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USL Championship · Group Stage August 30, 2026 03:30
1 – 2
Final score
Model wrong — prediction New Mexico United, result San Antonio wins
D. Harris 46'
(og) 7' K. Keller
52' N. Hernandez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 62% win probability (draw 22%, San Antonio 15%). The final result was New Mexico United 1–2 San Antonio. In 1 previous meetings, New Mexico United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for San Antonio.

Match statistics
Match Events
7'
(og) K. Keller
13'
S. Patino
17'
N. Hernandez
O. Jabang
39'
43'
C. Parano
Z. Bailey
44'
N. Hamalainen
45'
J. Melto Quiah / G. Zelalem
46'
J. Rennicks / D. Harris
46'
D. Harris
46'
52'
N. Hernandez
62'
C. Sorto / S. Patino
62'
N. Blanco / N. Hernandez
J. LaCava
68'
N. Hamalainen / T. Blackett
73'
J. LaCava / C. Nava
73'
G. Hurst
79'
83'
L. Haakenson / C. Parano
88'
J. Hernandez
C. Gloster
88'
T. Blackett
89'
K. Keller
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
62.58%
New
22.16%
X
15.25%
San ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (San Antonio) 15.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.74
San
0.60
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 24 48
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 24 40
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 25 38
4 Detroit City Detroit City 22 37
5 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 23 34
6 Louisville City Louisville City 24 33
7 Rhode Island Rhode Island 22 32
8 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 22 30
9 Miami FC Miami FC 24 24
10 Loudoun United Loudoun United 23 20
10 Birmingham Birmingham 9 10
11 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 22 19
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 22 17
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 24 14
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs San Antonio?
The final score was New Mexico United 1–2 San Antonio.
What did the model predict before New Mexico United vs San Antonio?
The model assigned 62% probability to a New Mexico United win, 22% to a draw, and 15% to an San Antonio win.