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World Cup · Group Stage - 2 June 20, 2026 19:00
Netherlands
#1 · 7 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Sweden
#3 · 4 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Netherlands
B. Brobbey (ast. C. Gakpo) 5'
B. Brobbey (ast. D. Dumfries) 17'
C. Gakpo (ast. D. Dumfries) 47'
C. Gakpo (ast. C. Summerville) 54'
C. Summerville (ast. M. Depay) 89'
59' (ast. A. Isak) A. Elanga
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Netherlands a 56% win probability (draw 20%, Sweden 22%). The final result was Netherlands 5–1 Sweden.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
7
Shots on target
7
2.47
Actual xG
0.94
6
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
4
15
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽B. Brobbey · ast. C. Gakpo
5'
⚽B. Brobbey · ast. D. Dumfries
17'
↕ D. Malen / C. Summerville
46'
⚽C. Gakpo · ast. D. Dumfries
47'
53'
G. Gudmundsson
⚽C. Gakpo · ast. C. Summerville
54'
55'
A. Elanga / A. Bernhardsson ↕
56'
B. Zeneli / J. Karlstrom ↕
56'
L. Bergvall / B. Nygren ↕
59'
ast. A. Isak · A. Elanga⚽
↕ F. de Jong / T. Koopmeiners
59'
↕ T. Reijnders / G. Til
59'
↕ B. Brobbey / M. Depay
72'
75'
Y. Ayari
79'
T. Ali / Y. Ayari ↕
80'
L. Bergvall
⚽C. Summerville · ast. M. Depay
89'
90'+3
E. Stroud / G. Gudmundsson ↕
↕ C. Gakpo / N. Lang
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.97%
Netherlands ←
20.76%
X
22.27%
Sweden
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Netherlands) 56.97% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Netherlands
2.06
2.47
+0.41
Sweden
1.21
0.94
-0.27
Netherlands dominated by xG (2.47 vs 0.94). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Netherlands Netherlands 3 7
2 Japan Japan 3 5
3 Sweden Sweden 3 4
4 Tunisia Tunisia 3 0
Lineups
Netherlands Netherlands 4-3-3
1 B. Verbruggen B. Verbruggen G 7.90
15 M. van de Ven M. van de Ven D 6.60
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk D 6.90
6 J. van Hecke J. van Hecke D 7.20
22 D. Dumfries D. Dumfries 2 👟 D 8.60
14 T. Reijnders T. Reijnders 59' M 6.30
21 F. de Jong F. de Jong 59' M 7.70
8 R. Gravenberch R. Gravenberch M 6.30
11 C. Gakpo C. Gakpo 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.60
19 B. Brobbey B. Brobbey 2 ⚽ 72' F 8.20
18 D. Malen D. Malen 45' F 6.60
Bench
24 C. Summerville C. Summerville 1 ⚽ 1 👟 49' F 8.50
16 G. Til G. Til 35' M 6.50
25 J. Hato J. Hato D
7 J. Kluivert J. Kluivert F
2 L. Geertruida L. Geertruida D
10 M. Depay M. Depay 1 👟 22' F 6.70
3 M. de Roon M. de Roon M
23 M. Flekken M. Flekken G
12 M. Wieffer M. Wieffer M
5 N. Aké N. Aké D
17 N. Lang N. Lang 4' F
13 R. Roefs R. Roefs G
20 T. Koopmeiners T. Koopmeiners 35' M 6.70
9 W. Weghorst W. Weghorst F
Sweden Sweden 3-1-4-2
23 K. Nordfeldt K. Nordfeldt G 5.70
3 V. Lindelöf V. Lindelöf D 5.70
4 I. Hien I. Hien D 5.90
2 G. Lagerbielke G. Lagerbielke D 5.90
