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Neftchi - Al-Hilal Saudi FC

AFC Champions League November 23, 2026 14:45
Neftchi
#10 · 3 pts
vs
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
#5 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.7%
Win
Neftchi
30.39%
Draw
39.91%
Win
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0.81
Expected xG
2.1

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.07%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 30%
2 40%
Double Chance
1X 60%
X2 70%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Neftchi. Expected goals are 0.8 for Neftchi and 2.1 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC (total 2.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.07% probability.

Season Stats

Neftchi
1W 0D 2L
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
9W 2D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.1
1.7
Conceded
1.1
2.3
Shots OT
5.5
6.3
Corners
6.8
48%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
83%
67%
O 2.5
75%
67%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Neftchi
1W 0D 1L · at home
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4W 1D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
67%
50%
Win or Draw
83%
50%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
33%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Neftchi Al-Hilal Saudi FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5% 11.5% 12.1% 8.4% 4.4% 1.8%
1 4.4% 9.3% 9.7% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
2 1.8% 3.7% 3.9% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Neftchi Neftchi
L Al-Ittihad FC 1–2
L Al-Nassr 3–1
W Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC
L Al Shamal 3–1
W Al Sadd 0–2
W Al-Gharafa 2–1
D Al Sadd 3–3
W Al Wahda FC 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 43%

Playing profile

Neftchi Neftchi
Attack
30
Defence
57
Form
0
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Attack
62
Defence
64
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

West Region

# Team G Pts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 3 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7
4 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3 6
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6
6 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3 5
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5
8 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3 4
9 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 3
10 Neftchi Neftchi 3 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3
12 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 3 2
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 3 1
14 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3 1
15 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3 0
16 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 2 0

What's at stake · West Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Neftchi Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Current #10 #5
→ Neftchi #6 #5
→ Draw #9 #4
→ Al-Hilal Saudi FC #10 #3

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Neftchi vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
The model gives Neftchi a 29% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 39% for an Al-Hilal Saudi FC win.
How many goals are expected in Neftchi vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
Expected goals: Neftchi 0.8, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Neftchi vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.07%.