USL Championship · Group Stage October 11, 2026 03:00

New Mexico United

#1 · 52 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Monterey Bay

#12 · 24 pts

✓Model correct — prediction New Mexico United

C. Dennis (ast. Z. Bailey) 20'

C. Dennis (ast. N. Reid-Stephen) 29'

G. Hurst (ast. N. Reid-Stephen) 56'

58' (ast. I. Paul) S. Lletget

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 73% win probability (draw 13%, Monterey Bay 13%). The final result was New Mexico United 3–1 Monterey Bay. In 1 previous meetings, New Mexico United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Monterey Bay.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽C. Dennis · ast. Z. Bailey

20'

⚽C. Dennis · ast. N. Reid-Stephen

29'

D. Sanchez

31'

46'

R. Nakamura / Q. Elliot ↕

⚽G. Hurst · ast. N. Reid-Stephen

56'

58'

ast. I. Paul · S. Lletget⚽

59'

Z. Farnsworth

61'

S. Ritchie

↕ V. Noel / C. Wilkerson

61'

63'

Jacob Montes / N. Ross ↕

↕ C. Dennis / J. Melto Quiah

70'

↕ G. Hurst / J. Rennicks

70'

75'

F. Canete / F. Barajas ↕

75'

D. Otoya / I. Paul ↕

↕ N. Reid-Stephen / C. Nava

80'

↕ C. Gloster / J. LaCava

80'

83'

E. Blancas / J. Garcia ↕

90'+1

R. Nakamura

Pre-match prediction

73.76%

New ←

13.16%

X

13.09%

Monterey

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (New Mexico United) 73.76% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

New

3.22

—

—

Monterey

1.17

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24