MLS
· Regular Season - 26
September 20, 2026 01:30
✓Model correct — prediction New England Revolution
C. Gil
(ast. J. Yueill)
19'
P. Miller
(ast. D. Turgeman)
59'
P. Miller
(ast. D. Fagundez)
90'+3
C. Gil
(ast. D. Turgeman)
90'+6
62'
I. Angulo
(pen.)
88'
M. Ojeda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New England Revolution a 62% win probability (draw 17%, Orlando City SC 19%). The final result was New England Revolution 4–2 Orlando City SC. In 1 previous meetings, New England Revolution have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Orlando City SC.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
5
1.74
Actual xG
1.34
3
Saves
5
51%
Possession
49%
10
Corners
3
14
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
B. Raines
14'
⚽C. Gil
· ast. J. Yueill
19'
46'
E. Atuesta
/
Luis Otavio
46'
Z. Taifi
/
T. Spicer
W. Sands
47'
⚽P. Miller
· ast. D. Turgeman
59'
62'
I. Angulo⚽
J. Yueill
/ I. Feingold
71'
71'
D. Dike
/
M. Pasalic
77'
H. Sarajian
/
B. Rhein
I. Feingold
80'
88'
(pen.)
M. Ojeda⚽
D. Gazdag
/ D. Fagundez
89'
⚽P. Miller
· ast. D. Fagundez
90'+3
P. Miller
90'+4
90'+5
Tiago
/
J. Gerbet
⚽C. Gil
· ast. D. Turgeman
90'+6
D. Turgeman
/ W. Harris
90'+6
M. Polster
/ J. Wynder
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
62.63%
New ←
17.99%
X
19.38%
Orlando
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (New England Revolution)
62.63%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.52
1.74
-0.78
1.23
1.34
+0.11
New England Revolution dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.34).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
M. Turner
G
M. Turner
G
23
W. Sands
D
W. Sands
D
2
M. Fofana
D
M. Fofana
D
22
E. Kohler
D
E. Kohler
D
8
M. Polster
D
M. Polster
D
14
J. Yueill
1 👟
71'
M
J. Yueill
1 👟
71'
M
21
B. Raines
M
B. Raines
M
10
Carles Gil
2 ⚽
M
Carles Gil
2 ⚽
M
16
D. Gazdag
89'
F
D. Gazdag
89'
F
99
D. Turgeman
2 👟
F
D. Turgeman
2 👟
F
25
P. Miller
2 ⚽
F
P. Miller
2 ⚽
F
Bench
15
C. Baker
D
C. Baker
D
77
D. Fagundez
1 👟
12'
M
D. Fagundez
1 👟
12'
M
12
I. Feingold
30'
D
I. Feingold
30'
D
73
JD Gunn
G
JD Gunn
G
65
J. Siqueira
F
J. Siqueira
F
66
J. Wynder
5'
D
J. Wynder
5'
D
17
Marcos Zambrano-Delgado
F
Marcos Zambrano-Delgado
F
4
T. Beason
D
T. Beason
D
27
W. Harris
5'
F
W. Harris
5'
F
71
M. Crépeau
G
M. Crépeau
G
44
Bernardo Rhein Goncalves
77'
D
Bernardo Rhein Goncalves
77'
D
6
R. Jansson
D
R. Jansson
D
4
D. Brekalo
D
D. Brekalo
D
77
I. Angulo
1 ⚽
D
I. Angulo
1 ⚽
D
14
T. Spicer
45'
M
T. Spicer
45'
M
35
Joran Gerbet
M
Joran Gerbet
M
5
Luis Otávio
45'
M
Luis Otávio
45'
M
87
Marco Pasalic
71'
M
Marco Pasalic
71'
M
10
M. Ojeda
1 ⚽
F
M. Ojeda
1 ⚽
F
22
Justin Ellis
F
Justin Ellis
F
Bench
3
Adrián Marín
D
Adrián Marín
D
9
D. Dike
30'
F
D. Dike
30'
F
20
E. Atuesta
56'
M
E. Atuesta
56'
M
23
Harvey Sarajian
24'
F
Harvey Sarajian
24'
F
12
Javier Otero
G
Javier Otero
G
11
Tiago
6'
F
Tiago
6'
F
27
Vinícius Nogueira
D
Vinícius Nogueira
D
16
W. Cartagena
M
W. Cartagena
M
19
Z. Taifi
56'
M
Z. Taifi
56'
M
Best on the pitch
Carles Gil
M · New
9.70
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 86 pass
P. Miller
F · New
9.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 18 pass
B. Raines
M · New
7.30
1 shots
· 51 pass
D. Turgeman
F · New
7.30
2 👟
3 shots
· 25 pass
M. Ojeda
F · Orlando
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 40 pass
D. Gazdag
F · New
7.00
· 39 pass
New England Revolution — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Turner | G | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | — | — | — |
| W. Sands | D | 101 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Fofana | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kohler | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Polster | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Yueill | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| B. Raines | M | 101 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Carles Gil | M | 101 | 9.70 | 2 | — | 4 | 86 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gazdag | F | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Turgeman | F | 96 | 7.30 | — | 2 | 3 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| P. Miller | F | 101 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 18 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Fagundez | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Feingold | D | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Wynder | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| W. Harris | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Orlando City SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Crépeau | G | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Rhein Goncalves | D | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Jansson | D | 101 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 48% | — | — | — |
| D. Brekalo | D | 101 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Angulo | D | 101 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Spicer | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Joran Gerbet | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Marco Pasalic | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ojeda | F | 101 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | 101 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Dike | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Atuesta | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Harvey Sarajian | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tiago | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Z. Taifi | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was New England Revolution 4–2 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 62% probability to a New England Revolution win, 17% to a draw, and 19% to an Orlando City SC win.