki Ogawa
32'
F
Koki Ogawa
32'
F
34
Y. El Kachati
32'
F
Y. El Kachati
32'
F
1
R. Koeman
G
R. Koeman
G
6
D. Bakker
D
D. Bakker
D
21
Devon Koswal
D
Devon Koswal
D
14
D
2
J. Hardeveld
M
J. Hardeveld
M
23
M
4
G. Offerhaus
M
G. Offerhaus
M
11
T. Noslin
74'
M
T. Noslin
74'
M
27
P. Brouwer
F
P. Brouwer
F
8
T. Owusu
52'
F
T. Owusu
52'
F
37
S. van Duijn
1 ⚽
74'
F
S. van Duijn
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
9
Jelani Seedorf
25'
F
Jelani Seedorf
25'
F
5
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D
Best on the pitch
R. Koeman
G · Telstar
8.60
· 45 pass
T. Chery
F · NEC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
D. Bakker
D · Telstar
7.90
1 shots
· 33 pass
S. van Duijn
F · Telstar
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
P. Brouwer
F · Telstar
7.30
1 shots
· 10 pass
M · NEC
7.30
· 52 pass
NEC Nijmegen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 84 | 76% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Nuytinck | D | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Eli Dasa | D | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | — | — | — |
| N. Lebreton | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Sandler | M | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 4 | — | — | |
| Sami Ouaissa | M | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| K. Sano | F | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Linssen | F | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Chery | F | 99 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Danilo | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Koki Ogawa | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Y. El Kachati | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Telstar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Koeman | G | 99 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Bakker | D | 99 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Devon Koswal | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Hardeveld | M | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 8% | 1 | — | — | |
| G. Offerhaus | M | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Noslin | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Brouwer | F | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Owusu | F | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. van Duijn | F | 74 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Jelani Seedorf | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
The final score was NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Telstar.
What did the model predict before NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
The model assigned 63% probability to a NEC Nijmegen win, 20% to a draw, and 16% to an Telstar win.