MLS · Regular Season - 9 April 23, 2026 01:30

New York City FC

#9 · 33 pts

4 – 4

Final score

FC Cincinnati

#10 · 33 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction New York City FC, result Draw

N. Mercau 20'

N. Mercau (ast. M. Moralez) 35'

A. Ojeda (ast. A. O'Neill) 53'

Talles Magno (ast. A. Ojeda) 79'

32' (ast. E. Echenique) K. Denkey

65' (ast. G. Valenzuela) K. Denkey

90'+2 (ast. P. Bucha) A. Chirila

(pen.) 90'+5 Evander

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 52% win probability (draw 23%, FC Cincinnati 24%). The final result was New York City FC 4–4 FC Cincinnati. In 1 previous meetings, New York City FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

9

9

Shots on target

6

1.56

Actual xG

1.49

2

Saves

5

55%

Possession

45%

2

Corners

4

22

Tackles

16

0

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

⚽N. Mercau

20'

23'

A. Powell / T. Hadebe ↕

32'

ast. E. Echenique · K. Denkey⚽

⚽N. Mercau · ast. M. Moralez

35'

46'

A. Chirila / A. Powell ↕

50'

G. Flores

⚽A. Ojeda · ast. A. O'Neill

53'

57'

60'

G. Valenzuela / E. Echenique ↕

60'

T. Anunga / G. Flores ↕

65'

ast. G. Valenzuela · K. Denkey⚽

71'

K. Smith

↕ H. Wolf / K. Parks

72'

↕ M. Moralez / Talles Magno

72'

⚽Talles Magno · ast. A. Ojeda

79'

83'

A. Jabbari / T. Barlow ↕

↕ N. Mercau / A. Farnos

84'

↕ A. Ojeda / J. Shore

84'

90'+2

ast. P. Bucha · A. Chirila⚽

90'+5

(pen.) Evander⚽

90'+6

T. Anunga

↕ T. Gray / S. Tanasijevic

90'

Pre-match prediction

52.35%

New

23.28%

X ←

24.37%

FC

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.28% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

New

3.30

1.56

-1.74

FC

1.59

1.49

-0.1

xG dominance was balanced (1.56 – 1.49). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	New England Revolution	27	46
3	Inter Miami	27	46
4	Charlotte	27	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	33
9	New York City FC	27	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	33
11	DC United	26	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	CF Montreal	27	24

Lineups

New York City FC 4-2-3-1

49

G 6.30

22

D 5.20

34 Raul Gustavo D 6.70

13 Thiago Martins D 6.30

24 T. Gray 89' D 7.20

21 Aiden O'Neill 1 👟 M 6.90

5 Kai Trewin M 7.30

17 H. Wolf 72' M 6.70

10 M. Moralez 1 👟 72' M 7.20

26 A. Ojeda 1 ⚽ 1 👟 84' M 7.90

7 N. Fernández Mercau 2 ⚽ 84' F 10.00

Bench

87 Arnau Farnos 17' F 6.70

55 Keaton Parks 18' M 6.30

2 Nico Cavallo D

99 S. Reid F

19

Strahinja Tanasijević 11' D 5.90

11 Talles Magno 1 ⚽ 18' F 7.70

FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2

18

G 5.90

15 T. Hadebe 23' D 6.30

3 Gilberto Flores 60' D 6.20

24 K. Smith D 6.70

17 K. Mboma Dem M 6.20

11 S. Gidi M 6.50

20 P. Bucha 1 👟 M 6.60

66 E. Echenique 1 👟 60' M 6.60

10 Evander 1 ⚽ F 7.70

16 T. Barlow 83' F 6.30

9 K. Denkey 2 ⚽ F 8.30

Bench

88 Andrei Chirila 1 ⚽ 45' D 7.20

2 A. Powell 22' D 6.70

27 B. Anunga 30' M 6.50

22 G. Valenzuela 1 👟 30' M 6.20

Best on the pitch

N. Fernández Mercau

F · New

10.00

2 ⚽

2 shots · 46 pass

K. Denkey

F · FC

8.30

2 ⚽

2 shots · 14 pass

A. Ojeda

M · New

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 33 pass

Evander

F · FC

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 38 pass

Talles Magno

F · New

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 3 pass

Kai Trewin

M · New

7.30

· 51 pass

New York City FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	22	16%	—	—	—
	D	90	5.20	—	—	1	57	49%	2	—	—
Raul Gustavo	D	90	6.70	—	—	1	63	55%	3	—	—
Thiago Martins	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	65	61%	—	—	—
T. Gray	D	89	7.20	—	—	—	70	58%	4	—	—
Aiden O'Neill	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	53	45%	2	—	—
Kai Trewin	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	51	41%	6	—	—
H. Wolf	M	72	6.70	—	—	3	30	27%	2	—	—
M. Moralez	M	72	7.20	—	1	2	37	29%	—	—	—
A. Ojeda	M	84	7.90	1	1	3	33	24%	—	—	—
N. Fernández Mercau	F	84	10.00	2	—	2	46	36%	3	—	—
Arnau Farnos	F	17	6.70	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
Keaton Parks	M	18	6.30	—	—	1	12	10%	—	—	—
Strahinja Tanasijević	D	11	5.90	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Talles Magno	F	18	7.70	1	—	1	3	2%	—	—	—

FC Cincinnati — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	5.90	—	—	—	28	18%	—	—	—
T. Hadebe	D	23	6.30	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
Gilberto Flores	D	60	6.20	—	—	—	35	29%	1	1	—
K. Smith	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	46	37%	5	1	—
K. Mboma Dem	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	40	32%	—	—	—
S. Gidi	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	57	44%	—	—	—
P. Bucha	M	90	6.60	—	1	1	50	43%	1	—	—
E. Echenique	M	60	6.60	—	1	—	19	12%	2	—	—
Evander	F	90	7.70	1	—	2	38	29%	2	—	—
T. Barlow	F	83	6.30	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—
K. Denkey	F	90	8.30	2	—	2	14	12%	—	—	—
Andrei Chirila	D	45	7.20	1	—	1	35	31%	1	—	—
A. Powell	D	22	6.70	—	—	—	14	12%	2	—	—
B. Anunga	M	30	6.50	—	—	—	27	26%	1	1	—
G. Valenzuela	M	30	6.20	—	1	2	23	20%	1	—	—