Saudi Pro League
· Regular Season - 32
May 11, 2026 18:50
✓Model correct — prediction NEOM
S. Benrahma
19'
(pen.)
S. Benrahma
45'
(pen.)
78'
(ast. Y. Adli)
Y. Carrasco
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NEOM a 55% win probability (draw 19%, Al Shabab 24%). The final result was NEOM 2–1 Al Shabab. In 1 previous meetings, NEOM have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al Shabab.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
6
2.23
Actual xG
1.07
5
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
6
23
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
M. Al Shwirekh
⚽S. Benrahma
(pen.)
19'
⚽S. Benrahma
(pen.)
45'
46'
A. Al Asmari
/
M. Al Shwirekh
46'
A. Al Othman
/
A. Azaizeh
S. Benrahma
/ M. Al Saad
49'
A. Al Oyayari
/ S. Al Faraj
66'
L. Rodriguez
/ R. Messi
66'
73'
K. A. Al Sibyani H.
/
A. Makki
78'
ast. Y. Adli ·
Y. Carrasco⚽
78'
B. Al Sayyali
/
V. Sierro
K. Al Dawsari
80'
85'
A. Matuq
/
H. Al Hammami
M. Al Saad
/ I. Hawsawi
90'+2
A. Kone
/ M. Al Burayk
90'+2
90'+7
A. Al Othman
Pre-match prediction
55.24%
NEOM ←
19.89%
X
24.87%
Al
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (NEOM)
55.24%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.40
2.23
-0.17
1.41
1.07
-0.34
NEOM dominated by xG (2.23 vs 1.07).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
99
Marcin Bułka
G
25
Faris Abdi
D
Faris Abdi
D
44
N. Zézé
D
N. Zézé
D
26
Ahmed Hegazy
D
Ahmed Hegazy
D
4
Khalifah Al Dawsari
D
Khalifah Al Dawsari
D
19
Luciano Rodríguez
67'
M
Luciano Rodríguez
67'
M
72
Amadou Koné
M
Amadou Koné
M
18
Ala'a Al-Hejji
M
Ala'a Al-Hejji
M
15
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
66'
M
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
66'
M
10
S. Benrahma
2 ⚽
49'
F
S. Benrahma
2 ⚽
49'
F
91
A. Lacazette
F
A. Lacazette
F
Bench
93
Awn Al-Saluli
D
Awn Al-Saluli
D
95
Ayman Fallatah
M
Ayman Fallatah
M
27
Islam Ahmed Hawsawi
5'
D
Islam Ahmed Hawsawi
5'
D
2
Mohammed Alburayk
5'
D
Mohammed Alburayk
5'
D
14
Muhannad Al Saad
43'
F
Muhannad Al Saad
43'
F
1
Mustafa Malaika
G
Mustafa Malaika
G
80
Rayane Messi Tanfouri
30'
F
Rayane Messi Tanfouri
30'
F
7
Salman Alfaraj
31'
M
Salman Alfaraj
31'
M
43
Marcelo Grohe
G
Marcelo Grohe
G
17
Mohammed Al-Thani
D
Mohammed Al-Thani
D
4
W. Hoedt
D
W. Hoedt
D
2
Mohammed Al Shwirekh
45'
D
Mohammed Al Shwirekh
45'
D
5
Ali Makki
73'
D
Ali Makki
73'
D
14
Vincent Sierro
78'
M
Vincent Sierro
78'
M
8
Josh Brownhill
M
Josh Brownhill
M
22
Hammam Al-Hammami
85'
M
Hammam Al-Hammami
85'
M
29
Yacine Adli
1 👟
M
Yacine Adli
1 👟
M
99
Ali Al Azaizeh
45'
M
Ali Al Azaizeh
45'
M
10
Y. Carrasco
1 ⚽
F
Y. Carrasco
1 ⚽
F
Bench
91
Abdulaziz Al-Othman
52'
F
Abdulaziz Al-Othman
52'
F
37
Abdullah Matuq
12'
F
Abdullah Matuq
12'
F
40
Ali Al Asmari
52'
M
Ali Al Asmari
52'
M
20
Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali
19'
M
Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali
19'
M
6
F. Al Subiani
M
F. Al Subiani
M
16
Hussain Al-Sebyani
24'
D
Hussain Al-Sebyani
24'
D
33
Mohammed Al-Mahasneh
G
Mohammed Al-Mahasneh
G
94
Mubarak Al-Rajeh
D
Mubarak Al-Rajeh
D
7
Unai Hernández
M
Unai Hernández
M
Best on the pitch
S. Benrahma
F · NEOM
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 11 pass
A. Lacazette
F · NEOM
8.00
· 20 pass
Amadou Koné
M · NEOM
7.90
1 shots
· 43 pass
Ala'a Al-Hejji
M · NEOM
7.70
· 58 pass
Y. Carrasco
F · Al
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 43 pass
Yacine Adli
M · Al
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 66 pass
NEOM — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Bułka | G | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Faris Abdi | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Zézé | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Hegazy | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Khalifah Al Dawsari | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Luciano Rodríguez | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Amadou Koné | M | 92 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Ala'a Al-Hejji | M | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Benrahma | F | 49 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 4 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Lacazette | F | 97 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Islam Ahmed Hawsawi | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Alburayk | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al Saad | F | 43 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Rayane Messi Tanfouri | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Salman Alfaraj | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Al Shabab — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Grohe | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Thani | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Hoedt | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Shwirekh | D | 45 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Ali Makki | D | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Vincent Sierro | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Josh Brownhill | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Hammam Al-Hammami | M | 85 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Yacine Adli | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 66 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| Ali Al Azaizeh | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Y. Carrasco | F | 97 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al-Othman | F | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Abdullah Matuq | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Asmari | M | 52 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al-Sebyani | D | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NEOM vs Al Shabab?
The final score was NEOM 2–1 Al Shabab.
What did the model predict before NEOM vs Al Shabab?
The model assigned 55% probability to a NEOM win, 19% to a draw, and 24% to an Al Shabab win.