5'
(ast. Florián Monzón)
Ryan Mmaee
90'
Manuel Capasso
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlas a 43% win probability (draw 25%, Necaxa 31%). The final result was Necaxa 0–2 Atlas. In 3 previous meetings, Necaxa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Atlas.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
5
1.85
Actual xG
2.19
0
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
10
Corners
6
12
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
5'
ast. Florián Monzón ·
Ryan Mmaee⚽
5'
Matias Espindola
/ Javier Ruiz
64'
67'
67'
Milton Valenzuela
70'
Jorge Rodríguez
/
Ryan Mmaee
Pedro Pedraza
/ Juan Valencia
74'
Emilio Martínez
/ Leonardo Abimael Becerra Ramos
74'
76'
Edgar Zaldívar
/
Luís André Leite Esteves
76'
Manuel Capasso
/
Kevin Zenon
77'
Adonis Frías
Carlos Vargas
/ Miguel Pedroza
81'
Owen González
/ Rogelio Cortéz
82'
85'
Gaddi Aguirre
/
Jorge Sánchez
Diego Ochoa
90'+3
90'
Manuel Capasso⚽
Pre-match prediction
31.11%
Necaxa
25.19%
X
43.7%
Atlas ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atlas)
43.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.51
1.85
+0.34
2.08
2.19
+0.11
Atlas dominated by xG (2.19 vs 1.85).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
181
G
88
C. Vargas
81'
D
C. Vargas
81'
D
3
A. Oliveros
D
A. Oliveros
D
15
D. Ochoa
D
D. Ochoa
D
2
E. Martínez
74'
D
E. Martínez
74'
D
16
P. Pedraza
74'
M
P. Pedraza
74'
M
13
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
82'
M
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
82'
M
21
M. Espíndola
64'
M
M. Espíndola
64'
M
6
D. Leyva
M
D. Leyva
M
99
M. Rodríguez
M
M. Rodríguez
M
9
J. Carranza
F
J. Carranza
F
Bench
1
C. Andrade
G
C. Andrade
G
10
J. Ruiz
26'
M
J. Ruiz
26'
M
90
J. Valencia
16'
F
J. Valencia
16'
F
5
Kaiky Naves
D
Kaiky Naves
D
8
L. Faravelli
M
L. Faravelli
M
27
M. Pedroza
9'
F
M. Pedroza
9'
F
17
R. Cortéz
8'
M
R. Cortéz
8'
M
33
R. Martínez
D
R. Martínez
D
12
C. Vargas
G
C. Vargas
G
16
M. Valenzuela
67'
D
M. Valenzuela
67'
D
44
J. Purata
D
J. Purata
D
19
A. Frías
D
A. Frías
D
3
J. Sánchez
85'
D
J. Sánchez
85'
D
15
Paulo Ramírez
M
Paulo Ramírez
M
18
E. Montiel
M
E. Montiel
M
10
Luís Esteves
76'
M
Luís Esteves
76'
M
20
K. Zenón
76'
M
K. Zenón
76'
M
8
R. Mmaee
1 ⚽
70'
F
R. Mmaee
1 ⚽
70'
F
9
F. Monzón
1 👟
F
F. Monzón
1 👟
F
Bench
58
A. González
F
A. González
F
26
A. Rocha
M
A. Rocha
M
22
A. Sánchez
G
A. Sánchez
G
6
É. Zaldívar
14'
M
É. Zaldívar
14'
M
13
G. Aguirre
5'
D
G. Aguirre
5'
D
203
J. Martín
F
J. Martín
F
5
J. Rodríguez
20'
D
J. Rodríguez
20'
D
28
M. Capasso
1 ⚽
14'
D
M. Capasso
1 ⚽
14'
D
23
S. Hernández
M
S. Hernández
M
27
V. RÃos
M
V. RÃos
M
Best on the pitch
M. Capasso
D · Atlas
7.89
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
R. Mmaee
F · Atlas
7.76
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
J. Purata
D · Atlas
7.57
· 45 pass
F. Monzón
F · Atlas
7.56
1 👟
5 shots
· 19 pass
A. Frías
D · Atlas
7.42
1 shots
· 58 pass
J. Ruiz
M · Necaxa
7.20
3 shots
· 19 pass
Necaxa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| C. Vargas | D | 81 | 6.18 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Oliveros | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Ochoa | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Martínez | D | 74 | 6.27 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Pedraza | M | 74 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Owen de Jesús González Ojeda | M | 82 | 6.36 | — | — | 5 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Espíndola | M | 64 | 5.83 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Leyva | M | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 7.13 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Carranza | F | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Ruiz | M | 26 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Valencia | F | 16 | 6.18 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Pedroza | F | 9 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Cortéz | M | 8 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Atlas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Vargas | G | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Valenzuela | D | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 3 | — | 1 |
| J. Purata | D | 90 | 7.57 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Frías | D | 90 | 7.42 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Sánchez | D | 85 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Ramírez | M | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Montiel | M | 90 | 7.10 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Luís Esteves | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Zenón | M | 76 | 6.68 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Mmaee | F | 70 | 7.76 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Monzón | F | 90 | 7.56 | — | 1 | 5 | 19 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| É. Zaldívar | M | 14 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Aguirre | D | 5 | 7.02 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 20 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Capasso | D | 14 | 7.89 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Atlas?
The final score was Necaxa 0–2 Atlas.
What did the model predict before Necaxa vs Atlas?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Necaxa win, 25% to a draw, and 43% to an Atlas win.