USL Championship · Group Stage August 30, 2026 03:30

New Mexico United

#1 · 52 pts

1 – 2

Final score

San Antonio

#6 · 45 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction New Mexico United, result San Antonio wins

D. Harris 46'

(og) 7' K. Keller

52' N. Hernandez

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 62% win probability (draw 22%, San Antonio 15%). The final result was New Mexico United 1–2 San Antonio. In 2 previous meetings, New Mexico United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for San Antonio.

Match statistics

Match Events

7'

(og) K. Keller⚽

13'

S. Patino

17'

N. Hernandez

O. Jabang

39'

43'

C. Parano

Z. Bailey

44'

N. Hamalainen

45'

↕ J. Melto Quiah / G. Zelalem

46'

↕ J. Rennicks / D. Harris

46'

⚽D. Harris

46'

52'

N. Hernandez⚽

62'

C. Sorto / S. Patino ↕

62'

N. Blanco / N. Hernandez ↕

J. LaCava

68'

↕ N. Hamalainen / T. Blackett

73'

↕ J. LaCava / C. Nava

73'

G. Hurst

79'

83'

L. Haakenson / C. Parano ↕

88'

J. Hernandez

C. Gloster

88'

T. Blackett

89'

K. Keller

90'+1

Pre-match prediction

62.58%

New

22.16%

X

15.25%

San ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (San Antonio) 15.25% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

New

1.74

—

—

San

0.60

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24