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AFC Champions League · League Phase - 3 October 26, 2026 14:45
Neftchi
#10 · 3 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Al-Ittihad FC
#8 · 4 pts
Jamshid Iskanderov 17' (pen.)
34' (ast. Steven Bergwijn) Houssem Aouar
90' Youssef En-Nesyri
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Ittihad FC a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Neftchi 31%). The final result was Neftchi 1–2 Al-Ittihad FC.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
5
1.53
Actual xG
1.10
3
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
8
21
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
⚽Jamshid Iskanderov (pen.)
17'
Michel
32'
34'
ast. Steven Bergwijn · Houssem Aouar⚽
↕ Bojan Ciger / Anvarjon Gofurov
45'
↕ Vladimir Jovović / Yan Medeiros Sasse
45'
63'
Mukhtar Ali / Georginio Wijnaldum ↕
63'
Youssef En-Nesyri / George Ilenikhena ↕
↕ Alisher Odilov / Ibrokhimkhalil Yuldoshev
70'
73'
Ahmed Al-Ghamdi / Dion Lopy ↕
73'
Marwan Al-Sahafi / Steven Bergwijn ↕
↕ Abrorbek ismoilov / Khurshid Giyosov
80'
80'
Richard Ríos Montoya
↕ Marcus Forss / Asilbek Jumaev
86'
Farrukh Sayfiev
89'
90'+3
Muath Faquihi / Houssem Aouar ↕
90'
Youssef En-Nesyri⚽
Pre-match prediction
31.69%
Neftchi
31.86%
X
36.45%
Al-Ittihad ←
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Ittihad FC) 36.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Neftchi
0.91
1.53
+0.62
Al-Ittihad
1.76
1.10
-0.65
Neftchi dominated by xG (1.53 vs 1.10). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 3 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7
4 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3 6
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6
6 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3 5
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5
8 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3 4
9 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 3
10 Neftchi Neftchi 3 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3
12 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 3 2
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 3 1
14 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3 1
15 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3 0
16 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 2 0
Lineups
Neftchi Neftchi 4-4-1-1
1 B. Ergashev B. Ergashev G 6.63
34 F. Sayfiyev F. Sayfiyev D 6.25
4 B. Ciger B. Ciger 45' D 6.26
3 Michel Michel D 5.73
52 K. Kouao K. Kouao D 6.64
22 Alisher Odilov Alisher Odilov 70' M 6.22
77 Ratinho Ratinho M 6.42
8 V. Jovović V. Jovović 45' M 6.03
7 A. Ismailov A. Ismailov 80' M 5.91
10 J. Iskanderov J. Iskanderov 1 ⚽ M 6.82
88 M. Forss M. Forss 86' F 5.75
Bench
19 A. Erimbetov A. Erimbetov M 0.00
20 A. G'ofurov A. G'ofurov 45' D 6.10
11 A. Jumayev A. Jumayev 4' M 6.05
45 A. Turaev A. Turaev G 0.00
71 B. Toshmirzaev B. Toshmirzaev F 0.00
2 I. Pulatov I. Pulatov D 0.00
9 K. Giyosov K. Giyosov 10' F 6.36
27 N. Sarsenbaev N. Sarsenbaev F 0.00
31 Yan Sasse Yan Sasse 45' F 6.47
Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3-5-2
1 P. Rajković P. Rajković G 6.59
30 D. Lopy D. Lopy 73' D 6.23
2 Danilo Pereira Danilo Pereira D 7.18
