USL Championship
· Group Stage
September 27, 2026 03:00
G. Hurst
73'
L. Archimede
(ast. C. Gloster)
85'
(pen.)
12'
M. Rodriguez
49'
(ast. J. Gurr)
M. Rodriguez
78'
(ast. M. Rodriguez)
K. Edwards
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 46% win probability (draw 22%, Sacramento Republic 30%). The final result was New Mexico United 2–3 Sacramento Republic. In 1 previous meetings, New Mexico United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sacramento Republic.
Match statistics
Match Events
12'
(pen.)
M. Rodriguez⚽
J. Melto Quiah
/ C. Wilkerson
45'+1
G. Hurst
45'+3
C. Nava
45'+4
V. Noel
/ J. Rennicks
46'
49'
ast. J. Gurr ·
M. Rodriguez⚽
57'
F. Kleemann
/
J. Timmer
67'
T. Wolff
/
R. Spaulding
67'
A. Essel
/
A. Midence
67'
K. Edwards
/
C. Jennings
71'
M. Rodriguez
⚽G. Hurst
73'
C. Nava
/ G. Zelalem
74'
M. Howell
/ L. Archimede
74'
78'
ast. M. Rodriguez ·
K. Edwards⚽
L. Archimede
82'
⚽L. Archimede
· ast. C. Gloster
85'
86'
D. Crisostomo
C. Dennis
/ M. Vargas
86'
86'
A. Rodriguez
/
J. Casas
90'+3
F. Kleemann
Pre-match prediction
46.68%
New
22.37%
X
30.95%
Sacramento ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic)
30.95%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.90
—
—
1.34
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?
The final score was New Mexico United 2–3 Sacramento Republic.
What did the model predict before New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?
The model assigned 46% probability to a New Mexico United win, 22% to a draw, and 30% to an Sacramento Republic win.