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USL Championship · Group Stage August 16, 2026 03:30
New Mexico United
1 – 0
Final score
FC Tulsa
✓Model correct — prediction New Mexico United
G. Hurst 83' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 61% win probability (draw 24%, FC Tulsa 13%). The final result was New Mexico United 1–0 FC Tulsa.

Match statistics
Match Events
60'
A. Clarke / Ian ↕
60'
G. Colli / A. Ordonez ↕
D. Sanchez
68'
75'
R. Cabral / L. Dorsey ↕
75'
S. Lukic / B. Sparks ↕
↕ J. Melto Quiah / D. Harris
78'
81'
A. Clarke
⚽G. Hurst (pen.)
83'
84'
W. Wilson / J. Webber ↕
↕ G. Hurst / J. Rennicks
86'
↕ N. Reid-Stephen / T. Blackett
86'
↕ C. Gloster / C. Wilkerson
90'+2
↕ V. Noel / L. Archimede
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
61.54%
New ←
24.89%
X
13.57%
FC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (New Mexico United) 61.54% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.49
—
—
FC
0.42
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 24 48
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 24 40
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 25 38
4 Detroit City Detroit City 22 37
5 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 23 34
6 Louisville City Louisville City 24 33
7 Rhode Island Rhode Island 22 32
8 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 22 30
9 Miami FC Miami FC 24 24
10 Loudoun United Loudoun United 23 20
10 Birmingham Birmingham 9 10
11 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 22 19
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 22 17
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 24 14
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa?
The final score was New Mexico United 1–0 FC Tulsa.
What did the model predict before New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa?
The model assigned 61% probability to a New Mexico United win, 24% to a draw, and 13% to an FC Tulsa win.