USL Championship · Group Stage August 27, 2026 03:30

New Mexico United

#1 · 52 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Lexington

#4 · 48 pts

✓Model correct — prediction New Mexico United

K. Keller (ast. G. Hurst) 73'

N. Reid-Stephen (ast. D. Harris) 78'

51' M. Muir

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Lexington 18%). The final result was New Mexico United 2–1 Lexington. In 1 previous meetings, New Mexico United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lexington.

Match statistics

Match Events

10'

O. Semmle

G. Hurst

29'

46'

B. Ferri / M. Fry ↕

51'

M. Muir⚽

56'

J. Brown / T. Scott ↕

Z. Bailey

63'

↕ O. Jabang / G. Zelalem

67'

↕ J. LaCava / C. Wilkerson

67'

↕ C. Gloster / T. Blackett

67'

T. Blackett

68'

⚽K. Keller · ast. G. Hurst

73'

75'

P. Seagrist / Nick Firmino ↕

⚽N. Reid-Stephen · ast. D. Harris

78'

82'

P. Seagrist

84'

M. Yosef / X. Zengue ↕

↕ D. Harris / C. Nava

85'

↕ G. Hurst / L. Archimede

85'

C. Wilkerson

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

60.06%

New ←

21.8%

X

18.13%

Lexington

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (New Mexico United) 60.06% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

New

1.80

—

—

Lexington

0.74

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24