Owen González
26'
82'
(ast. Daniel Piña)
Luca Dupuy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Necaxa a 49% win probability (draw 25%, FC Juarez 25%). The final result was Necaxa 1–1 FC Juarez. In 2 previous meetings, Necaxa have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Juarez.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
24
7
Shots on target
5
2.18
Actual xG
1.81
0
Saves
6
49%
Possession
51%
7
Corners
5
16
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Owen González
26'
Javier Ruiz
/ Danny Leyva
45'+2
⚽Julián Carranza
(missed pen.)
45'+7
Matias Espindola
/ Miguel Rodriguez
45'
Carlos Vargas
/ Mauro Zaleta
45'
45'
Denzell Garcia
/
Jesus Murillo
64'
Luca Dupuy
/
Guilherme Castilho
Lorenzo Faravelli
/ Francisco Méndez
66'
Julián Carranza
/ Miguel Pedroza
71'
Miguel Pedroza
76'
78'
Ricardo Oliveira
/
José Luis Rodríguez
Mauro Zaleta
81'
81'
Madson de Souza Silva
82'
ast. Daniel Piña ·
Luca Dupuy⚽
86'
Oscar Estupiñan
Pre-match prediction
49.15%
Necaxa
25.83%
X ←
25.01%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
2.18
+0.43
1.17
1.81
+0.64
Necaxa dominated by xG (2.18 vs 1.81).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
181
G
88
C. Vargas
45'
D
C. Vargas
45'
D
3
A. Oliveros
D
A. Oliveros
D
5
Kaiky Naves
D
Kaiky Naves
D
33
R. Martínez
D
R. Martínez
D
210
M
10
J. Ruiz
44'
M
J. Ruiz
44'
M
21
M. Espíndola
45'
M
M. Espíndola
45'
M
8
L. Faravelli
66'
M
L. Faravelli
66'
M
13
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
1 ⚽
M
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
1 ⚽
M
9
J. Carranza
71'
F
J. Carranza
71'
F
Bench
1
C. Andrade
G
C. Andrade
G
6
D. Leyva
46'
M
D. Leyva
46'
M
2
E. Martínez
D
E. Martínez
D
20
F. Méndez
24'
D
F. Méndez
24'
D
27
M. Pedroza
19'
F
M. Pedroza
19'
F
99
M. Rodríguez
45'
M
M. Rodríguez
45'
M
14
M. Zaleta
45'
M
M. Zaleta
45'
M
16
P. Pedraza
M
P. Pedraza
M
1
S. Jurado
G
S. Jurado
G
26
D. Piña
1 👟
D
D. Piña
1 👟
D
2
G. Sepúlveda
D
G. Sepúlveda
D
3
J. Murillo
45'
D
J. Murillo
45'
D
33
F. Nevárez
D
F. Nevárez
D
13
Rodrigo Dourado
M
Rodrigo Dourado
M
183
L. Silva
M
L. Silva
M
11
J. Rodríguez
78'
M
J. Rodríguez
78'
M
8
Guilherme Castilho
64'
M
Guilherme Castilho
64'
M
9
Madson
M
Madson
M
19
Ó. Estupiñán
F
Ó. Estupiñán
F
Bench
4
A. Mayorga
D
A. Mayorga
D
250
B. Molina
M
B. Molina
M
5
D. García
45'
M
D. García
45'
M
14
E. López
D
E. López
D
27
Guillermo Ruiz
G
Guillermo Ruiz
G
23
H. Ortega
D
H. Ortega
D
201
J. Carmona
M
J. Carmona
M
16
J. Sigala
M
J. Sigala
M
17
L. Martínez Dupuy
1 ⚽
26'
F
L. Martínez Dupuy
1 ⚽
26'
F
21
Ricardinho
12'
M
Ricardinho
12'
M
Best on the pitch
S. Jurado
G · FC
8.80
· 22 pass
L. Martínez Dupuy
F · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
M · Necaxa
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
M. Zaleta
M · Necaxa
7.40
1 shots
· 21 pass
L. Silva
M · FC
7.20
4 shots
· 44 pass
R. Martínez
D · Necaxa
7.19
1 shots
· 39 pass
Necaxa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | 2 | — | — | |
| C. Vargas | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Oliveros | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Kaiky Naves | D | 90 | 7.15 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Martínez | D | 90 | 7.19 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Ruiz | M | 44 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Espíndola | M | 45 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Faravelli | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Owen de Jesús González Ojeda | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Carranza | F | 71 | 6.36 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Leyva | M | 46 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Méndez | D | 24 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pedroza | F | 19 | 6.29 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Rodríguez | M | 45 | 6.64 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Zaleta | M | 45 | 7.40 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jurado | G | 90 | 8.80 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Piña | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | 1 | 3 | 54 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Sepúlveda | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Murillo | D | 45 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Nevárez | D | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Dourado | M | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Silva | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 44 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 78 | 6.53 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Guilherme Castilho | M | 64 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Madson | M | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 4 | 21 | 15% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Ó. Estupiñán | F | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. García | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Martínez Dupuy | F | 26 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Ricardinho | M | 12 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Necaxa vs FC Juarez?
The final score was Necaxa 1–1 FC Juarez.
What did the model predict before Necaxa vs FC Juarez?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Necaxa win, 25% to a draw, and 25% to an FC Juarez win.