J. Carranza
(ast. F. Mendez)
56'
J. Valencia
(ast. M. Zaleta)
90'+1
(pen.)
67'
L. Ocampos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Necaxa 32%). The final result was Necaxa 2–1 Monterrey. In 2 previous meetings, Necaxa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Monterrey.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
2
2.92
Actual xG
1.03
1
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
4
Corners
1
14
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
R. Monreal
5'
20'
S. Medina
L. Faravelli
27'
32'
R. Chavez
36'
C. Salcedo
R. Monreal
/ E. Rodriguez
46'
46'
O. Pineda
/
J. Corona
⚽J. Carranza
· ast. F. Mendez
56'
60'
A. Aceves
/
G. Arteaga
60'
H. Cuypers
/
D. Rossi
67'
(pen.)
L. Ocampos⚽
J. P. Torres Patino
/ M. Pedroza
75'
77'
L. Reyes
/
L. Orellano
M. Varini
79'
L. Faravelli
/ R. Cortez
87'
C. Vargas
/ M. Zaleta
87'
⚽J. Valencia
· ast. M. Zaleta
90'+1
90'+3
U. Djurdjevic
/
J. Rodriguez
J. Ruiz
/ J. Valencia
90'
Pre-match prediction
32.91%
Necaxa ←
31.95%
X
35.14%
Monterrey
we assigned to the actual result (Necaxa)
32.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
2.92
+1.77
1.26
1.03
-0.23
Necaxa dominated by xG (2.92 vs 1.03).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
L. Jiménez
G
L. Jiménez
G
3
A. Oliveros
D
A. Oliveros
D
20
Francisco Méndez
1 👟
D
Francisco Méndez
1 👟
D
33
R. Martínez
D
R. Martínez
D
88
C. Vargas
87'
M
C. Vargas
87'
M
6
D. Leyva
M
D. Leyva
M
8
L. Faravelli
87'
M
L. Faravelli
87'
M
30
R. Monreal
45'
M
R. Monreal
45'
M
10
J. Ruiz
89'
F
J. Ruiz
89'
F
11
J. Torres
75'
F
J. Torres
75'
F
9
J. Carranza
1 ⚽
F
J. Carranza
1 ⚽
F
Bench
1
Christopher Andrade
G
Christopher Andrade
G
2
E. Martínez
D
E. Martínez
D
90
Juan Valencia
1 ⚽
9'
F
Juan Valencia
1 ⚽
9'
F
5
Kaiky Naves
D
Kaiky Naves
D
21
M. Espíndola
M
M. Espíndola
M
27
M. Pedroza
15'
F
M. Pedroza
15'
F
99
M. Rodríguez
45'
M
M. Rodríguez
45'
M
14
M. Zaleta
1 👟
12'
M
M. Zaleta
1 👟
12'
M
16
P. Pedraza
M
P. Pedraza
M
17
R. Cortéz
12'
M
R. Cortéz
12'
M
22
L. Cárdenas
G
L. Cárdenas
G
3
G. Arteaga
60'
D
G. Arteaga
60'
D
13
C. Salcedo
D
C. Salcedo
D
33
S. Medina
20'
D
S. Medina
20'
D
2
R. Chávez
D
R. Chávez
D
30
J. Rodríguez
89'
M
J. Rodríguez
89'
M
8
Óliver Torres
M
Óliver Torres
M
7
L. Ocampos
1 ⚽
M
L. Ocampos
1 ⚽
M
17
J. Corona
45'
M
J. Corona
45'
M
10
L. Orellano
77'
M
L. Orellano
77'
M
9
D. Rossi
60'
F
D. Rossi
60'
F
Bench
19
A. Aceves
30'
D
A. Aceves
30'
D
31
C. Ramos
G
C. Ramos
G
194
C. Reyes
M
C. Reyes
M
5
F. Ambríz
M
F. Ambríz
M
99
H. Cuypers
30'
F
H. Cuypers
30'
F
11
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
M
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
M
21
L. Reyes
13'
D
L. Reyes
13'
D
25
O. Pineda
45'
M
O. Pineda
45'
M
32
U. Đurđević
1'
F
U. Đurđević
1'
F
4
V. Guzmán
D
V. Guzmán
D
Best on the pitch
L. Cárdenas
G · Monterrey
8.90
· 44 pass
L. Ocampos
M · Monterrey
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
M. Zaleta
M · Necaxa
7.70
1 👟
· 3 pass
Juan Valencia
F · Necaxa
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
A. Oliveros
D · Necaxa
7.20
1 shots
· 54 pass
Francisco Méndez
D · Necaxa
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 67 pass
Necaxa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jiménez | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Oliveros | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Méndez | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 67 | 59% | — | — | — |
| R. Martínez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Vargas | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Leyva | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Faravelli | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Monreal | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Ruiz | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Torres | F | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Carranza | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Valencia | F | 9 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pedroza | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Rodríguez | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Zaleta | M | 12 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Cortéz | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Monterrey — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cárdenas | G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 29% | — | — | — |
| G. Arteaga | D | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Salcedo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Medina | D | 20 | 3.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | 1 |
| R. Chávez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Óliver Torres | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Ocampos | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Corona | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Orellano | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rossi | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Aceves | D | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Reyes | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Pineda | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| U. Đurđević | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Monterrey?
The final score was Necaxa 2–1 Monterrey.
What did the model predict before Necaxa vs Monterrey?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Necaxa win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Monterrey win.