Skip to main content
← USL Championship

New Mexico United - Colorado Springs

USL Championship November 08, 2026 03:30
#1 · 52 pts
vs
#5 · 47 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.85%
Win
New Mexico United
28.51%
Draw
25.64%
Win
Colorado Springs
1.28
Expected xG
0.77

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (16.7%)
1X2 Result ✓ 69.0% hit rate (71 picks)
1 46%
X 29%
2 26%
Double Chance ✓ 88.7% hit rate (71 picks)
1X 74%
X2 54%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 65%
Over 2.5 40%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives New Mexico United a 45% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Colorado Springs. Expected goals are 1.3 for New Mexico United and 0.8 for Colorado Springs (total 2.0), with a 65% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.7% probability. In 3 previous meetings, New Mexico United have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Colorado Springs.

Season Stats

New Mexico United
7W 4D 4L
Colorado Springs
6W 5D 4L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
53%
53%
O 2.5
27%
53%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in USL Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
New Mexico United
7W 1D 2L · at home
Colorado Springs
4W 3D 3L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.2
1.1
Conceded
1.3
70%
Win %
40%
80%
Win or Draw
70%
80%
O 1.5
60%
70%
O 2.5
30%
30%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ New Mexico United Colorado Springs →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9% 9.9% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% —
1 16.5% 12.7% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% —
2 10.6% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 4.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

W Phoenix Rising 2–0
W El Paso Locomotive 0–1
L San Antonio 1–0
W Monterey Bay 3–1
W Phoenix Rising 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
D Lexington 1–1
W FC Tulsa 2–0
W Monterey Bay 0–1
D Sacramento Republic 1–1
D Oakland Roots 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 31%

Playing profile

New Mexico United New Mexico United
Attack
32
Defence
79
Form
62
Colorado Springs Colorado Springs
Attack
22
Defence
91
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs?
The model gives New Mexico United a 45% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 25% for an Colorado Springs win.
How many goals are expected in New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs?
Expected goals: New Mexico United 1.3, Colorado Springs 0.8 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 65%.
What is the most likely score in New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.7%.