J. Ruiz
(ast. L. Faravelli)
15'
A. Pena
(ast. J. Ruiz)
56'
40'
(ast. J. Ovalle)
Fabio Gomes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Necaxa a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Mazatlán 23%). The final result was Necaxa 2–1 Mazatlán. In 1 previous meetings, Necaxa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mazatlán.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
4
2.30
Actual xG
0.79
3
Saves
4
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
4
12
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽J. Ruiz
· ast. L. Faravelli
15'
40'
ast. J. Ovalle ·
Fabio Gomes⚽
48'
L. Merolla
55'
J. Diaz
⚽A. Pena
· ast. J. Ruiz
56'
66'
B. Arce
/
J. Ovalle
66'
M. Lainez
/
M. Zaleta
T. Badaloni
/ K. Rosero
69'
75'
G. Lopez
/
S. Godinez
75'
Y. Barcenas
/
L. Merolla
C. Calderon
/ F. Rossano
82'
82'
D. Hernandez
/
Fabio Gomes
87'
B. Arce
J. Ruiz
/ R. Cortez
88'
L. Faravelli
/ I. Tello
89'
R. Cortez
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
51.52%
Necaxa ←
25.02%
X
23.46%
Mazatlán
we assigned to the actual result (Necaxa)
51.52%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
2.30
+0.64
1.12
0.79
-0.33
Necaxa dominated by xG (2.30 vs 0.79).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
3
A. Oliveros
D
A. Oliveros
D
4
A. Peña
1 ⚽
D
A. Peña
1 ⚽
D
33
R. Martínez
D
R. Martínez
D
5
K. Gutiérrez
M
K. Gutiérrez
M
16
C. Calderón
82'
M
C. Calderón
82'
M
8
L. Faravelli
1 👟
89'
M
L. Faravelli
1 👟
89'
M
6
D. Leyva
M
D. Leyva
M
30
R. Monreal
M
R. Monreal
M
35
J. Ruiz
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
J. Ruiz
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
9
T. Badaloni
69'
F
T. Badaloni
69'
F
Bench
10
A. E. Almendra
M
26
E. Lara
D
E. Lara
D
20
Francisco Méndez
D
Francisco Méndez
D
24
F. Rossano
8'
D
F. Rossano
8'
D
188
I. Tello
1'
F
232
R. Alonso
17
R. Cortéz
8'
M
R. Cortéz
8'
M
33
G
4
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
19
Lucas Merolla
75'
D
Lucas Merolla
75'
D
5
F. Almada
D
F. Almada
D
14
M. Zaleta
66'
M
M. Zaleta
66'
M
25
S. Godinez
90
Fábio Gomes
1 ⚽
82'
M
Fábio Gomes
1 ⚽
82'
M
21
M
17
J. Ovalle
1 👟
66'
F
J. Ovalle
1 👟
66'
F
7
F
15
Brian Rubio
F
Bench
9
B. Arce
24'
M
B. Arce
24'
M
28
D. Hernandez
8'
F
193
G. Lopez
14'
F
11
Y. Bárcenas
15'
M
Y. Bárcenas
15'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Ruiz
F · Necaxa
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 16 pass
A. Peña
D · Necaxa
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 62 pass
C. Calderón
M · Necaxa
7.70
2 shots
· 44 pass
D. Leyva
M · Necaxa
7.50
1 shots
· 52 pass
Fábio Gomes
M · Mazatlán
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Brian Rubio
F · Mazatlán
7.30
1 shots
· 30 pass
Necaxa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| A. Oliveros | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Peña | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 62 | 59% | — | — | — |
| R. Martínez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Gutiérrez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Calderón | M | 82 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| L. Faravelli | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 51 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Leyva | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Monreal | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ruiz | F | 88 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Badaloni | F | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Rossano | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Tello | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Cortéz | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Mazatlán — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| J. Díaz | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Merolla | D | 75 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Almada | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Zaleta | M | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Godinez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fábio Gomes | M | 82 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 5 | — | — | |
| J. Ovalle | F | 66 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Brian Rubio | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| B. Arce | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Hernandez | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Lopez | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Y. Bárcenas | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
The final score was Necaxa 2–1 Mazatlán.
What did the model predict before Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Necaxa win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an Mazatlán win.