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World Cup · Group Stage - 1 June 14, 2026 22:00
Netherlands
#1 · 7 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Japan
#2 · 5 pts
V. van Dijk (ast. R. Gravenberch) 51'
C. Summerville (ast. R. Gravenberch) 64'
57' (ast. T. Kubo) K. Nakamura
88' (ast. K. Ogawa) D. Kamada
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Netherlands a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Japan 31%). The final result was Netherlands 2–2 Japan.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
0.70
Actual xG
0.54
1
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
5
Corners
4
11
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽V. van Dijk · ast. R. Gravenberch
51'
57'
ast. T. Kubo · K. Nakamura⚽
C. Summerville
61'
⚽C. Summerville · ast. R. Gravenberch
64'
66'
J. Ito / D. Maeda ↕
↕ D. Malen / M. Depay
70'
↕ C. Summerville / T. Koopmeiners
70'
↕ T. Reijnders / Q. Timber
70'
75'
T. Tomiyasu / T. Watanabe ↕
75'
K. Ogawa / T. Kubo ↕
75'
Y. Sugawara / R. Doan ↕
↕ R. Gravenberch / N. Ake
81'
M. Depay
83'
84'
K. Shiogai / A. Ueda ↕
↕ C. Gakpo / B. Brobbey
85'
88'
ast. K. Ogawa · D. Kamada⚽
M. van de Ven
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
38.21%
Netherlands
30.38%
X ←
31.41%
Japan
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.38% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Netherlands
1.56
0.70
-0.86
Japan
1.33
0.54
-0.79
xG dominance was balanced (0.70 – 0.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Netherlands Netherlands 3 7
2 Japan Japan 3 5
3 Sweden Sweden 3 4
4 Tunisia Tunisia 3 0
Lineups
Netherlands Netherlands 4-3-3
1 Bart Verbruggen Bart Verbruggen G 6.00
15 M. van de Ven M. van de Ven D 6.20
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk 1 ⚽ D 7.90
6 Jan Paul van Hecke Jan Paul van Hecke D 7.50
22 D. Dumfries D. Dumfries D 6.60
14 T. Reijnders T. Reijnders 70' M 6.30
21 F. de Jong F. de Jong M 7.20
8 R. Gravenberch R. Gravenberch 2 👟 81' M 7.20
11 C. Gakpo C. Gakpo 85' F 7.30
18 D. Malen D. Malen 70' F 6.90
24 C. Summerville C. Summerville 1 ⚽ 70' F 8.30
Bench
19 B. Brobbey B. Brobbey 9' F 6.30
16 G. Til G. Til M
25 Jorrel Hato Jorrel Hato D
7 Justin Kluivert Justin Kluivert F
2 Lutsharel Geertruida Lutsharel Geertruida D
23 Mark Flekken Mark Flekken G
3 Marten de Roon Marten de Roon M
12 Mats Wieffer Mats Wieffer M
10 M. Depay M. Depay 24' F 6.70
5 Nathan Aké Nathan Aké 13' D 6.20
17 N. Lang N. Lang F
26 Quinten Timber Quinten Timber 24' M 6.90
13 Robin Roefs Robin Roefs G
20 Teun Koopmeiners Teun Koopmeiners 24' M 6.50
9 W. Weghorst W. Weghorst F
Japan Japan 3-4-2-1
1 Zion Suzuki Zion Suzuki G 8.00
21 Hiroki Itō Hiroki Itō D 6.30
3 Shogo Taniguchi Shogo Taniguchi D 6.70
16 Tsuyoshi Watanabe Tsuyoshi Watanabe 75' D 6.30
13 Keito Nakamura Keito Nakamura 1 ⚽ M 7.70
15 D. Kamada D. Kamada 1 ⚽ M 7.30
24 Kaishu Sano Kaishu Sano M 6.20
10 R. Dōan R. Dōan 75' M 6.50
11 Daizen Maeda Daizen Maeda 66' F 6.20
8 Takefusa Kubo Takefusa Kubo 1 👟 75' F 6.60
