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New York City FC - Necaxa

Leagues Cup August 14, 2026 01:30
New York City FC
vs
Necaxa
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.45%
Win
New York City FC
31.04%
Draw
33.51%
Win
Necaxa
1.5
Expected xG
1.51

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.98%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 31%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives New York City FC a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Necaxa. Expected goals are 1.5 for New York City FC and 1.5 for Necaxa (total 3.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.98% probability.

Season Stats

New York City FC
6W 3D 6L
Necaxa
6W 3D 6L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.3
1.4
Conceded
1.4
4.7
Shots OT
4.1
2.8
Corners
4.7
55%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
53%
O 2.5
73%
60%
BTTS
67%
13%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
48%
O 3.5
74%
BTTS
New York City FC
4W 2D 3L · at home
Necaxa
3W 2D 5L · away
2.4
gls/g
1.4
1.6
Conceded
1.9
44%
Win %
30%
67%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
90%
78%
O 2.5
70%
56%
O 3.5
40%
67%
BTTS
80%
22%
Clean Sht
10%
11%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ New York City FC Necaxa →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9% 7.4% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.4% 11.1% 8.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.4% 6.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.8% 4.2% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

New York City FC New York City FC
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Necaxa Necaxa
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

New York City FC New York City FC
Attack
34
Defence
63
Form
63
Necaxa Necaxa
Attack
44
Defence
71
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win New York City FC vs Necaxa?
The model gives New York City FC a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Necaxa win.
How many goals are expected in New York City FC vs Necaxa?
Expected goals: New York City FC 1.5, Necaxa 1.5 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in New York City FC vs Necaxa?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.98%.