The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Necaxa 23%). The final result was Necaxa 0–0 Guadalajara Chivas. In 1 previous meetings, Necaxa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Guadalajara Chivas.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
14
1
Shots on target
6
0.30
Actual xG
0.82
6
Saves
1
43%
Possession
57%
1
Corners
4
9
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
40'
B. Gutierrez
R. Monreal
/ K. Rosero
56'
62'
Y. Padilla
/
A. Gonzalez
62'
R. Alvarado
/
R. Ledezma
62'
S. Sandoval
/
B. Gutierrez
66'
H. Camberos
/
E. Alvarez
73'
F. Gonzalez
C. Calderon
73'
C. Calderon
/ F. Rossano
74'
R. Martinez
77'
78'
L. Romo
K. Gutierrez
/ R. Cortez
82'
82'
S. Aguayo
/
R. Marin
T. Badaloni
/ A. E. Almendra
82'
A. Pena
90'+4
L. Faravelli
90'
Pre-match prediction
23.22%
Necaxa
25.67%
X ←
51.1%
Guadalajara
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.85
0.30
-0.55
1.60
0.82
-0.78
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (0.82 vs 0.30).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
16
C. Calderon
74'
D
3
A. Oliveros
D
4
A. Pena
D
33
R. Martinez
D
35
J. Ruiz
M
5
K. Gutierrez
82'
M
6
D. Leyva
M
30
R. Monreal
56'
M
9
T. Badaloni
82'
F
8
L. Faravelli
F
Bench
10
A. E. Almendra
18'
M
26
E. Lara
D
20
F. Mendez
D
24
F. Rossano
26'
D
188
I. Tello
F
17
R. Cortez
18'
M
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
5
Bryan González
D
Bryan González
D
7
Luis Romo
D
Luis Romo
D
19
Diego Campillo
D
Diego Campillo
D
23
D. Aguirre
D
D. Aguirre
D
37
R. Ledezma
62'
D
R. Ledezma
62'
D
10
E. Álvarez
66'
M
E. Álvarez
66'
M
28
Fernando González
M
Fernando González
M
11
Brian Gutiérrez
62'
M
Brian Gutiérrez
62'
M
34
A. González
62'
F
A. González
62'
F
17
Ricardo Marín
82'
F
Ricardo Marín
82'
F
Bench
26
Hugo Camberos
34'
M
Hugo Camberos
34'
M
24
Miguel Gómez
D
Miguel Gómez
D
25
R. Alvarado
38'
F
R. Alvarado
38'
F
Best on the pitch
D. Aguirre
D · Guadalajara
7.50
· 51 pass
D. Leyva
M · Necaxa
7.50
1 shots
· 34 pass
G · Necaxa
7.30
· 52 pass
Brian Gutiérrez
M · Guadalajara
7.30
1 shots
· 34 pass
R. Martinez
D · Necaxa
7.30
1 shots
· 37 pass
Diego Campillo
D · Guadalajara
7.30
· 67 pass
Necaxa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| C. Calderon | D | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Oliveros | D | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pena | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | 1 |
| R. Martinez | D | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Ruiz | M | 100 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Gutierrez | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Leyva | M | 100 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Monreal | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Badaloni | F | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Faravelli | F | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. E. Almendra | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Rossano | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Cortez | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Whalley | G | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Bryan González | D | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Romo | D | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 65 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Campillo | D | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Aguirre | D | 100 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 42% | — | — | — |
| R. Ledezma | D | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| E. Álvarez | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 5 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernando González | M | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Brian Gutiérrez | M | 62 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. González | F | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Marín | F | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Camberos | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Alvarado | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The final score was Necaxa 0–0 Guadalajara Chivas.
What did the model predict before Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Necaxa win, 25% to a draw, and 51% to an Guadalajara Chivas win.