18 A. Ueda A. Ueda 84' F 6.70
Bench
7 Ao Tanaka Ao Tanaka M
20 Ayumu Seko Ayumu Seko D
25 Junnosuke Suzuki Junnosuke Suzuki D
14 Junya Ito Junya Ito 28' F 6.70
12 Keisuke Osako Keisuke Osako G
26 Kento Shiogai Kento Shiogai 10' F 6.20
9 K. Goto K. Goto F
4 Ko Itakura Ko Itakura D
19 Koki Ogawa Koki Ogawa 1 👟 19' F 6.30
6 Shuto Machino Shuto Machino F
22 Takehiro Tomiyasu Takehiro Tomiyasu 19' D 6.70
23 Tomoki Hayakawa Tomoki Hayakawa G
17 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki M
2 Yukinari Sugawara Yukinari Sugawara 19' D 6.90
5 Yuto Nagatomo Yuto Nagatomo D
Best on the pitch
C. Summerville
C. Summerville
F · Netherlands
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
Zion Suzuki
Zion Suzuki
G · Japan
8.00
· 19 pass
V. van Dijk
V. van Dijk
D · Netherlands
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 95 pass
Keito Nakamura
Keito Nakamura
M · Japan
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 31 pass
Jan Paul van Hecke
Jan Paul van Hecke
D · Netherlands
7.50
1 shots · 92 pass
D. Kamada
D. Kamada
M · Japan
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 58 pass
Netherlands Netherlands — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Bart Verbruggen G 94 6.00 — — — 29 19% — — —
M. van de Ven D 94 6.20 — — 1 40 39% 1 1 —
V. van Dijk D 94 7.90 1 — 1 95 88% — — —
Jan Paul van Hecke D 94 7.50 — — 1 92 84% 2 — —
D. Dumfries D 94 6.60 — — — 37 32% 1 — —
T. Reijnders M 70 6.30 — — — 22 19% — — —
F. de Jong M 94 7.20 — — — 69 66% 3 — —
R. Gravenberch M 81 7.20 — 2 — 25 22% — — —
C. Gakpo F 85 7.30 — — 2 36 27% 1 — —
D. Malen F 70 6.90 — — 2 8 4% — — —
C. Summerville F 70 8.30 1 — 1 29 25% — 1 —
B. Brobbey F 9 6.30 — — — — — — — —
M. Depay F 24 6.70 — — — 6 6% — 1 —
Nathan Aké D 13 6.20 — — — 6 6% — — —
Quinten Timber M 24 6.90 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
Teun Koopmeiners M 24 6.50 — — 1 1 1% 1 — —
Japan Japan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Zion Suzuki G 94 8.00 — — — 19 10% — — —
Hiroki Itō D 94 6.30 — — 1 40 36% — — —
Shogo Taniguchi D 94 6.70 — — — 50 49% — — —
Tsuyoshi Watanabe D 75 6.30 — — — 21 17% 2 — —
Keito Nakamura M 94 7.70 1 — 3 31 28% 1 — —
D. Kamada M 94 7.30 1 — 1 58 47% 3 — —
Kaishu Sano M 94 6.20 — — — 30 25% 1 — —
R. Dōan M 75 6.50 — — — 14 11% 1 — —
Daizen Maeda F 66 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
Takefusa Kubo F 75 6.60 — 1 1 16 12% — — —
A. Ueda F 84 6.70 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
Junya Ito F 28 6.70 — — — 13 9% — — —
Kento Shiogai F 10 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Koki Ogawa F 19 6.30 — 1 1 — — — — —
Takehiro Tomiyasu D 19 6.70 — — — 19 18% 1 — —
Yukinari Sugawara D 19 6.90 — — 1 10 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Netherlands vs Japan?
The final score was Netherlands 2–2 Japan.
What did the model predict before Netherlands vs Japan?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Netherlands win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Japan win.