16 J. Karlström J. Karlström 56' M 6.30
5 G. Gudmundsson G. Gudmundsson M 6.20
18 Y. Ayari Y. Ayari 79' M 6.30
10 B. Nygren B. Nygren 56' M 5.90
21 A. Bernhardsson A. Bernhardsson 55' M 6.30
9 A. Isak A. Isak 1 👟 F 7.00
17 V. Gyökeres V. Gyökeres F 6.90
Bench
11 A. Elanga A. Elanga 1 ⚽ 39' F 7.90
22 B. Zeneli B. Zeneli 38' M 6.30
15 C. Starfelt C. Starfelt D
8 D. Svensson D. Svensson D
20 E. Smith E. Smith D
24 E. Stroud E. Stroud 1' M
25 G. Nilsson G. Nilsson F
14 H. Ekdal H. Ekdal D
6 H. Johansson H. Johansson M
1 J. Widell Zetterström J. Widell Zetterström G
13 K. Sema K. Sema M
7 L. Bergvall L. Bergvall 38' M 6.30
19 M. Svanberg M. Svanberg M
26 T. Ali T. Ali 15' M 6.30
12 V. Johansson V. Johansson G
Best on the pitch
C. Gakpo
C. Gakpo
F · Netherlands
9.60
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 20 pass
D. Dumfries
D. Dumfries
D · Netherlands
8.60
2 👟
· 34 pass
C. Summerville
C. Summerville
F · Netherlands
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 10 pass
B. Brobbey
B. Brobbey
F · Netherlands
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
B. Verbruggen
B. Verbruggen
G · Netherlands
7.90
· 34 pass
A. Elanga
A. Elanga
F · Sweden
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Netherlands Netherlands — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Verbruggen G 94 7.90 — — — 34 24% — — —
M. van de Ven D 94 6.60 — — — 44 41% 2 — —
V. van Dijk D 94 6.90 — — — 78 74% — — —
J. van Hecke D 94 7.20 — — — 78 71% 1 — —
D. Dumfries D 94 8.60 — 2 — 34 28% 3 — —
T. Reijnders M 59 6.30 — — 1 12 9% — — —
F. de Jong M 59 7.70 — — — 53 51% 3 — —
R. Gravenberch M 94 6.30 — — 1 29 26% 3 — —
C. Gakpo F 90 9.60 2 1 4 20 15% 1 — —
B. Brobbey F 72 8.20 2 — 2 6 5% — — —
D. Malen F 45 6.60 — — — 8 6% — — —
C. Summerville F 49 8.50 1 1 1 10 9% 1 — —
G. Til M 35 6.50 — — — 10 8% — — —
M. Depay F 22 6.70 — 1 — 5 4% — — —
N. Lang F 4 — — — — 1 1% — — —
T. Koopmeiners M 35 6.70 — — — 28 25% 1 — —
Sweden Sweden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Nordfeldt G 94 5.70 — — — 34 22% — — —
V. Lindelöf D 94 5.70 — — — 56 53% — — —
I. Hien D 94 5.90 — — — 57 54% 2 — —
G. Lagerbielke D 94 5.90 — — — 52 42% 8 — —
J. Karlström M 56 6.30 — — — 23 20% 2 — —
G. Gudmundsson M 93 6.20 — — — 19 14% 1 1 —
Y. Ayari M 79 6.30 — — 4 24 20% 1 1 —
B. Nygren M 56 5.90 — — 1 16 15% — — —
A. Bernhardsson M 55 6.30 — — — 22 16% 1 — —
A. Isak F 94 7.00 — 1 1 32 27% — — —
V. Gyökeres F 94 6.90 — — 4 16 15% 1 — —
A. Elanga F 39 7.90 1 — 1 9 7% — — —
B. Zeneli M 38 6.30 — — 1 21 20% 1 — —
E. Stroud M 1 — — — — 1 — — — —
L. Bergvall M 38 6.30 — — — 22 20% 1 1 —
T. Ali M 15 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Netherlands vs Sweden?
The final score was Netherlands 5–1 Sweden.
What did the model predict before Netherlands vs Sweden?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Netherlands win, 20% to a draw, and 22% to an Sweden win.