← Saudi Pro League
Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 32 May 11, 2026 18:50
NEOM
#8 · 44 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Al Shabab
#14 · 32 pts
✓Model correct — prediction NEOM
S. Benrahma 19' (pen.)
S. Benrahma 45' (pen.)
78' (ast. Y. Adli) Y. Carrasco

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NEOM a 55% win probability (draw 19%, Al Shabab 24%). The final result was NEOM 2–1 Al Shabab. In 1 previous meetings, NEOM have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al Shabab.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
6
2.23
Actual xG
1.07
5
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
6
23
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
M. Al Shwirekh
⚽S. Benrahma (pen.)
19'
⚽S. Benrahma (pen.)
45'
46'
A. Al Asmari / M. Al Shwirekh ↕
46'
A. Al Othman / A. Azaizeh ↕
↕ S. Benrahma / M. Al Saad
49'
↕ A. Al Oyayari / S. Al Faraj
66'
↕ L. Rodriguez / R. Messi
66'
73'
K. A. Al Sibyani H. / A. Makki ↕
78'
ast. Y. Adli · Y. Carrasco⚽
78'
B. Al Sayyali / V. Sierro ↕
K. Al Dawsari
80'
85'
A. Matuq / H. Al Hammami ↕
↕ M. Al Saad / I. Hawsawi
90'+2
↕ A. Kone / M. Al Burayk
90'+2
90'+7
A. Al Othman
Pre-match prediction
55.24%
NEOM ←
19.89%
X
24.87%
Al
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (NEOM) 55.24% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NEOM
2.40
2.23
-0.17
Al
1.41
1.07
-0.34
NEOM dominated by xG (2.23 vs 1.07). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 33 83
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 32 78
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 32 75
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 33 74
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 32 55
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon 32 52
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 33 49
8 NEOM NEOM 32 44
9 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 33 39
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 32 38
11 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 32 37
12 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 33 36
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood 32 32
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab 32 32
15 Damac Damac 32 26
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 32 26
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 32 17
18 Al Najma Al Najma 33 13
Lineups
NEOM NEOM 4-4-2
99 Marcin Bułka Marcin Bułka G 7.50
25 Faris Abdi Faris Abdi D 6.60
44 Nathan Zeze Nathan Zeze D 7.00
26 Ahmed Hegazy Ahmed Hegazy D 7.20
4 Khalifah Al-Dawsari Khalifah Al-Dawsari D 6.90
19 Luciano Rodríguez Luciano Rodríguez 67' M 6.30
72 Amadou Koné Amadou Koné M 7.90
18 Ala'a Al-Hejji Ala'a Al-Hejji M 7.70
15 Abdulmalik Al Oyayari Abdulmalik Al Oyayari 66' M 7.00
10 Saïd Benrahma Saïd Benrahma 2 ⚽ 49' F 8.20
91 Alexandre Lacazette Alexandre Lacazette F 8.00
Bench
93 Awn Al-Saluli Awn Al-Saluli D
95 Ayman Fallatah Ayman Fallatah M
27 Islam Ahmed Hawsawi Islam Ahmed Hawsawi 5' D
2 Mohammed Alburayk Mohammed Alburayk 5' D
14 Muhannad Al Saad Muhannad Al Saad 43' F 6.90
1 Mustafa Malaika Mustafa Malaika G
80 Rayane Messi Tanfouri Rayane Messi Tanfouri 30' F 6.90
