J. Carranza
(ast. F. Mendez)
56'
J. Valencia
(ast. M. Zaleta)
90'+1
(pen.)
67'
L. Ocampos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Necaxa 32%). The final result was Necaxa 2–1 Monterrey. In 2 previous meetings, Necaxa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Monterrey.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
2
2.92
Actual xG
1.03
1
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
4
Corners
1
14
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
R. Monreal
5'
20'
S. Medina
L. Faravelli
27'
32'
R. Chavez
36'
C. Salcedo
R. Monreal
/ E. Rodriguez
46'
46'
O. Pineda
/
J. Corona
⚽J. Carranza
· ast. F. Mendez
56'
60'
A. Aceves
/
G. Arteaga
60'
H. Cuypers
/
D. Rossi
67'
(pen.)
L. Ocampos⚽
J. P. Torres Patino
/ M. Pedroza
75'
77'
L. Reyes
/
L. Orellano
M. Varini
79'
L. Faravelli
/ R. Cortez
87'
C. Vargas
/ M. Zaleta
87'
⚽J. Valencia
· ast. M. Zaleta
90'+1
90'+3
U. Djurdjevic
/
J. Rodriguez
J. Ruiz
/ J. Valencia
90'
Pre-match prediction
32.91%
Necaxa ←
31.95%
X
35.14%
Monterrey
we assigned to the actual result (Necaxa)
32.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
2.92
+1.77
1.26
1.03
-0.23
Necaxa dominated by xG (2.92 vs 1.03).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Luis Jimenez
G
Luis Jimenez
G
3
Agustín Oliveros
D
Agustín Oliveros
D
20
Francisco Méndez
1 👟
D
Francisco Méndez
1 👟
D
33
Raúl Martínez
D
Raúl Martínez
D
88
Carlos Vargas
87'
M
Carlos Vargas
87'
M
6
Danny Leyva
M
Danny Leyva
M
8
Lorenzo Faravelli
87'
M
Lorenzo Faravelli
87'
M
30
Ricardo Monreal
45'
M
Ricardo Monreal
45'
M
10
Javier Ruiz
89'
F
Javier Ruiz
89'
F
11
Juan Torres
75'
F
Juan Torres
75'
F
9
J. Carranza
1 ⚽
F
J. Carranza
1 ⚽
F
Bench
1
Christopher Andrade
G
Christopher Andrade
G
2
Emilio Martinez
D
Emilio Martinez
D
99
Emilio Rodriguez
45'
M
Emilio Rodriguez
45'
M
90
Juan Valencia
1 ⚽
9'
F
Juan Valencia
1 ⚽
9'
F
5
Kaiky Naves
D
Kaiky Naves
D
21
Matías Espíndola
M
Matías Espíndola
M
14
Mauro Zaleta
1 👟
12'
M
Mauro Zaleta
1 👟
12'
M
27
Miguel Pedroza
15'
F
Miguel Pedroza
15'
F
16
Pedro Pedraza
M
Pedro Pedraza
M
17
Rogelio Cortéz Pineda
12'
M
Rogelio Cortéz Pineda
12'
M
22
Luis Cárdenas
G
Luis Cárdenas
G
3
Gerardo Arteaga
60'
D
Gerardo Arteaga
60'
D
13
Carlos Salcedo
D
Carlos Salcedo
D
33
Stefan Medina
20'
D
Stefan Medina
20'
D
2
Ricardo Chávez
D
Ricardo Chávez
D
30
Jorge Rodríguez
89'
M
Jorge Rodríguez
89'
M
8
Óliver Torres
M
Óliver Torres
M
7
L. Ocampos
1 ⚽
M
L. Ocampos
1 ⚽
M
17
Jesús Corona
45'
M
Jesús Corona
45'
M
10
Luca Orellano
77'
M
Luca Orellano
77'
M
9
Diego Rossi
60'
F
Diego Rossi
60'
F
Bench
19
Alonso Aceves
30'
D
Alonso Aceves
30'
D
31
César Ramos
G
César Ramos
G
194
Cristian Reyes
M
Cristian Reyes
M
5
Fidel Ambríz
M
Fidel Ambríz
M
99
H. Cuypers
30'
F
H. Cuypers
30'
F
11
Iker Fimbres
M
Iker Fimbres
M
21
Luis Reyes
13'
D
Luis Reyes
13'
D
25
Orbelín Pineda
45'
M
Orbelín Pineda
45'
M
32
Uroš Đurđević
1'
F
Uroš Đurđević
1'
F
4
Victor Guzmán
D
Victor Guzmán
D
Best on the pitch
Luis Cárdenas
G · Monterrey
8.90
· 44 pass
L. Ocampos
M · Monterrey
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Mauro Zaleta
M · Necaxa
7.70
1 👟
· 3 pass
Juan Valencia
F · Necaxa
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Agustín Oliveros
D · Necaxa
7.20
1 shots
· 54 pass
Francisco Méndez
D · Necaxa
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 67 pass
Necaxa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Jimenez | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Agustín Oliveros | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Méndez | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 67 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Raúl Martínez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Vargas | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| Danny Leyva | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Lorenzo Faravelli | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ricardo Monreal | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Javier Ruiz | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Torres | F | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Carranza | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Emilio Rodriguez | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Valencia | F | 9 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Zaleta | M | 12 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Pedroza | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rogelio Cortéz Pineda | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Monterrey — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Cárdenas | G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Gerardo Arteaga | D | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Salcedo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Stefan Medina | D | 20 | 3.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | 1 |
| Ricardo Chávez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jorge Rodríguez | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Óliver Torres | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Ocampos | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Jesús Corona | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Orellano | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Rossi | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Alonso Aceves | D | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Luis Reyes | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Orbelín Pineda | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Uroš Đurđević | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Monterrey?
The final score was Necaxa 2–1 Monterrey.
What did the model predict before Necaxa vs Monterrey?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Necaxa win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Monterrey win.