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MLS · Regular Season - 26 September 19, 2026 01:30
New York City FC
#11 · 42 pts
0 – 1
Final score
New York Red Bulls
#10 · 42 pts
57' J. Hall
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 52% win probability (draw 26%, New York Red Bulls 20%). The final result was New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls. In 2 previous meetings, New York City FC have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for New York Red Bulls.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
1
2.30
Actual xG
1.40
0
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
7
14
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
A. Mehmeti
22'
C. Cowell
N. Cavallo
30'
40'
M. Sofo
A. O'Neill
55'
57'
J. Hall⚽
62'
D. Padelford / M. Dos Santos ↕
↕ H. Wolf / B. Traore
62'
↕ Luighi / A. Martinez
62'
↕ A. Ojeda / M. Jones
75'
84'
J. Ruvalcaba / C. Cowell ↕
84'
D. Ruiz / A. Mehmeti ↕
84'
E. M. Choupo-Moting / J. Hall ↕
Pre-match prediction
52.84%
New
26.18%
X
20.98%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls) 20.98% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.36
2.30
+0.94
New
0.70
1.40
+0.7
New York City FC dominated by xG (2.30 vs 1.40). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 34 77
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 34 60
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 34 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 34 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 34 54
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 34 50
7 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 34 47
8 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 34 46
9 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 34 46
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 34 42
11 New York City FC New York City FC 34 42
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 34 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 34 33
14 DC United DC United 34 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 34 26
Lineups
New York City FC New York City FC 4-2-3-1
49 M. Freese M. Freese G 6.30
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo D 6.90
6 J. Sands J. Sands D 6.90
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 6.60
24 T. Gray T. Gray D 6.30
8 A. Perea A. Perea M 6.60
21 A. O'Neill A. O'Neill M 6.90
17 H. Wolf H. Wolf 62' M 6.70
7 N. Fernández Mercau N. Fernández Mercau M 7.90
26 A. Ojeda A. Ojeda 75' M 7.20
20 Luighi Hanri Luighi Hanri 62' F 6.90
Bench
16 A. Martínez A. Martínez 28' F 6.50
9 B. Traoré B. Traoré 28' F 7.50
32 J. Shore J. Shore M
22 K. O'Toole K. O'Toole D
23 Maxwell Murray Maxwell Murray D
35 M. Ilenič M. Ilenič D
88 M. Jones M. Jones 15' F 6.30
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo D
30 T. Romero T. Romero G
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34 E. Horvath E. Horvath 46' G 8.20
56 M. Dos Santos M. Dos Santos 62' D 6.90
14 J. Bazán J. Bazán 46' D 8.00
26 T. Parker T. Parker 46' D 7.30
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis 46' D 7.00
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo 46' M 6.70
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti 84' M 7.20
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor 46' M 7.20
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 84' F 6.50
16 J. Hall J. Hall 1 ⚽ 84' F 6.90
17 C. Harper C. Harper 46' F 6.70
Bench
92 D. Nelich D. Nelich F
59 D. Padelford D. Padelford 33' D 6.30
8 D. Ruíz D. Ruíz 11' M 6.70
13 E. Choupo-Moting E. Choupo-Moting 11' F 6.30
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg M
77 J. McCarthy J. McCarthy G
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 11' F 6.70
6 R. Voloder R. Voloder D
60 S. Kone S. Kone M
Best on the pitch
E. Horvath
E. Horvath
G · New
8.20
· 24 pass
J. Bazán
J. Bazán
D · New
8.00
· 40 pass
N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau
M · New
7.90
1 shots · 46 pass
B. Traoré
B. Traoré
F · New
7.50
2 shots · 10 pass
T. Parker
T. Parker
D · New
7.30
· 21 pass
A. Mehmeti
A. Mehmeti
M · New
7.20
· 46 pass
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Freese G 90 6.30 — — — 21 17% — — —
Nico Cavallo D 90 6.90 — — — 55 49% 1 1 —
J. Sands D 90 6.90 — — — 87 78% 1 — —
Thiago Martins D 90 6.60 — — 1 76 70% 1 — —
T. Gray D 90 6.30 — — — 54 40% 1 — —
A. Perea M 90 6.60 — — 1 42 35% 2 — —
A. O'Neill M 90 6.90 — — 1 50 41% 3 1 —
H. Wolf M 62 6.70 — — 1 14 12% 1 — —
N. Fernández Mercau M 90 7.90 — — 1 46 41% 2 — —
A. Ojeda M 75 7.20 — — — 30 22% — — —
Luighi Hanri F 62 6.90 — — 1 17 14% 1 — —
A. Martínez F 28 6.50 — — 2 3 3% — — —
B. Traoré F 28 7.50 — — 2 10 7% 1 — —
M. Jones F 15 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Horvath G 46 8.20 — — — 24 14% — — —
M. Dos Santos D 62 6.90 — — 1 21 14% — — —
J. Bazán D 46 8.00 — — — 40 37% 6 — —
T. Parker D 46 7.30 — — — 21 16% 1 — —
D. Nealis D 46 7.00 — — — 36 28% 1 — —
M. Sofo M 46 6.70 — — 1 28 23% 3 1 —
A. Mehmeti M 84 7.20 — — — 46 38% — 1 —
R. Donkor M 46 7.20 — — — 31 26% 1 — —
C. Cowell F 84 6.50 — — 1 13 9% — 1 —
J. Hall F 84 6.90 1 — 2 8 3% — — —
C. Harper F 46 6.70 — — — 14 10% 1 — —
D. Padelford D 33 6.30 — — — 5 2% — — —
D. Ruíz M 11 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
E. Choupo-Moting F 11 6.30 — — 1 4 2% — — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 11 6.70 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
The final score was New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
The model assigned 52% probability to a New York City FC win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an New York Red Bulls win.