Neftchi - Al Quwa Al Jawiya
AFC Champions League
September 14, 2026 15:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Neftchi
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.36
1.81
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.61%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Neftchi a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Expected goals are 1.4 for Neftchi and 1.8 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya (total 3.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.61% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Neftchi
Al Quwa Al Jawiya →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Playing profile
Neftchi
Attack
36
Defence
46
Form
0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
West Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Al-Nassr
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Al Ain
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Al-Wasl FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Al Sadd
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Al-Gharafa
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Al Shamal
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Esteghlal FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Tractor Sazi
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Neftchi
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Al-Ittihad FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Pakhtakor
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · West Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #13 | #14 |
| → Neftchi | #1 | #14 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Al Quwa Al Jawiya | #14 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Neftchi vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
The model gives Neftchi a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win.
How many goals are expected in Neftchi vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
Expected goals: Neftchi 1.4, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.8 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Neftchi vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.61%.