7 Salman Alfaraj Salman Alfaraj 31' M 6.50
Al Shabab Al Shabab 4-2-3-1
43 Marcelo Grohe Marcelo Grohe G 6.90
17 M. Al Thani M. Al Thani D 6.30
4 W. Hoedt W. Hoedt D 7.20
2 M. Al Shwirekh M. Al Shwirekh 45' D 5.20
5 A. Makki A. Makki 73' D 6.20
14 V. Sierro V. Sierro 78' M 6.30
8 J. Brownhill J. Brownhill M 6.50
22 Hammam Al-Hammami Hammam Al-Hammami 85' M 5.90
29 Y. Adli Y. Adli 1 👟 M 7.50
99 A. Azaizeh A. Azaizeh 45' M 6.30
10 Y. Carrasco Y. Carrasco 1 ⚽ F 7.60
Bench
91 A. Al Othman A. Al Othman 52' F 6.30
37 Abdullah Matuq Abdullah Matuq 12' F 6.50
40 Ali Al Asmari Ali Al Asmari 52' M 6.90
20 B. Al Sayyali B. Al Sayyali 19' M 6.30
6 F. Al Subiani F. Al Subiani M
16 K. A. Al Sibyani H. K. A. Al Sibyani H. 24' D 6.50
33 Mohammed Al-Mahasneh Mohammed Al-Mahasneh G
94 Mubarak Al-Rajeh Mubarak Al-Rajeh D
7 U. Hernandez U. Hernandez M
Best on the pitch
Saïd Benrahma
Saïd Benrahma
F · NEOM
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots · 11 pass
Alexandre Lacazette
Alexandre Lacazette
F · NEOM
8.00
· 20 pass
Amadou Koné
Amadou Koné
M · NEOM
7.90
1 shots · 43 pass
Ala'a Al-Hejji
Ala'a Al-Hejji
M · NEOM
7.70
· 58 pass
Y. Carrasco
Y. Carrasco
F · Al
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 43 pass
Y. Adli
Y. Adli
M · Al
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 66 pass
NEOM NEOM — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marcin Bułka G 97 7.50 — — — 18 8% — — —
Faris Abdi D 97 6.60 — — — 32 30% 4 — —
Nathan Zeze D 97 7.00 — — 1 41 36% — — —
Ahmed Hegazy D 97 7.20 — — — 28 22% 1 — —
Khalifah Al-Dawsari D 97 6.90 — — — 31 29% 6 1 —
Luciano Rodríguez M 67 6.30 — — 1 12 9% 1 — —
Amadou Koné M 92 7.90 — — 1 43 36% 1 — —
Ala'a Al-Hejji M 97 7.70 — — — 58 49% 2 — —
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari M 66 7.00 — — 1 25 20% 3 — —
Saïd Benrahma F 49 8.20 2 — 4 11 10% 1 — —
Alexandre Lacazette F 97 8.00 — — — 20 16% — — —
Islam Ahmed Hawsawi D 5 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Mohammed Alburayk D 5 — — — — 5 4% — — —
Muhannad Al Saad F 43 6.90 — — 1 12 9% 2 — —
Rayane Messi Tanfouri F 30 6.90 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
Salman Alfaraj M 31 6.50 — — — 17 14% 1 — —
Al Shabab Al Shabab — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marcelo Grohe G 97 6.90 — — — 17 17% — — —
M. Al Thani D 97 6.30 — — 1 39 35% 2 — —
W. Hoedt D 97 7.20 — — 1 71 65% 3 — —
M. Al Shwirekh D 45 5.20 — — — 27 23% — 1 —
A. Makki D 73 6.20 — — — 29 24% 3 — —
V. Sierro M 78 6.30 — — — 47 46% 2 — —
J. Brownhill M 97 6.50 — — 1 50 45% — — —
Hammam Al-Hammami M 85 5.90 — — 1 30 21% — — —
Y. Adli M 97 7.50 — 1 1 66 55% 3 — —
A. Azaizeh M 45 6.30 — — 1 8 6% — — —
Y. Carrasco F 97 7.60 1 — 3 43 36% 1 — —
A. Al Othman F 52 6.30 — — — 2 2% — 1 —
Abdullah Matuq F 12 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
Ali Al Asmari M 52 6.90 — — — 35 29% — — —
B. Al Sayyali M 19 6.30 — — — 13 10% — — —
K. A. Al Sibyani H. D 24 6.50 — — — 10 10% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NEOM vs Al Shabab?
The final score was NEOM 2–1 Al Shabab.
What did the model predict before NEOM vs Al Shabab?
The model assigned 55% probability to a NEOM win, 19% to a draw, and 24% to an Al Shabab win.