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World Cup · Group Stage - 2 June 20, 2026 19:00
Netherlands
#1 · 7 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Sweden
#3 · 4 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Netherlands
B. Brobbey (ast. C. Gakpo) 5'
B. Brobbey (ast. D. Dumfries) 17'
C. Gakpo (ast. D. Dumfries) 47'
C. Gakpo (ast. C. Summerville) 54'
C. Summerville (ast. M. Depay) 89'
59' (ast. A. Isak) A. Elanga
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Netherlands a 56% win probability (draw 20%, Sweden 22%). The final result was Netherlands 5–1 Sweden.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
7
Shots on target
7
2.47
Actual xG
0.94
6
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
4
15
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽B. Brobbey · ast. C. Gakpo
5'
⚽B. Brobbey · ast. D. Dumfries
17'
↕ D. Malen / C. Summerville
46'
⚽C. Gakpo · ast. D. Dumfries
47'
53'
G. Gudmundsson
⚽C. Gakpo · ast. C. Summerville
54'
55'
A. Elanga / A. Bernhardsson ↕
56'
B. Zeneli / J. Karlstrom ↕
56'
L. Bergvall / B. Nygren ↕
59'
ast. A. Isak · A. Elanga⚽
↕ F. de Jong / T. Koopmeiners
59'
↕ T. Reijnders / G. Til
59'
↕ B. Brobbey / M. Depay
72'
75'
Y. Ayari
79'
T. Ali / Y. Ayari ↕
80'
L. Bergvall
⚽C. Summerville · ast. M. Depay
89'
90'+3
E. Stroud / G. Gudmundsson ↕
↕ C. Gakpo / N. Lang
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.97%
Netherlands ←
20.76%
X
22.27%
Sweden
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Netherlands) 56.97% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Netherlands
2.06
2.47
+0.41
Sweden
1.21
0.94
-0.27
Netherlands dominated by xG (2.47 vs 0.94). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Netherlands Netherlands 3 7
2 Japan Japan 3 5
3 Sweden Sweden 3 4
4 Tunisia Tunisia 3 0
Lineups
Netherlands Netherlands 4-3-3
1 Bart Verbruggen Bart Verbruggen G 7.90
15 M. van de Ven M. van de Ven D 6.60
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk D 6.90
6 Jan Paul van Hecke Jan Paul van Hecke D 7.20
22 D. Dumfries D. Dumfries 2 👟 D 8.60
14 T. Reijnders T. Reijnders 59' M 6.30
21 F. de Jong F. de Jong 59' M 7.70
8 R. Gravenberch R. Gravenberch M 6.30
11 C. Gakpo C. Gakpo 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.60
19 B. Brobbey B. Brobbey 2 ⚽ 72' F 8.20
18 D. Malen D. Malen 45' F 6.60
Bench
24 C. Summerville C. Summerville 1 ⚽ 1 👟 49' F 8.50
16 Guus Til Guus Til 35' M 6.50
25 Jorrel Hato Jorrel Hato D
7 Justin Kluivert Justin Kluivert F
2 Lutsharel Geertruida Lutsharel Geertruida D
23 Mark Flekken Mark Flekken G
3 Marten de Roon Marten de Roon M
12 Mats Wieffer Mats Wieffer M
10 M. Depay M. Depay 1 👟 22' F 6.70
5 Nathan Aké Nathan Aké D
17 N. Lang N. Lang 4' F
13 Robin Roefs Robin Roefs G
20 Teun Koopmeiners Teun Koopmeiners 35' M 6.70
9 Wout Weghorst Wout Weghorst F
Sweden Sweden 3-1-4-2
23 Kristoffer Nordfeldt Kristoffer Nordfeldt G 5.70
3 Victor Lindelöf Victor Lindelöf D 5.70
4 I. Hien I. Hien D 5.90
2 Gustaf Lagerbielke Gustaf Lagerbielke D 5.90
16 Jesper Karlström Jesper Karlström 56' M 6.30
