C. Gakpo
(ast. C. Summerville)
72'
90'+1
(ast. C. Talbi)
I. Diop
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Netherlands a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Morocco 27%). The final result was Netherlands 1–1 Morocco.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
5
0.23
Actual xG
1.40
5
Saves
1
30%
Possession
70%
5
Corners
8
18
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
47'
I. Diop
N. Ake
/ T. Koopmeiners
71'
B. Brobbey
/ W. Weghorst
71'
⚽C. Gakpo
· ast. C. Summerville
72'
75'
A. Salah-Eddine
/
C. Riad
79'
G. Yassine
/
B. Diaz
79'
S. El Mourabet
/
A. Bouaddi
86'
S. Rahimi
/
A. Ounahi
M. van de Ven
/ J. Hato
86'
R. Gravenberch
/ Q. Timber
86'
87'
C. Talbi
/
B. El Khannouss
90'+1
ast. C. Talbi ·
I. Diop⚽
F. de Jong
/ M. De Roon
110'
C. Gakpo
/ J. Kluivert
113'
Pre-match prediction
45.17%
Netherlands
27.36%
X ←
27.46%
Morocco
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.94
0.23
-1.71
1.52
1.40
-0.12
Morocco dominated by xG (1.40 vs 0.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
B. Verbruggen
G
B. Verbruggen
G
5
N. Aké
71'
D
N. Aké
71'
D
4
V. van Dijk
D
V. van Dijk
D
6
J. van Hecke
D
J. van Hecke
D
15
M. van de Ven
86'
M
M. van de Ven
86'
M
21
F. de Jong
M
F. de Jong
M
8
R. Gravenberch
86'
M
R. Gravenberch
86'
M
22
D. Dumfries
M
D. Dumfries
M
11
C. Gakpo
1 ⚽
F
C. Gakpo
1 ⚽
F
24
C. Summerville
1 👟
F
C. Summerville
1 👟
F
19
B. Brobbey
71'
F
B. Brobbey
71'
F
Bench
18
D. Malen
F
D. Malen
F
16
G. Til
M
G. Til
M
25
J. Hato
34'
D
J. Hato
34'
D
7
J. Kluivert
8'
F
J. Kluivert
8'
F
2
L. Geertruida
D
L. Geertruida
D
3
Marten de Roon
10'
M
Marten de Roon
10'
M
12
Mats Wieffer
M
Mats Wieffer
M
10
M. Depay
F
M. Depay
F
23
M. Flekken
G
M. Flekken
G
17
N. Lang
F
N. Lang
F
26
Q. Timber
34'
M
Q. Timber
34'
M
13
R. Roefs
G
R. Roefs
G
20
T. Koopmeiners
49'
M
T. Koopmeiners
49'
M
14
T. Reijnders
M
T. Reijnders
M
9
W. Weghorst
49'
F
W. Weghorst
49'
F
1
Y. Bounou
G
Y. Bounou
G
3
N. Mazraoui
D
N. Mazraoui
D
18
Chadi Riad
75'
D
Chadi Riad
75'
D
14
I. Diop
1 ⚽
D
I. Diop
1 ⚽
D
2
A. Hakimi
D
A. Hakimi
D
24
N. El Aynaoui
M
N. El Aynaoui
M
6
A. Bouaddi
79'
M
A. Bouaddi
79'
M
23
B. El Khannouss
87'
M
B. El Khannouss
87'
M
8
A. Ounahi
86'
M
A. Ounahi
86'
M
10
Brahim Díaz
79'
M
Brahim Díaz
79'
M
11
I. Saibari
F
I. Saibari
F
Bench
21
A. Amaimouni
F
A. Amaimouni
F
20
A. El Kaabi
F
A. El Kaabi
F
26
A. Salah-Eddine
45'
D
A. Salah-Eddine
45'
D
17
A. Sbaï
F
A. Sbaï
F
22
A. Tagnaouti
G
A. Tagnaouti
G
7
C. Talbi
1 👟
33'
F
C. Talbi
1 👟
33'
F
16
Gessime Yassine
41'
F
Gessime Yassine
41'
F
12
M. Mohamedi
G
M. Mohamedi
G
5
M. Saâdane
D
M. Saâdane
D
25
R. Halhal
D
R. Halhal
D
4
S. Amrabat
M
S. Amrabat
M
15
S. El Mourabet
41'
M
S. El Mourabet
41'
M
9
S. Rahimi
34'
F
S. Rahimi
34'
F
19
Youssef Belammari
D
Youssef Belammari
D
13
Z. El Ouahdi
D
Z. El Ouahdi
D
Best on the pitch
B. Verbruggen
G · Netherlands
8.30
· 31 pass
N. Mazraoui
D · Morocco
7.70
· 77 pass
A. Ounahi
M · Morocco
7.30
1 shots
· 84 pass
N. El Aynaoui
M · Morocco
7.30
1 shots
· 138 pass
I. Diop
D · Morocco
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 67 pass
C. Summerville
F · Netherlands
7.20
1 👟
· 16 pass
Netherlands — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Verbruggen | G | 120 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| N. Aké | D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | — | — | — |
| J. van Hecke | D | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 56% | 4 | — | — |
| M. van de Ven | M | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F. de Jong | M | 110 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | M | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Gakpo | F | 113 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Summerville | F | 120 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hato | D | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Kluivert | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marten de Roon | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Q. Timber | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| T. Koopmeiners | M | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Weghorst | F | 49 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Morocco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Bounou | G | 120 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| N. Mazraoui | D | 120 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 77 | 68% | 5 | — | — |
| Chadi Riad | D | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 50% | — | — | — |
| I. Diop | D | 120 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 67 | 65% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Hakimi | D | 120 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 97 | 94% | 1 | — | — |
| N. El Aynaoui | M | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 138 | 134% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Bouaddi | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ounahi | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 79% | — | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Saibari | F | 120 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Salah-Eddine | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Talbi | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Gessime Yassine | F | 41 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| S. El Mourabet | M | 41 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 64% | — | — | — |
| S. Rahimi | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Netherlands vs Morocco?
The final score was Netherlands 1–1 Morocco.
What did the model predict before Netherlands vs Morocco?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Netherlands win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Morocco win.