Saudi Pro League
· Regular Season - 32
May 11, 2026 18:50
✓Model correct — prediction NEOM
S. Benrahma
19'
(pen.)
S. Benrahma
45'
(pen.)
78'
(ast. Y. Adli)
Y. Carrasco
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NEOM a 55% win probability (draw 19%, Al Shabab 24%). The final result was NEOM 2–1 Al Shabab. In 1 previous meetings, NEOM have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al Shabab.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
6
2.23
Actual xG
1.07
5
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
6
23
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
M. Al Shwirekh
⚽S. Benrahma
(pen.)
19'
⚽S. Benrahma
(pen.)
45'
46'
A. Al Asmari
/
M. Al Shwirekh
46'
A. Al Othman
/
A. Azaizeh
S. Benrahma
/ M. Al Saad
49'
A. Al Oyayari
/ S. Al Faraj
66'
L. Rodriguez
/ R. Messi
66'
73'
K. A. Al Sibyani H.
/
A. Makki
78'
ast. Y. Adli ·
Y. Carrasco⚽
78'
B. Al Sayyali
/
V. Sierro
K. Al Dawsari
80'
85'
A. Matuq
/
H. Al Hammami
M. Al Saad
/ I. Hawsawi
90'+2
A. Kone
/ M. Al Burayk
90'+2
90'+7
A. Al Othman
Pre-match prediction
55.24%
NEOM ←
19.89%
X
24.87%
Al
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (NEOM)
55.24%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.40
2.23
-0.17
1.41
1.07
-0.34
NEOM dominated by xG (2.23 vs 1.07).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
99
M. Bułka
G
M. Bułka
G
25
F. Abdi
D
F. Abdi
D
44
N. Zézé
D
N. Zézé
D
26
Ahmed Hegazy
D
Ahmed Hegazy
D
4
Khalifah Al Dawsari
D
Khalifah Al Dawsari
D
19
L. Rodríguez
67'
M
L. Rodríguez
67'
M
72
A. Koné
M
A. Koné
M
18
Ala Al Hajji
M
Ala Al Hajji
M
15
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
66'
M
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
66'
M
10
S. Benrahma
2 ⚽
49'
F
S. Benrahma
2 ⚽
49'
F
91
A. Lacazette
F
A. Lacazette
F
Bench
93
Awn Al Saluli
D
Awn Al Saluli
D
95
Ayman Fallatah\t
M
Ayman Fallatah\t
M
27
Islam Hawsawi
5'
D
Islam Hawsawi
5'
D
2
Mohammed Al Burayk
5'
D
Mohammed Al Burayk
5'
D
14
Muhannad Al Saad
43'
F
Muhannad Al Saad
43'
F
1
Mustafa Malayekah
G
Mustafa Malayekah
G
80
R. Messi
30'
F
R. Messi
30'
F
7
Salman Alfaraj
31'
M
Salman Alfaraj
31'
M
43
Marcelo Grohe
G
Marcelo Grohe
G
17
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
D
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
D
4
W. Hoedt
D
W. Hoedt
D
2
Mohammed Al Shwirekh
45'
D
Mohammed Al Shwirekh
45'
D
5
Ali Makki
73'
D
Ali Makki
73'
D
14
V. Sierro
78'
M
V. Sierro
78'
M
8
J. Brownhill
M
J. Brownhill
M
22
Hammam Al-Hammami
85'
M
Hammam Al-Hammami
85'
M
29
Y. Adli
1 👟
M
Y. Adli
1 👟
M
99
Ali Al Azaizeh
45'
M
10
Y. Carrasco
1 ⚽
F
Y. Carrasco
1 ⚽
F
Bench
91
Abdulaziz Al Othman
52'
F
Abdulaziz Al Othman
52'
F
37
Abdullah Matuq
12'
F
Abdullah Matuq
12'
F
40
Ali Al Asmari
52'
M
Ali Al Asmari
52'
M
20
Basil Al Sayyali
19'
M
Basil Al Sayyali
19'
M
6
Faisal Al Subiani
M
Faisal Al Subiani
M
16
Hussain Al Sibyani
24'
D
Hussain Al Sibyani
24'
D
33
Mohammed Al-Mahasneh
G
Mohammed Al-Mahasneh
G
94
Mubarak Al Rajeh
D
Mubarak Al Rajeh
D
7
Unai Hernández
M
Unai Hernández
M
Best on the pitch
S. Benrahma
F · NEOM
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 11 pass
A. Lacazette
F · NEOM
8.00
· 20 pass
A. Koné
M · NEOM
7.90
1 shots
· 43 pass
Ala Al Hajji
M · NEOM
7.70
· 58 pass
Y. Carrasco
F · Al
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 43 pass
Y. Adli
M · Al
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 66 pass
NEOM — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bułka | G | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 8% | — | — | — |
| F. Abdi | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Zézé | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Hegazy | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Khalifah Al Dawsari | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 6 | 1 | — |
| L. Rodríguez | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Koné | M | 92 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Ala Al Hajji | M | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Benrahma | F | 49 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 4 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Lacazette | F | 97 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Islam Hawsawi | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Burayk | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al Saad | F | 43 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Messi | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Salman Alfaraj | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Al Shabab — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Grohe | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Hoedt | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Shwirekh | D | 45 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Ali Makki | D | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| V. Sierro | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Brownhill | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Hammam Al-Hammami | M | 85 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Y. Adli | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 66 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| Ali Al Azaizeh | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Y. Carrasco | F | 97 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Othman | F | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Abdullah Matuq | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Asmari | M | 52 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Basil Al Sayyali | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al Sibyani | D | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NEOM vs Al Shabab?
The final score was NEOM 2–1 Al Shabab.
What did the model predict before NEOM vs Al Shabab?
The model assigned 55% probability to a NEOM win, 19% to a draw, and 24% to an Al Shabab win.