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USL Championship · Group Stage September 27, 2026 03:00
#1 · 52 pts
2 – 3
Final score
#2 · 51 pts
G. Hurst 73'
L. Archimede (ast. C. Gloster) 85'
(pen.) 12' M. Rodriguez
49' (ast. J. Gurr) M. Rodriguez
78' (ast. M. Rodriguez) K. Edwards
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 46% win probability (draw 22%, Sacramento Republic 30%). The final result was New Mexico United 2–3 Sacramento Republic. In 1 previous meetings, New Mexico United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sacramento Republic.

Match statistics
Match Events
12'
(pen.) M. Rodriguez⚽
↕ J. Melto Quiah / C. Wilkerson
45'+1
G. Hurst
45'+3
C. Nava
45'+4
↕ V. Noel / J. Rennicks
46'
49'
ast. J. Gurr · M. Rodriguez⚽
57'
F. Kleemann / J. Timmer ↕
67'
T. Wolff / R. Spaulding ↕
67'
A. Essel / A. Midence ↕
67'
K. Edwards / C. Jennings ↕
71'
M. Rodriguez
⚽G. Hurst
73'
↕ C. Nava / G. Zelalem
74'
↕ M. Howell / L. Archimede
74'
78'
ast. M. Rodriguez · K. Edwards⚽
L. Archimede
82'
⚽L. Archimede · ast. C. Gloster
85'
86'
D. Crisostomo
↕ C. Dennis / M. Vargas
86'
86'
A. Rodriguez / J. Casas ↕
90'+3
F. Kleemann
Pre-match prediction
46.68%
New
22.37%
X
30.95%
Sacramento ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic) 30.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.90
—
—
Sacramento
1.34
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?
The final score was New Mexico United 2–3 Sacramento Republic.
What did the model predict before New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?
The model assigned 46% probability to a New Mexico United win, 22% to a draw, and 30% to an Sacramento Republic win.