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MLS · Regular Season - 5 March 22, 2026 19:00
New York City FC
#8 · 19 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Inter Miami
#2 · 31 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Inter Miami 27%). The final result was New York City FC 2–3 Inter Miami.

Match statistics
5
Shots on target
8
1.28
Actual xG
1.45
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
45.09%
New
27.57%
X
27.34%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 27.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
3.11
1.28
-1.83
Inter
0.87
1.45
+0.58
xG dominance was balanced (1.28 – 1.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 14 33
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 15 31
3 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 14 26
4 New England Revolution New England Revolution 14 25
5 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 15 22
6 Charlotte Charlotte 15 21
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 15 20
8 New York City FC New York City FC 15 19
9 DC United DC United 15 18
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 15 16
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 14 14
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 15 14
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 14 14
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 14 11
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 15 7
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Inter Miami?
The final score was New York City FC 2–3 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 45% probability to a New York City FC win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Inter Miami win.