J. Carranza
80'
(pen.)
M. Pedroza
(ast. J. Carranza)
90'+3
47'
(ast. L. Calzadilla)
E. Pizzuto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Necaxa a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Atlante FC 31%). The final result was Necaxa 2–1 Atlante FC.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
3
2.39
Actual xG
0.60
64%
Possession
36%
11
Corners
5
Match Events
R. Martinez
42'
47'
ast. L. Calzadilla ·
E. Pizzuto⚽
A. Oliveros
/ F. Mendez
54'
C. Vargas
/ E. Rodriguez
54'
64'
W. Clar
/
A. Escobar
J. P. Torres Patino
/ R. Cortez
66'
69'
J. N. Carrera
72'
D. Gonzalez
/
E. Pizzuto
72'
L. Mejia
/
L. Calzadilla
⚽J. Carranza
(pen.)
80'
L. Faravelli
/ M. Pedroza
81'
83'
A. Padilla
/
E. Tercero
83'
J. Charcopa
/
L. Puente
86'
W. Portales
⚽M. Pedroza
· ast. J. Carranza
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
35.88%
Necaxa ←
32.33%
X
31.79%
Atlante
we assigned to the actual result (Necaxa)
35.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.72
2.39
+1.67
1.42
0.60
-0.82
Necaxa dominated by xG (2.39 vs 0.60).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Atlante FC?
The final score was Necaxa 2–1 Atlante FC.
What did the model predict before Necaxa vs Atlante FC?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Necaxa win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Atlante FC win.