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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 21:00
New York City FC
#12 · 34 pts
0 – 2
Final score
DC United
#13 · 33 pts
29' L. Munteanu
(pen.) 75' L. Munteanu
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 47% win probability (draw 28%, DC United 23%). The final result was New York City FC 0–2 DC United.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
7
0.56
Actual xG
2.79
5
Saves
4
73%
Possession
27%
6
Corners
3
13
Tackles
29
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
26'
K. Kurokawa
29'
L. Munteanu⚽
↕ A. O'Neill / A. Perea
36'
45'+3
S. Hefti
60'
A. Herrera / J. Stroud ↕
60'
N. Markovic / J. Hopkins ↕
↕ S. Tanasijevic / K. Parks
63'
↕ M. Jones / H. Wolf
63'
70'
Peglow
75'
(pen.) L. Munteanu⚽
78'
J. Murrell / L. Munteanu ↕
N. Mercau
80'
↕ Raul Gustavo / J. Shore
81'
↕ A. Ojeda / S. Reid
81'
89'
C. Antley / Peglow ↕
90'+3
J. Murrell
Pre-match prediction
47.31%
New
28.89%
X
23.79%
DC ←
we assigned to the actual result (DC United) 23.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.88
0.56
-1.32
DC
1.11
2.79
+1.68
DC United dominated by xG (2.79 vs 0.56). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 30 67
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 30 55
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 30 52
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 30 48
5 Charlotte Charlotte 30 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 30 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 30 41
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 30 39
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 30 36
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 30 36
11 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 30 35
12 New York City FC New York City FC 30 34
13 DC United DC United 30 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 30 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 30 25
Lineups
New York City FC New York City FC 4-2-3-1
49
G 7.20
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo D 6.20
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo 81' D 7.00
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 7.50
19
Strahinja Tanasijević 63' D 6.90
21 A. O'Neill A. O'Neill 36' M 6.50
5 Kai Trewin Kai Trewin M 7.00
88 M. Jones M. Jones 63' M 6.30
10 M. Moralez M. Moralez M 6.60
26 A. Ojeda A. Ojeda 81' M 6.20
7 N. Fernández Mercau N. Fernández Mercau F 8.50
Bench
87 Arnau Farnos Arnau Farnos F
17 H. Wolf H. Wolf 27' F 6.00
55 Keaton Parks Keaton Parks 27' M 5.70
99 S. Reid S. Reid 9' F 6.60
DC United DC United 4-4-2
1
G 7.90
6 K. Kurokawa K. Kurokawa D 7.20
15 K. Rowles K. Rowles D 7.00
3 L. Bartlett L. Bartlett D 7.60
5 S. Hefti S. Hefti D 6.70
7 Peglow Peglow 89' M 6.50
23 B. Servania B. Servania M 6.30
4 M. Peltola M. Peltola M 7.50
8 J. Stroud J. Stroud 60' M 6.70
11 L. Munteanu L. Munteanu 2 ⚽ 78' F 7.30
25 J. Hopkins J. Hopkins 60' F 6.60
Bench
22 A. Herrera A. Herrera 30' D 6.90
12 C. Antley C. Antley 10' D 6.60
30 C. Clark C. Clark M
48 Gavin Turner Gavin Turner M
77 Hosei Kijima Hosei Kijima M
17 J. Murrell J. Murrell 12' F 6.30
27 Nikola Markovic Nikola Markovic 30' D 7.00
Best on the pitch
N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau
F · New
8.50
2 shots · 51 pass
G · DC
7.90
· 28 pass
L. Bartlett
L. Bartlett
D · DC
7.60
· 17 pass
M. Peltola
M. Peltola
M · DC
7.50
· 18 pass
Thiago Martins
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.50
· 97 pass
L. Munteanu
L. Munteanu
F · DC
7.30
2 ⚽
5 shots · 11 pass
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 19 19% — — —
Nico Cavallo D 90 6.20 — — — 48 46% 1 — —
Raul Gustavo D 81 7.00 — — 1 69 58% 1 — —
Thiago Martins D 90 7.50 — — — 97 87% 2 — —
Strahinja Tanasijević D 63 6.90 — — — 53 47% 1 — —
A. O'Neill M 36 6.50 — — — 24 22% — — —
Kai Trewin M 90 7.00 — — 2 80 67% 4 — —
M. Jones M 63 6.30 — — — 17 12% 1 — —
M. Moralez M 90 6.60 — — — 35 21% 2 — —
A. Ojeda M 81 6.20 — — 1 37 35% — — —
N. Fernández Mercau F 90 8.50 — — 2 51 42% — 1 —
H. Wolf F 27 6.00 — — — 5 3% — — —
Keaton Parks M 27 5.70 — — 1 27 24% 1 — —
S. Reid F 9 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
DC United DC United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 28 9% — — —
K. Kurokawa D 90 7.20 — — — 16 10% 5 1 —
K. Rowles D 90 7.00 — — — 23 12% 3 — —
L. Bartlett D 90 7.60 — — — 17 9% 1 — —
S. Hefti D 90 6.70 — — — 20 11% 3 1 —
Peglow M 89 6.50 — — 2 22 16% 2 1 —
B. Servania M 90 6.30 — — 4 26 19% 4 — —
M. Peltola M 90 7.50 — — — 18 13% 4 — —
J. Stroud M 60 6.70 — — — 11 8% 1 — —
L. Munteanu F 78 7.30 2 — 5 11 7% — — —
J. Hopkins F 60 6.60 — — 1 10 8% 2 — —
A. Herrera D 30 6.90 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
C. Antley D 10 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
J. Murrell F 12 6.30 — — — 5 2% 1 1 —
Nikola Markovic D 30 7.00 — — 1 10 6% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs DC United?
The final score was New York City FC 0–2 DC United.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs DC United?
The model assigned 47% probability to a New York City FC win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an DC United win.