J. Ruiz
(ast. L. Faravelli)
15'
A. Pena
(ast. J. Ruiz)
56'
40'
(ast. J. Ovalle)
Fabio Gomes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Necaxa a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Mazatlán 23%). The final result was Necaxa 2–1 Mazatlán. In 1 previous meetings, Necaxa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mazatlán.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
4
2.30
Actual xG
0.79
3
Saves
4
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
4
12
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽J. Ruiz
· ast. L. Faravelli
15'
40'
ast. J. Ovalle ·
Fabio Gomes⚽
48'
L. Merolla
55'
J. Diaz
⚽A. Pena
· ast. J. Ruiz
56'
66'
B. Arce
/
J. Ovalle
66'
M. Lainez
/
M. Zaleta
T. Badaloni
/ K. Rosero
69'
75'
G. Lopez
/
S. Godinez
75'
Y. Barcenas
/
L. Merolla
C. Calderon
/ F. Rossano
82'
82'
D. Hernandez
/
Fabio Gomes
87'
B. Arce
J. Ruiz
/ R. Cortez
88'
L. Faravelli
/ I. Tello
89'
R. Cortez
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
51.52%
Necaxa ←
25.02%
X
23.46%
Mazatlán
we assigned to the actual result (Necaxa)
51.52%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
2.30
+0.64
1.12
0.79
-0.33
Necaxa dominated by xG (2.30 vs 0.79).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
3
Agustín Oliveros
D
Agustín Oliveros
D
4
A. Pena
1 ⚽
D
33
Raúl Martínez
D
Raúl Martínez
D
5
Kevin Gutiérrez
M
Kevin Gutiérrez
M
16
Cristian Calderón
82'
M
Cristian Calderón
82'
M
8
Lorenzo Faravelli
1 👟
89'
M
Lorenzo Faravelli
1 👟
89'
M
6
Danny Leyva
M
Danny Leyva
M
30
Ricardo Monreal
M
Ricardo Monreal
M
35
Javier Ruiz
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
Javier Ruiz
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
9
Tomás Badaloni
69'
F
Tomás Badaloni
69'
F
Bench
10
A. E. Almendra
M
26
Emilio Lara
D
Emilio Lara
D
20
Francisco Méndez
D
Francisco Méndez
D
24
Franco Rossano
8'
D
Franco Rossano
8'
D
188
I. Tello
1'
F
232
R. Alonso
17
Rogelio Cortéz Pineda
8'
M
Rogelio Cortéz Pineda
8'
M
33
G
4
J. Diaz
D
19
L. Merolla
75'
D
L. Merolla
75'
D
5
Facundo Almada
D
Facundo Almada
D
14
Mauro Zaleta
66'
M
Mauro Zaleta
66'
M
25
S. Godinez
90
Fábio Gomes
1 ⚽
82'
M
Fábio Gomes
1 ⚽
82'
M
21
M
17
Josué Ovalle
1 👟
66'
F
Josué Ovalle
1 👟
66'
F
7
F
15
Brian Rubio
F
Bench
9
Billy Arce
24'
M
Billy Arce
24'
M
28
D. Hernandez
8'
F
193
G. Lopez
14'
F
11
Yoel Bárcenas
15'
M
Yoel Bárcenas
15'
M
Best on the pitch
Javier Ruiz
F · Necaxa
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 16 pass
A. Pena
D · Necaxa
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 62 pass
Cristian Calderón
M · Necaxa
7.70
2 shots
· 44 pass
Danny Leyva
M · Necaxa
7.50
1 shots
· 52 pass
Fábio Gomes
M · Mazatlán
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Brian Rubio
F · Mazatlán
7.30
1 shots
· 30 pass
Necaxa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Agustín Oliveros | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pena | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 62 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Raúl Martínez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Gutiérrez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| Cristian Calderón | M | 82 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Faravelli | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 51 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Danny Leyva | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Ricardo Monreal | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Javier Ruiz | F | 88 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Badaloni | F | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Franco Rossano | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Tello | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rogelio Cortéz Pineda | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Mazatlán — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| J. Diaz | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Merolla | D | 75 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Facundo Almada | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Mauro Zaleta | M | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Godinez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fábio Gomes | M | 82 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 5 | — | — | |
| Josué Ovalle | F | 66 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Brian Rubio | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Billy Arce | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Hernandez | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Lopez | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Yoel Bárcenas | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
The final score was Necaxa 2–1 Mazatlán.
What did the model predict before Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Necaxa win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an Mazatlán win.