USL Championship · Group Stage August 16, 2026 03:30

New Mexico United

#1 · 52 pts

1 – 0

Final score

FC Tulsa

#7 · 43 pts

✓Model correct — prediction New Mexico United

G. Hurst 83' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 61% win probability (draw 24%, FC Tulsa 13%). The final result was New Mexico United 1–0 FC Tulsa. In 1 previous meetings, New Mexico United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Tulsa.

Match statistics

Match Events

60'

A. Clarke / Ian ↕

60'

G. Colli / A. Ordonez ↕

D. Sanchez

68'

75'

R. Cabral / L. Dorsey ↕

75'

S. Lukic / B. Sparks ↕

↕ J. Melto Quiah / D. Harris

78'

81'

A. Clarke

⚽G. Hurst (pen.)

83'

84'

W. Wilson / J. Webber ↕

↕ G. Hurst / J. Rennicks

86'

↕ N. Reid-Stephen / T. Blackett

86'

↕ C. Gloster / C. Wilkerson

90'+2

↕ V. Noel / L. Archimede

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

61.54%

New ←

24.89%

X

13.57%

FC

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (New Mexico United) 61.54% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

New

1.49

—

—

FC

0.42

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24