USL Championship
· Group Stage
May 21, 2026 03:00
5'
(ast. Mattheus)
L. Perez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tampa Bay Rowdies a 38% win probability (draw 30%, New Mexico United 30%). The final result was New Mexico United 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Match statistics
Match Events
3'
N. Dossantos
5'
ast. Mattheus ·
L. Perez⚽
C. Gloster
18'
34'
M. Micaletto
/
Mattheus
37'
L. Perez
Z. Bailey
37'
46'
E. Conway
/
L. Perez
G. Hurst
48'
V. Noel
49'
G. Zelalem
/ D. Harris
56'
M. Howell
/ K. Keller
56'
59'
M. Schneider
71'
L. Wyke
/
D. Acoff
C. Gloster
/ W. Seymore
72'
V. Noel
/ J. Rennicks
72'
N. Hamalainen
74'
76'
K. Henderlong
/
M. Myers
N. Reid-Stephen
/ C. Nava
85'
O. Jabang
86'
89'
C. Ostrem
90'+4
E. Conway
90'+6
A. Rodriguez
/
E. Conway
Pre-match prediction
30.92%
New
30.36%
X
38.72%
Tampa ←
we assigned to the actual result (Tampa Bay Rowdies)
38.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
—
—
1.55
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The final score was New Mexico United 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What did the model predict before New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The model assigned 30% probability to a New Mexico United win, 30% to a draw, and 38% to an Tampa Bay Rowdies win.