MLS
· Regular Season - 26
September 19, 2026 01:30
57'
J. Hall
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 52% win probability (draw 26%, New York Red Bulls 20%). The final result was New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls. In 2 previous meetings, New York City FC have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for New York Red Bulls.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
1
2.30
Actual xG
1.40
0
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
7
14
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
A. Mehmeti
22'
C. Cowell
N. Cavallo
30'
40'
M. Sofo
A. O'Neill
55'
57'
J. Hall⚽
62'
D. Padelford
/
M. Dos Santos
H. Wolf
/ B. Traore
62'
Luighi
/ A. Martinez
62'
A. Ojeda
/ M. Jones
75'
84'
J. Ruvalcaba
/
C. Cowell
84'
D. Ruiz
/
A. Mehmeti
84'
E. M. Choupo-Moting
/
J. Hall
Pre-match prediction
52.84%
New
26.18%
X
20.98%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls)
20.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
2.30
+0.94
0.70
1.40
+0.7
New York City FC dominated by xG (2.30 vs 1.40).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
49
Matthew Freese
G
Matthew Freese
G
2
Nico Cavallo
D
Nico Cavallo
D
6
James Sands
D
James Sands
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
Thiago Martins
D
24
Tayvon Gray
D
Tayvon Gray
D
8
Andrés Perea
M
Andrés Perea
M
21
Aiden O'Neill
M
Aiden O'Neill
M
17
Hannes Wolf
62'
M
Hannes Wolf
62'
M
7
Nicolás Fernández
M
Nicolás Fernández
M
26
Agustin Ojeda
75'
M
Agustin Ojeda
75'
M
20
Luighi Hanri
62'
F
Luighi Hanri
62'
F
Bench
16
Alonso Martínez
28'
F
Alonso Martínez
28'
F
9
Bénie Traoré
28'
F
Bénie Traoré
28'
F
32
Jonathan Shore
M
Jonathan Shore
M
22
Kevin O'Toole
D
Kevin O'Toole
D
88
Malachi Jones
15'
F
Malachi Jones
15'
F
23
Max Murray
D
Max Murray
D
35
Mitja Ilenič
D
Mitja Ilenič
D
34
Raul Gustavo
D
Raul Gustavo
D
30
Tomás Romero
G
Tomás Romero
G
34
Ethan Horvath
46'
G
Ethan Horvath
46'
G
56
Matthew Dos Santos
62'
D
Matthew Dos Santos
62'
D
14
Julián Bazán
46'
D
Julián Bazán
46'
D
26
Tim Parker
46'
D
Tim Parker
46'
D
12
Dylan Nealis
46'
D
Dylan Nealis
46'
D
37
Mohammed Sofo
46'
M
Mohammed Sofo
46'
M
15
Adri Mehmeti
84'
M
Adri Mehmeti
84'
M
48
R. Donkor
46'
M
7
Cade Cowell
84'
F
Cade Cowell
84'
F
16
Julian Hall
1 ⚽
84'
F
Julian Hall
1 ⚽
84'
F
17
Cameron Harper
46'
F
Cameron Harper
46'
F
Bench
8
David Ruíz
11'
M
David Ruíz
11'
M
92
Dennis Nelich
F
Dennis Nelich
F
59
Devin Padelford
33'
D
Devin Padelford
33'
D
10
Emil Forsberg
M
Emil Forsberg
M
13
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
11'
F
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
11'
F
77
John McCarthy
G
John McCarthy
G
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba
11'
F
Jorge Ruvalcaba
11'
F
6
Robert Voloder
D
Robert Voloder
D
60
Sekou Kone
M
Sekou Kone
M
Best on the pitch
Ethan Horvath
G · New
8.20
· 24 pass
Julián Bazán
D · New
8.00
· 40 pass
Nicolás Fernández
M · New
7.90
1 shots
· 46 pass
Bénie Traoré
F · New
7.50
2 shots
· 10 pass
Tim Parker
D · New
7.30
· 21 pass
Adri Mehmeti
M · New
7.20
· 46 pass
New York City FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Nico Cavallo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | 1 | 1 | — |
| James Sands | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 87 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Martins | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| Tayvon Gray | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrés Perea | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Aiden O'Neill | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Hannes Wolf | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Agustin Ojeda | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Luighi Hanri | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Alonso Martínez | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Bénie Traoré | F | 28 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Malachi Jones | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Horvath | G | 46 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Julián Bazán | D | 46 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 6 | — | — |
| Tim Parker | D | 46 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Dylan Nealis | D | 46 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Sofo | M | 46 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Donkor | M | 46 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Cade Cowell | F | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Julian Hall | F | 84 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Cameron Harper | F | 46 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| David Ruíz | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Devin Padelford | D | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
The final score was New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
The model assigned 52% probability to a New York City FC win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an New York Red Bulls win.