Netherlands - Serbia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
87.11%
Win
Netherlands
6.27%
Draw
6.62%
Win
Serbia
4.5
1.01
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Netherlands
87.11%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
4–1
(7.64%)
1X2 Result
1
87%
X
6%
2
7%
Double Chance
1X
93%
X2
13%
12
94%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
92%
Over 2.5
85%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Netherlands a 87% win probability, against 6% for a draw and 6% for Serbia. Expected goals are 4.5 for Netherlands and 1.0 for Serbia (total 5.5), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 4–1 at 7.64% probability.
Season Stats
2W
5D
1L
2W
4D
2L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
0.8
1.5
Conceded
0.9
5.5
Shots OT
2.6
4.9
Corners
3.0
58%
Poss.
36%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
75%
63%
O 2.5
13%
75%
BTTS
25%
13%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
2W
2D
0L
· at home
0W
2D
2L
· away
3.2
gls/g
0.5
1.5
Conceded
1.8
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
25%
100%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Netherlands
Serbia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Netherlands
Attack
45
Defence
70
Form
50
Serbia
Attack
27
Defence
41
Form
14
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 2
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Germany
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Netherlands
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Serbia
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Greece
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 2
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #2 | #1 |
| → Netherlands | #1 | #3 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Serbia | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Netherlands vs Serbia?
The model gives Netherlands a 87% win probability, 6% for a draw, and 6% for an Serbia win.
How many goals are expected in Netherlands vs Serbia?
Expected goals: Netherlands 4.5, Serbia 1.0 (total 5.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Netherlands vs Serbia?
4–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.64%.