MLS · Regular Season - 5 March 22, 2026 18:00

New York City FC

#11 · 39 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Inter Miami

#2 · 59 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Inter Miami 27%). The final result was New York City FC 2–3 Inter Miami. In 1 previous meetings, New York City FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Inter Miami.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

8

1.28

Actual xG

1.45

47%

Possession

53%

7

Corners

7

Pre-match prediction

45.09%

New

27.57%

X

27.34%

Inter ←

we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 27.34% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

New

3.11

1.28

-1.83

Inter

0.87

1.45

+0.58

xG dominance was balanced (1.28 – 1.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	33	74
2	Inter Miami	33	59
3	New England Revolution	33	58
4	Chicago Fire	33	55
5	Charlotte	33	53
6	Philadelphia Union	33	47
7	FC Cincinnati	33	46
8	Columbus Crew	33	44
9	Orlando City SC	33	43
10	New York Red Bulls	33	39
11	New York City FC	33	39
12	Toronto FC	33	39
13	Atlanta United FC	33	33
14	DC United	33	33
15	CF Montreal	33	26