USL Championship
· Group Stage
June 14, 2026 03:30
K. Keller
(ast. N. Hamalainen)
2'
18'
(ast. C. Hegardt)
N. Benalcazar
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Orange County SC 30%). The final result was New Mexico United 1–1 Orange County SC. In 1 previous meetings, New Mexico United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Orange County SC.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽K. Keller
· ast. N. Hamalainen
2'
18'
ast. C. Hegardt ·
N. Benalcazar⚽
58'
N. Ciotta
/
R. Doghman
G. Zelalem
/ J. Rennicks
69'
C. Gloster
/ T. Blackett
69'
75'
B. Cambridge
/
L. MacKinnon
D. Sanchez
76'
83'
P. Guimaraes
/
C. Hegardt
83'
E. Solis
/
S. Kelly
89'
O. Sylla
N. Reid-Stephen
/ C. Nava
89'
Pre-match prediction
36.81%
New
32.25%
X ←
30.94%
Orange
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
—
—
0.95
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?
The final score was New Mexico United 1–1 Orange County SC.
What did the model predict before New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?
The model assigned 36% probability to a New Mexico United win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an Orange County SC win.