Netherlands - Morocco
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
23.9°C
💨 7 km/h
· Kuwait
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.63%
Win
Netherlands
26.91%
Draw
27.46%
Win
Morocco
1.95
1.53
Expected xG
Most likely result
1–1
(9.2%)
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
68%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Netherlands a 45% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Morocco. Expected goals are 2.0 for Netherlands and 1.5 for Morocco (total 3.5), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.2% probability.
Season Stats
2W
1D
0L
2W
1D
0L
Averages per game
3.3
Goals
2.0
1.3
Conceded
1.0
6.7
Shots OT
5.0
4.3
Corners
4.7
61%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
33%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in World Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 1.5
50%
O 2.5
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
1W
1D
0L
· at home
1W
1D
0L
· away
3.5
gls/g
1.0
1.5
Conceded
0.5
50%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Netherlands
Morocco →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Netherlands
Attack
52
Defence
73
Form
64
Morocco
Attack
58
Defence
81
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group F
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Netherlands
|
3 | 7 |
| 2 |
Japan
|
3 | 5 |
| 3 |
Sweden
|
3 | 4 |
| 4 |
Tunisia
|
3 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group F
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #1 |
| → Netherlands | #1 | #1 |
| → Draw | #1 | #1 |
| → Morocco | #1 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Netherlands vs Morocco?
The model gives Netherlands a 45% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 27% for an Morocco win.
How many goals are expected in Netherlands vs Morocco?
Expected goals: Netherlands 2.0, Morocco 1.5 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Netherlands vs Morocco?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.2%.