M. Espindola
(ast. J. Valencia)
65'
27'
D. Arcila
72'
(ast. L. Valadez)
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Necaxa a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Leon 33%). The final result was Necaxa 1–2 Leon. In 4 previous meetings, Necaxa have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Leon.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
7
1.19
Actual xG
0.97
5
Saves
7
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
3
13
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
27'
D. Arcila⚽
C. Vargas
/ J. P. Torres Patino
46'
46'
B. Colula
/
I. Moreno
Naves
58'
60'
R. Echeverria
64'
L. Valadez
/
F. Beltran Cruz
64'
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
/
J. Cortizo
Naves
/ R. Martinez
64'
L. Faravelli
/ M. Zaleta
65'
R. Monreal
/ E. Rodriguez
65'
⚽M. Espindola
· ast. J. Valencia
65'
72'
ast. L. Valadez ·
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco⚽
74'
S. Reyes
/
S. Vegas
M. Espindola
/ M. Pedroza
78'
D. Leyva
79'
81'
B. Colula
85'
P. Bellon
/
D. Arcila
Pre-match prediction
34.47%
Necaxa
32.16%
X
33.37%
Leon ←
we assigned to the actual result (Leon)
33.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
1.19
-0.18
1.36
0.97
-0.39
xG dominance was balanced (1.19 – 0.97).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
L. Jiménez
G
L. Jiménez
G
20
Francisco Méndez
D
Francisco Méndez
D
4
A. Peña
D
A. Peña
D
5
Kaiky Naves
64'
D
Kaiky Naves
64'
D
88
C. Vargas
45'
M
C. Vargas
45'
M
8
L. Faravelli
65'
M
L. Faravelli
65'
M
6
D. Leyva
M
D. Leyva
M
30
R. Monreal
65'
M
R. Monreal
65'
M
10
J. Ruiz
F
J. Ruiz
F
21
M. Espíndola
1 ⚽
78'
F
M. Espíndola
1 ⚽
78'
F
90
Juan Valencia
1 👟
F
Juan Valencia
1 👟
F
Bench
1
Christopher Andrade
G
Christopher Andrade
G
15
D. Ochoa
D
D. Ochoa
D
11
J. Torres
45'
M
J. Torres
45'
M
27
M. Pedroza
12'
F
M. Pedroza
12'
F
99
M. Rodríguez
25'
M
M. Rodríguez
25'
M
14
M. Zaleta
25'
M
M. Zaleta
25'
M
13
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
M
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
M
16
P. Pedraza
M
P. Pedraza
M
17
R. Cortéz
M
R. Cortéz
M
33
R. Martínez
26'
D
R. Martínez
26'
D
23
Ó. García
G
Ó. García
G
5
S. Vegas
74'
D
S. Vegas
74'
D
3
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
14
J. Romaña
D
J. Romaña
D
7
I. Moreno
45'
D
I. Moreno
45'
D
29
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
13
D. Arcila
1 ⚽
85'
M
D. Arcila
1 ⚽
85'
M
6
F. Beltrán
64'
M
F. Beltrán
64'
M
20
R. Echeverría
60'
M
R. Echeverría
60'
M
16
J. Cortizo
64'
M
J. Cortizo
64'
M
27
D. Cambindo
F
D. Cambindo
F
Bench
4
B. Colula
45'
D
B. Colula
45'
D
185
Christopher Mora
D
Christopher Mora
D
19
J. Alvarado
F
J. Alvarado
F
8
J. Domínguez
1 ⚽
26'
M
J. Domínguez
1 ⚽
26'
M
12
J. González
G
J. González
G
203
J. Lara
D
J. Lara
D
35
Luis Valadez
1 👟
26'
M
Luis Valadez
1 👟
26'
M
25
P. Bellón
12'
D
P. Bellón
12'
D
26
S. Reyes
16'
M
S. Reyes
16'
M
22
S. Santos
M
S. Santos
M
Best on the pitch
J. Ruiz
F · Necaxa
8.60
3 shots
· 34 pass
J. Domínguez
M · Leon
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
M. Espíndola
F · Necaxa
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
D. Arcila
M · Leon
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 12 pass
D. Cambindo
F · Leon
7.30
3 shots
· 15 pass
F. Beltrán
M · Leon
7.30
· 19 pass
Necaxa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jiménez | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Méndez | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 53 | 49% | — | — | — |
| A. Peña | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Kaiky Naves | D | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Vargas | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Faravelli | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Leyva | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Monreal | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ruiz | F | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Espíndola | F | 78 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Juan Valencia | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Pedroza | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Rodríguez | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Zaleta | M | 25 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Martínez | D | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
Leon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ó. García | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 16% | — | — | — |
| S. Vegas | D | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan José Guevara Possu | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Romaña | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Arcila | M | 85 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Beltrán | M | 64 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Echeverría | M | 60 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | 1 |
| J. Cortizo | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Cambindo | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Colula | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Domínguez | M | 26 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Valadez | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Bellón | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Reyes | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Leon?
The final score was Necaxa 1–2 Leon.
What did the model predict before Necaxa vs Leon?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Necaxa win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Leon win.