6 Saad Al Mosa Saad Al Mosa D 6.78
25 F. Abdi F. Abdi M 6.81
5 R. Rios R. Rios M 6.15
34 S. Bergwijn S. Bergwijn 1 👟 73' M 7.02
23 G. Wijnaldum G. Wijnaldum 63' M 6.07
13 Muhannad Al Shanqiti Muhannad Al Shanqiti M 6.90
99 G. Ilenikhena G. Ilenikhena 63' F 6.44
10 H. Aouar H. Aouar 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.20
Bench
27 Ahmed Al Ghamdi Ahmed Al Ghamdi 17' F 6.60
32 Ahmed Al Julaydan Ahmed Al Julaydan D 0.00
4 J. Šimić J. Šimić D 0.00
22 Marwan Al Sahafi Marwan Al Sahafi 17' F 6.47
50 Mohammed Al Absi Mohammed Al Absi G 0.00
66 Mohammed Barnawi Mohammed Barnawi D 0.00
41 Mohammed Fallatah Mohammed Fallatah M 0.00
42 Muath Faqeehi Muath Faqeehi 1' D 0.00
8 Mukhtar Ali Mukhtar Ali 27' M 5.93
88 Osama Al Mermesh Osama Al Mermesh G 0.00
21 Y. En-Nesyri Y. En-Nesyri 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.74
Best on the pitch
H. Aouar
H. Aouar
F · Al-Ittihad
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 57 pass
Y. En-Nesyri
Y. En-Nesyri
F · Al-Ittihad
7.74
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
Danilo Pereira
Danilo Pereira
D · Al-Ittihad
7.18
1 shots · 87 pass
S. Bergwijn
S. Bergwijn
M · Al-Ittihad
7.02
1 👟
2 shots · 34 pass
Muhannad Al Shanqiti
Muhannad Al Shanqiti
M · Al-Ittihad
6.90
1 shots · 33 pass
J. Iskanderov
J. Iskanderov
M · Neftchi
6.82
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
Neftchi Neftchi — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Ergashev G 90 6.63 — — 0 18 12% 0 — —
F. Sayfiyev D 90 6.25 — — 0 25 22% 5 1 —
B. Ciger D 45 6.26 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
Michel D 90 5.73 — — 1 17 13% 0 1 —
K. Kouao D 90 6.64 — — 0 29 21% 4 — —
Alisher Odilov M 70 6.22 — — 2 14 12% 2 — —
Ratinho M 90 6.42 — — 0 29 27% 4 — —
V. Jovović M 45 6.03 — — 1 19 18% 0 — —
A. Ismailov M 80 5.91 — — 0 30 22% 1 — —
J. Iskanderov M 90 6.82 1 — 1 40 33% 2 — —
M. Forss F 86 5.75 — — 1 11 6% 0 — —
A. G'ofurov D 45 6.10 — — 0 12 10% 0 — —
A. Jumayev M 4 6.05 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
K. Giyosov F 10 6.36 — — 0 3 1% 1 — —
Yan Sasse F 45 6.47 — — 1 14 14% 2 — —
Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Rajković G 90 6.59 — — 0 22 18% 0 — —
D. Lopy D 73 6.23 — — 1 47 40% 2 — —
Danilo Pereira D 90 7.18 — — 1 87 81% 0 — —
Saad Al Mosa D 90 6.78 — — 1 67 63% 1 — —
F. Abdi M 90 6.81 — — 1 42 38% 4 — —
R. Rios M 90 6.15 — — 0 55 43% 1 1 —
S. Bergwijn M 73 7.02 — 1 2 34 28% 0 — —
G. Wijnaldum M 63 6.07 — — 1 26 21% 0 — —
Muhannad Al Shanqiti M 90 6.90 — — 1 33 28% 2 — —
G. Ilenikhena F 63 6.44 — — 2 7 6% 0 — —
H. Aouar F 89 8.20 1 — 1 57 48% 2 — —
Ahmed Al Ghamdi F 17 6.60 — — 1 11 11% 0 — —
Marwan Al Sahafi F 17 6.47 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
Muath Faqeehi D 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Mukhtar Ali M 27 5.93 — — 1 27 22% 1 — —
Y. En-Nesyri F 27 7.74 1 — 1 1 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Neftchi vs Al-Ittihad FC?
The final score was Neftchi 1–2 Al-Ittihad FC.
What did the model predict before Neftchi vs Al-Ittihad FC?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Neftchi win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Al-Ittihad FC win.