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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 21:00
New York City FC
#5 · 18 pts
0 – 2
Final score
DC United
#7 · 16 pts
29' L. Munteanu
(pen.) 75' L. Munteanu

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 47% win probability (draw 28%, DC United 23%). The final result was New York City FC 0–2 DC United.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
7
0.56
Actual xG
2.79
5
Saves
4
73%
Possession
27%
6
Corners
3
13
Tackles
29
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
26'
K. Kurokawa
29'
L. Munteanu⚽
↕ A. O'Neill / A. Perea
36'
45'+3
S. Hefti
60'
A. Herrera / J. Stroud ↕
60'
N. Markovic / J. Hopkins ↕
↕ S. Tanasijevic / K. Parks
63'
↕ M. Jones / H. Wolf
63'
70'
Peglow
75'
(pen.) L. Munteanu⚽
78'
J. Murrell / L. Munteanu ↕
N. Mercau
80'
↕ Raul Gustavo / J. Shore
81'
↕ A. Ojeda / S. Reid
81'
89'
C. Antley / Peglow ↕
90'+3
J. Murrell
Pre-match prediction
47.31%
New
28.89%
X
23.79%
DC ←
we assigned to the actual result (DC United) 23.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.88
0.56
-1.32
DC
1.11
2.79
+1.68
DC United dominated by xG (2.79 vs 0.56). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
New York City FC New York City FC 4-2-3-1
49
G 7.20
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo D 6.20
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo 81' D 7.00
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 7.50
19 Strahinja Tanasijević Strahinja Tanasijević 63' D 6.90
21
A. O'Neill 36' M 6.50
5 Kai Trewin Kai Trewin M 7.00
88 Malachi Jones Malachi Jones 63' M 6.30
10 Maxi Moralez Maxi Moralez M 6.60
26 Agustin Ojeda Agustin Ojeda 81' M 6.20
7 Nicolás Fernández Nicolás Fernández F 8.50
Bench
87 Arnau Farnos Arnau Farnos F
17 Hannes Wolf Hannes Wolf 27' F 6.00
55 Keaton Parks Keaton Parks 27' M 5.70
99 Seymour Garfield-Reid Seymour Garfield-Reid 9' F 6.60
DC United DC United 4-4-2
1
G 7.90
6 Keisuke Kurokawa Keisuke Kurokawa D 7.20
15 Kye Rowles Kye Rowles D 7.00
3 Lucas Bartlett Lucas Bartlett D 7.60
5 Silvan Hefti Silvan Hefti D 6.70
7 João Peglow João Peglow 89' M 6.50
23 Brandon Servania Brandon Servania M 6.30
4 Matti Peltola Matti Peltola M 7.50
8 Jared Stroud Jared Stroud 60' M 6.70
11 Louis Munteanu Louis Munteanu 2 ⚽ 78' F 7.30
25 Jackson Hopkins Jackson Hopkins 60' F 6.60
Bench
22 Aaron Herrera Aaron Herrera 30' D 6.90
30 Caden Clark Caden Clark M
12 Conner Antley Conner Antley 10' D 6.60
48 Gavin Turner Gavin Turner M
77 Hosei Kijima Hosei Kijima M
17 Jacob Murrell Jacob Murrell 12' F 6.30
27 Nikola Markovic Nikola Markovic 30' D 7.00
Best on the pitch
Nicolás Fernández
Nicolás Fernández
F · New
8.50
2 shots · 51 pass
G · DC
7.90
· 28 pass
Lucas Bartlett
Lucas Bartlett
D · DC
7.60
· 17 pass
Matti Peltola
Matti Peltola
M · DC
7.50
· 18 pass
Thiago Martins
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.50
· 97 pass
Louis Munteanu
Louis Munteanu
F · DC
7.30
2 ⚽
5 shots · 11 pass
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 19 19% — — —
Nico Cavallo D 90 6.20 — — — 48 46% 1 — —
Raul Gustavo D 81 7.00 — — 1 69 58% 1 — —
Thiago Martins D 90 7.50 — — — 97 87% 2 — —
Strahinja Tanasijević D 63 6.90 — — — 53 47% 1 — —
A. O'Neill M 36 6.50 — — — 24 22% — — —
Kai Trewin M 90 7.00 — — 2 80 67% 4 — —
Malachi Jones M 63 6.30 — — — 17 12% 1 — —
Maxi Moralez M 90 6.60 — — — 35 21% 2 — —
Agustin Ojeda M 81 6.20 — — 1 37 35% — — —
Nicolás Fernández F 90 8.50 — — 2 51 42% — 1 —
Hannes Wolf F 27 6.00 — — — 5 3% — — —
Keaton Parks M 27 5.70 — — 1 27 24% 1 — —
Seymour Garfield-Reid F 9 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
DC United DC United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 28 9% — — —
Keisuke Kurokawa D 90 7.20 — — — 16 10% 5 1 —
Kye Rowles D 90 7.00 — — — 23 12% 3 — —
Lucas Bartlett D 90 7.60 — — — 17 9% 1 — —
Silvan Hefti D 90 6.70 — — — 20 11% 3 1 —
João Peglow M 89 6.50 — — 2 22 16% 2 1 —
Brandon Servania M 90 6.30 — — 4 26 19% 4 — —
Matti Peltola M 90 7.50 — — — 18 13% 4 — —
Jared Stroud M 60 6.70 — — — 11 8% 1 — —
Louis Munteanu F 78 7.30 2 — 5 11 7% — — —
Jackson Hopkins F 60 6.60 — — 1 10 8% 2 — —
Aaron Herrera D 30 6.90 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
Conner Antley D 10 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
Jacob Murrell F 12 6.30 — — — 5 2% 1 1 —
Nikola Markovic D 30 7.00 — — 1 10 6% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs DC United?
The final score was New York City FC 0–2 DC United.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs DC United?
The model assigned 47% probability to a New York City FC win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an DC United win.