MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 18:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Inter Miami 27%). The final result was New York City FC 2–3 Inter Miami.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
8
1.28
Actual xG
1.45
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
45.09%
New
27.57%
X
27.34%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami)
27.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.11
1.28
-1.83
0.87
1.45
+0.58
xG dominance was balanced (1.28 – 1.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Inter Miami?
The final score was New York City FC 2–3 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 45% probability to a New York City FC win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Inter Miami win.