5 Gabriel Gudmundsson Gabriel Gudmundsson M 6.20
18 Yasin Ayari Yasin Ayari 79' M 6.30
10 B. Nygren B. Nygren 56' M 5.90
21 Alexander Bernhardsson Alexander Bernhardsson 55' M 6.30
9 A. Isak A. Isak 1 👟 F 7.00
17 V. Gyökeres V. Gyökeres F 6.90
Bench
11 Anthony Elanga Anthony Elanga 1 ⚽ 39' F 7.90
22 Besfort Zeneli Besfort Zeneli 38' M 6.30
15 Carl Starfelt Carl Starfelt D
8 D. Svensson D. Svensson D
24
Elliot Stroud 1' M
20 Eric Smith Eric Smith D
25 Gustaf Nilsson Gustaf Nilsson F
6 Herman Johansson Herman Johansson M
14 Hjalmar Ekdal Hjalmar Ekdal D
1 Jacob Widell Zetterström Jacob Widell Zetterström G
13
Ken Sema M
7 L. Bergvall L. Bergvall 38' M 6.30
19 Mattias Svanberg Mattias Svanberg M
26
Taha Abdi Ali 15' M 6.30
12 Viktor Johansson Viktor Johansson G
Best on the pitch
C. Gakpo
C. Gakpo
F · Netherlands
9.60
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 20 pass
D. Dumfries
D. Dumfries
D · Netherlands
8.60
2 👟
· 34 pass
C. Summerville
C. Summerville
F · Netherlands
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 10 pass
B. Brobbey
B. Brobbey
F · Netherlands
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
Bart Verbruggen
Bart Verbruggen
G · Netherlands
7.90
· 34 pass
Anthony Elanga
Anthony Elanga
F · Sweden
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Netherlands Netherlands — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Bart Verbruggen G 94 7.90 — — — 34 24% — — —
M. van de Ven D 94 6.60 — — — 44 41% 2 — —
V. van Dijk D 94 6.90 — — — 78 74% — — —
Jan Paul van Hecke D 94 7.20 — — — 78 71% 1 — —
D. Dumfries D 94 8.60 — 2 — 34 28% 3 — —
T. Reijnders M 59 6.30 — — 1 12 9% — — —
F. de Jong M 59 7.70 — — — 53 51% 3 — —
R. Gravenberch M 94 6.30 — — 1 29 26% 3 — —
C. Gakpo F 90 9.60 2 1 4 20 15% 1 — —
B. Brobbey F 72 8.20 2 — 2 6 5% — — —
D. Malen F 45 6.60 — — — 8 6% — — —
C. Summerville F 49 8.50 1 1 1 10 9% 1 — —
Guus Til M 35 6.50 — — — 10 8% — — —
M. Depay F 22 6.70 — 1 — 5 4% — — —
N. Lang F 4 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Teun Koopmeiners M 35 6.70 — — — 28 25% 1 — —
Sweden Sweden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kristoffer Nordfeldt G 94 5.70 — — — 34 22% — — —
Victor Lindelöf D 94 5.70 — — — 56 53% — — —
I. Hien D 94 5.90 — — — 57 54% 2 — —
Gustaf Lagerbielke D 94 5.90 — — — 52 42% 8 — —
Jesper Karlström M 56 6.30 — — — 23 20% 2 — —
Gabriel Gudmundsson M 93 6.20 — — — 19 14% 1 1 —
Yasin Ayari M 79 6.30 — — 4 24 20% 1 1 —
B. Nygren M 56 5.90 — — 1 16 15% — — —
Alexander Bernhardsson M 55 6.30 — — — 22 16% 1 — —
A. Isak F 94 7.00 — 1 1 32 27% — — —
V. Gyökeres F 94 6.90 — — 4 16 15% 1 — —
Anthony Elanga F 39 7.90 1 — 1 9 7% — — —
Besfort Zeneli M 38 6.30 — — 1 21 20% 1 — —
Elliot Stroud M 1 — — — — 1 — — — —
L. Bergvall M 38 6.30 — — — 22 20% 1 1 —
Taha Abdi Ali M 15 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Netherlands vs Sweden?
The final score was Netherlands 5–1 Sweden.
What did the model predict before Netherlands vs Sweden?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Netherlands win, 20% to a draw, and 22% to an Sweden win.