C. Gakpo
(ast. C. Summerville)
72'
90'+1
(ast. C. Talbi)
I. Diop
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Netherlands a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Morocco 27%). The final result was Netherlands 1–1 Morocco.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
5
0.23
Actual xG
1.40
5
Saves
1
30%
Possession
70%
5
Corners
8
18
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
47'
I. Diop
N. Ake
/ T. Koopmeiners
71'
B. Brobbey
/ W. Weghorst
71'
⚽C. Gakpo
· ast. C. Summerville
72'
75'
A. Salah-Eddine
/
C. Riad
79'
G. Yassine
/
B. Diaz
79'
S. El Mourabet
/
A. Bouaddi
86'
S. Rahimi
/
A. Ounahi
M. van de Ven
/ J. Hato
86'
R. Gravenberch
/ Q. Timber
86'
87'
C. Talbi
/
B. El Khannouss
90'+1
ast. C. Talbi ·
I. Diop⚽
F. de Jong
/ M. De Roon
110'
C. Gakpo
/ J. Kluivert
113'
Pre-match prediction
45.17%
Netherlands
27.36%
X ←
27.46%
Morocco
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.94
0.23
-1.71
1.52
1.40
-0.12
Morocco dominated by xG (1.40 vs 0.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Bart Verbruggen
G
Bart Verbruggen
G
5
Nathan Aké
71'
D
Nathan Aké
71'
D
4
V. van Dijk
D
V. van Dijk
D
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
15
M. van de Ven
86'
M
M. van de Ven
86'
M
21
F. de Jong
M
F. de Jong
M
8
R. Gravenberch
86'
M
R. Gravenberch
86'
M
22
D. Dumfries
M
D. Dumfries
M
11
C. Gakpo
1 ⚽
F
C. Gakpo
1 ⚽
F
24
C. Summerville
1 👟
F
C. Summerville
1 👟
F
19
B. Brobbey
71'
F
B. Brobbey
71'
F
Bench
18
D. Malen
F
D. Malen
F
16
Guus Til
M
Guus Til
M
25
Jorrel Hato
34'
D
Jorrel Hato
34'
D
7
Justin Kluivert
8'
F
Justin Kluivert
8'
F
2
Lutsharel Geertruida
D
Lutsharel Geertruida
D
23
Mark Flekken
G
Mark Flekken
G
3
Marten de Roon
10'
M
Marten de Roon
10'
M
12
Mats Wieffer
M
Mats Wieffer
M
10
M. Depay
F
M. Depay
F
17
N. Lang
F
N. Lang
F
26
Quinten Timber
34'
M
Quinten Timber
34'
M
13
Robin Roefs
G
Robin Roefs
G
20
Teun Koopmeiners
49'
M
Teun Koopmeiners
49'
M
14
T. Reijnders
M
T. Reijnders
M
9
Wout Weghorst
49'
F
Wout Weghorst
49'
F
1
Yassine Bounou
G
Yassine Bounou
G
3
Noussair Mazraoui
D
Noussair Mazraoui
D
18
Chadi Riad
75'
D
Chadi Riad
75'
D
14
I. Diop
1 ⚽
D
I. Diop
1 ⚽
D
2
Achraf Hakimi
D
Achraf Hakimi
D
24
N. El Aynaoui
M
N. El Aynaoui
M
6
Ayyoub Bouaddi
79'
M
Ayyoub Bouaddi
79'
M
23
Bilal El Khannouss
87'
M
Bilal El Khannouss
87'
M
8
A. Ounahi
86'
M
A. Ounahi
86'
M
10
Brahim Díaz
79'
M
Brahim Díaz
79'
M
11
I. Saibari
F
I. Saibari
F
Bench
17
Amine Sbai
F
Amine Sbai
F
26
Anass Salah-Eddine
45'
D
Anass Salah-Eddine
45'
D
22
A. Tagnaouti
G
A. Tagnaouti
G
21
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab
F
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab
F
20
Ayoub El Kaabi
F
Ayoub El Kaabi
F
7
Chemsdine Talbi
1 👟
33'
F
Chemsdine Talbi
1 👟
33'
F
16
Gessime Yassine
41'
F
Gessime Yassine
41'
F
5
Marwane Saadane
D
Marwane Saadane
D
12
M. Mohamedi
G
M. Mohamedi
G
25
Redouane Halhal
D
Redouane Halhal
D
15
Samir El Mourabet
41'
M
Samir El Mourabet
41'
M
4
Sofyan Amrabat
M
Sofyan Amrabat
M
9
S. Rahimi
34'
F
S. Rahimi
34'
F
19
Youssef Belammari
D
Youssef Belammari
D
13
Zakaria El Ouahdi
D
Zakaria El Ouahdi
D
Best on the pitch
Bart Verbruggen
G · Netherlands
8.30
· 31 pass
Noussair Mazraoui
D · Morocco
7.70
· 77 pass
A. Ounahi
M · Morocco
7.30
1 shots
· 84 pass
N. El Aynaoui
M · Morocco
7.30
1 shots
· 138 pass
I. Diop
D · Morocco
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 67 pass
C. Summerville
F · Netherlands
7.20
1 👟
· 16 pass
Netherlands — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bart Verbruggen | G | 120 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Aké | D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | — | — | — |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | D | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 56% | 4 | — | — |
| M. van de Ven | M | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F. de Jong | M | 110 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | M | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Gakpo | F | 113 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Summerville | F | 120 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorrel Hato | D | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Justin Kluivert | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marten de Roon | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Quinten Timber | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Teun Koopmeiners | M | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Wout Weghorst | F | 49 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Morocco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yassine Bounou | G | 120 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Noussair Mazraoui | D | 120 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 77 | 68% | 5 | — | — |
| Chadi Riad | D | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 50% | — | — | — |
| I. Diop | D | 120 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 67 | 65% | — | 1 | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | D | 120 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 97 | 94% | 1 | — | — |
| N. El Aynaoui | M | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 138 | 134% | 4 | — | — |
| Ayyoub Bouaddi | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Bilal El Khannouss | M | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ounahi | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 79% | — | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Saibari | F | 120 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Anass Salah-Eddine | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Chemsdine Talbi | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Gessime Yassine | F | 41 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Samir El Mourabet | M | 41 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 64% | — | — | — |
| S. Rahimi | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Netherlands vs Morocco?
The final score was Netherlands 1–1 Morocco.
What did the model predict before Netherlands vs Morocco?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Netherlands win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Morocco win.