World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
June 14, 2026 22:00
V. van Dijk
(ast. R. Gravenberch)
51'
C. Summerville
(ast. R. Gravenberch)
64'
57'
(ast. T. Kubo)
K. Nakamura
88'
(ast. K. Ogawa)
D. Kamada
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Netherlands a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Japan 31%). The final result was Netherlands 2–2 Japan.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
0.70
Actual xG
0.54
1
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
5
Corners
4
11
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽V. van Dijk
· ast. R. Gravenberch
51'
57'
ast. T. Kubo ·
K. Nakamura⚽
C. Summerville
61'
⚽C. Summerville
· ast. R. Gravenberch
64'
66'
J. Ito
/
D. Maeda
D. Malen
/ M. Depay
70'
C. Summerville
/ T. Koopmeiners
70'
T. Reijnders
/ Q. Timber
70'
75'
T. Tomiyasu
/
T. Watanabe
75'
K. Ogawa
/
T. Kubo
75'
Y. Sugawara
/
R. Doan
R. Gravenberch
/ N. Ake
81'
M. Depay
83'
84'
K. Shiogai
/
A. Ueda
C. Gakpo
/ B. Brobbey
85'
88'
ast. K. Ogawa ·
D. Kamada⚽
M. van de Ven
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
38.21%
Netherlands
30.38%
X ←
31.41%
Japan
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.56
0.70
-0.86
1.33
0.54
-0.79
xG dominance was balanced (0.70 – 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
B. Verbruggen
G
B. Verbruggen
G
15
M. van de Ven
D
M. van de Ven
D
4
V. van Dijk
1 ⚽
D
V. van Dijk
1 ⚽
D
6
J. van Hecke
D
J. van Hecke
D
22
D. Dumfries
D
D. Dumfries
D
14
T. Reijnders
70'
M
T. Reijnders
70'
M
21
F. de Jong
M
F. de Jong
M
8
R. Gravenberch
2 👟
81'
M
R. Gravenberch
2 👟
81'
M
11
C. Gakpo
85'
F
C. Gakpo
85'
F
18
D. Malen
70'
F
D. Malen
70'
F
24
C. Summerville
1 ⚽
70'
F
C. Summerville
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
19
B. Brobbey
9'
F
B. Brobbey
9'
F
16
G. Til
M
G. Til
M
25
J. Hato
D
J. Hato
D
7
J. Kluivert
F
J. Kluivert
F
2
L. Geertruida
D
L. Geertruida
D
12
Mats Wieffer
M
Mats Wieffer
M
10
M. Depay
24'
F
M. Depay
24'
F
3
M. de Roon
M
M. de Roon
M
23
M. Flekken
G
M. Flekken
G
5
N. Aké
13'
D
N. Aké
13'
D
17
N. Lang
F
N. Lang
F
26
Q. Timber
24'
M
Q. Timber
24'
M
13
R. Roefs
G
R. Roefs
G
20
T. Koopmeiners
24'
M
T. Koopmeiners
24'
M
9
W. Weghorst
F
W. Weghorst
F
1
Z. Suzuki
G
Z. Suzuki
G
21
H. Ito
D
H. Ito
D
3
S. Taniguchi
D
S. Taniguchi
D
16
T. Watanabe
75'
D
T. Watanabe
75'
D
13
Keito Nakamura
1 ⚽
M
Keito Nakamura
1 ⚽
M
15
D. Kamada
1 ⚽
M
D. Kamada
1 ⚽
M
24
K. Sano
M
K. Sano
M
10
R. Dōan
75'
M
R. Dōan
75'
M
11
D. Maeda
66'
F
D. Maeda
66'
F
8
T. Kubo
1 👟
75'
F
T. Kubo
1 👟
75'
F
18
A. Ueda
84'
F
A. Ueda
84'
F
Bench
20
A. Seko
D
A. Seko
D
7
A. Tanaka
M
A. Tanaka
M
14
J. Ito
28'
F
J. Ito
28'
F
25
J. Suzuki
D
J. Suzuki
D
9
K. Goto
F
K. Goto
F
4
K. Itakura
D
K. Itakura
D
19
Koki Ogawa
1 👟
19'
F
Koki Ogawa
1 👟
19'
F
12
K. Osako
G
K. Osako
G
26
K. Shiogai
10'
F
K. Shiogai
10'
F
6
S. Machino
F
S. Machino
F
23
T. Hayakawa
G
T. Hayakawa
G
22
T. Tomiyasu
19'
D
T. Tomiyasu
19'
D
5
Y. Nagatomo
D
Y. Nagatomo
D
17
Y. Suzuki
M
Y. Suzuki
M
2
Yukinari Sugawara
19'
D
Yukinari Sugawara
19'
D
Best on the pitch
C. Summerville
F · Netherlands
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Z. Suzuki
G · Japan
8.00
· 19 pass
V. van Dijk
D · Netherlands
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 95 pass
Keito Nakamura
M · Japan
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 31 pass
J. van Hecke
D · Netherlands
7.50
1 shots
· 92 pass
D. Kamada
M · Japan
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 58 pass
Netherlands — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Verbruggen | G | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| M. van de Ven | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 95 | 88% | — | — | — |
| J. van Hecke | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 92 | 84% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Reijnders | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| F. de Jong | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 66% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | 2 | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| C. Gakpo | F | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Malen | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| C. Summerville | F | 70 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Depay | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Aké | D | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Q. Timber | M | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Koopmeiners | M | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Japan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Suzuki | G | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | — | — | — |
| H. Ito | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | — | — | — |
| S. Taniguchi | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 49% | — | — | — |
| T. Watanabe | D | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Keito Nakamura | M | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 94 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 58 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Sano | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Dōan | M | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Maeda | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Kubo | F | 75 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Ueda | F | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ito | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Koki Ogawa | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Shiogai | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Tomiyasu | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Yukinari Sugawara | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Netherlands vs Japan?
The final score was Netherlands 2–2 Japan.
What did the model predict before Netherlands vs Japan?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Netherlands win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Japan win.