MLS
· Regular Season - 11
May 03, 2026 21:00
29'
L. Munteanu
(pen.)
75'
L. Munteanu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 47% win probability (draw 28%, DC United 23%). The final result was New York City FC 0–2 DC United.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
7
0.56
Actual xG
2.79
5
Saves
4
73%
Possession
27%
6
Corners
3
13
Tackles
29
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
26'
K. Kurokawa
29'
L. Munteanu⚽
A. O'Neill
/ A. Perea
36'
45'+3
S. Hefti
60'
A. Herrera
/
J. Stroud
60'
N. Markovic
/
J. Hopkins
S. Tanasijevic
/ K. Parks
63'
M. Jones
/ H. Wolf
63'
70'
Peglow
75'
(pen.)
L. Munteanu⚽
78'
J. Murrell
/
L. Munteanu
N. Mercau
80'
Raul Gustavo
/ J. Shore
81'
A. Ojeda
/ S. Reid
81'
89'
C. Antley
/
Peglow
90'+3
J. Murrell
Pre-match prediction
47.31%
New
28.89%
X
23.79%
DC ←
we assigned to the actual result (DC United)
23.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.88
0.56
-1.32
1.11
2.79
+1.68
DC United dominated by xG (2.79 vs 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
49
G
2
Nico Cavallo
D
Nico Cavallo
D
34
Raul Gustavo
81'
D
Raul Gustavo
81'
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
Thiago Martins
D
19
Strahinja Tanasijević
63'
D
21
Aiden O'Neill
36'
M
Aiden O'Neill
36'
M
5
Kai Trewin
M
Kai Trewin
M
88
Malachi Jones
63'
M
Malachi Jones
63'
M
10
M. Moralez
M
M. Moralez
M
26
Agustin Ojeda
81'
M
Agustin Ojeda
81'
M
7
Nicolás Fernández
F
Nicolás Fernández
F
Bench
87
Arnau Farnos
F
Arnau Farnos
F
17
Hannes Wolf
27'
F
Hannes Wolf
27'
F
55
Keaton Parks
27'
M
Keaton Parks
27'
M
99
Seymour Garfield-Reid
9'
F
Seymour Garfield-Reid
9'
F
1
G
6
Keisuke Kurokawa
D
Keisuke Kurokawa
D
15
Kye Rowles
D
Kye Rowles
D
3
Lucas Bartlett
D
Lucas Bartlett
D
5
Silvan Hefti
D
Silvan Hefti
D
7
João Peglow
89'
M
João Peglow
89'
M
23
Brandon Servania
M
Brandon Servania
M
4
Matti Peltola
M
Matti Peltola
M
8
Jared Stroud
60'
M
Jared Stroud
60'
M
11
Louis Munteanu
2 ⚽
78'
F
Louis Munteanu
2 ⚽
78'
F
25
Jackson Hopkins
60'
F
Jackson Hopkins
60'
F
Bench
22
Aaron Herrera
30'
D
Aaron Herrera
30'
D
30
Caden Clark
M
Caden Clark
M
12
Conner Antley
10'
D
Conner Antley
10'
D
48
Gavin Turner
M
Gavin Turner
M
77
Hosei Kijima
M
Hosei Kijima
M
17
Jacob Murrell
12'
F
Jacob Murrell
12'
F
27
Nikola Markovic
30'
D
Nikola Markovic
30'
D
Best on the pitch
Nicolás Fernández
F · New
8.50
2 shots
· 51 pass
G · DC
7.90
· 28 pass
Lucas Bartlett
D · DC
7.60
· 17 pass
Matti Peltola
M · DC
7.50
· 18 pass
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.50
· 97 pass
Louis Munteanu
F · DC
7.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 11 pass
New York City FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Nico Cavallo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Raul Gustavo | D | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Martins | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 97 | 87% | 2 | — | — |
| Strahinja Tanasijević | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Aiden O'Neill | M | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Kai Trewin | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 80 | 67% | 4 | — | — |
| Malachi Jones | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Moralez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Agustin Ojeda | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | F | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| Hannes Wolf | F | 27 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Keaton Parks | M | 27 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Seymour Garfield-Reid | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
DC United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| Keisuke Kurokawa | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Kye Rowles | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Bartlett | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Silvan Hefti | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| João Peglow | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Brandon Servania | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 26 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Matti Peltola | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Jared Stroud | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Louis Munteanu | F | 78 | 7.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jackson Hopkins | F | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Aaron Herrera | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Conner Antley | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murrell | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nikola Markovic | D | 30 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs DC United?
The final score was New York City FC 0–2 DC United.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs DC United?
The model assigned 47% probability to a New York City FC win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an DC United win.