MLS
· Regular Season - 16
July 23, 2026 01:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New England Revolution a 50% win probability (draw 29%, Toronto FC 20%). The final result was New England Revolution 0–0 Toronto FC. In 1 previous meetings, New England Revolution have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Toronto FC.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
1
0.93
Actual xG
1.23
1
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
7
Corners
9
8
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
46'
J. Sargent
/
E. Aristizabal
M. Polster
56'
G. Yow
/ M. Zambrano
60'
64'
M. Henry
/
D. Kerr
64'
T. Corbeanu
/
J. Vilsaint
71'
Z. Monlouis
/
R. Chukwu
M. Polster
/ L. Langoni
73'
D. Turgeman
/ W. Harris
73'
A. Yusuf
/ J. Yueill
86'
E. Kohler
/ B. Ceballos
86'
B. Raines
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
50.01%
New
29.78%
X ←
20.2%
Toronto
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
0.93
-0.34
0.64
1.23
+0.59
xG dominance was balanced (0.93 – 1.23).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
M. Turner
G
M. Turner
G
23
W. Sands
D
W. Sands
D
2
M. Fofana
D
M. Fofana
D
22
Ethan Kohler
86'
D
Ethan Kohler
86'
D
8
M. Polster
73'
D
M. Polster
73'
D
80
A. Yusuf
86'
M
A. Yusuf
86'
M
21
B. Raines
M
B. Raines
M
7
G. Yow
60'
M
G. Yow
60'
M
10
Carles Gil
M
Carles Gil
M
25
P. Miller
M
P. Miller
M
11
D. Turgeman
73'
F
D. Turgeman
73'
F
Bench
3
B. Ceballos
10'
D
B. Ceballos
10'
D
15
Cody Baker
D
Cody Baker
D
77
D. Fagundez
M
D. Fagundez
M
33
D. Parisian
G
D. Parisian
G
14
J. Yueill
10'
M
J. Yueill
10'
M
41
L. Langoni
17'
F
L. Langoni
17'
F
17
Marcos Zambrano
30'
F
Marcos Zambrano
30'
F
4
T. Beason
D
T. Beason
D
27
W. Harris
17'
F
W. Harris
17'
F
1
L. Gavran
G
L. Gavran
G
96
Richard Chukwu
71'
D
Richard Chukwu
71'
D
25
W. Zimmerman
D
W. Zimmerman
D
38
J. Gilman
D
J. Gilman
D
22
R. Laryea
M
R. Laryea
M
21
J. Osorio
M
J. Osorio
M
14
Alonso Coello
M
Alonso Coello
M
29
Deandre Kerr
64'
M
Deandre Kerr
64'
M
20
D. Sallói
F
D. Sallói
F
99
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
64'
F
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
64'
F
17
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
45'
F
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
45'
F
Bench
77
Adisa De Rosario
G
Adisa De Rosario
G
11
D. Etienne
F
D. Etienne
F
9
J. Sargent
45'
F
J. Sargent
45'
F
19
K. Franklin
D
K. Franklin
D
78
Malik Henry
26'
M
Malik Henry
26'
M
44
R. Edwards
D
R. Edwards
D
7
T. Corbeanu
26'
F
T. Corbeanu
26'
F
23
W. Yarbrough
G
W. Yarbrough
G
12
Z. Monlouis
19'
D
Z. Monlouis
19'
D
Best on the pitch
P. Miller
M · New
8.30
1 shots
· 23 pass
L. Gavran
G · Toronto
8.20
· 33 pass
M. Turner
G · New
8.00
· 22 pass
J. Gilman
D · Toronto
8.00
1 shots
· 37 pass
R. Laryea
M · Toronto
7.90
· 23 pass
Carles Gil
M · New
7.90
4 shots
· 67 pass
New England Revolution — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Turner | G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | — | — | — |
| W. Sands | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Fofana | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 88 | 85% | 1 | — | — |
| Ethan Kohler | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Polster | D | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Yusuf | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Raines | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Yow | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Carles Gil | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 4 | 67 | 57% | — | — | — |
| P. Miller | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Turgeman | F | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Ceballos | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Yueill | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Langoni | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Zambrano | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| W. Harris | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
Toronto FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Gavran | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Richard Chukwu | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Zimmerman | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Gilman | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Laryea | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Osorio | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Alonso Coello | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Deandre Kerr | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sallói | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Jules-Anthony Vilsaint | F | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Sargent | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Malik Henry | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Corbeanu | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Z. Monlouis | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
The final score was New England Revolution 0–0 Toronto FC.
What did the model predict before New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
The model assigned 50% probability to a New England Revolution win, 29% to a draw, and 20% to an Toronto FC win.