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MLS · Regular Season - 19 August 17, 2026 00:00
New York City FC
#9 · 29 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Philadelphia Union
#8 · 30 pts
B. Traore 4' (pen.)
Luighi 45'+2 (pen.)
48' (ast. C. Sullivan) D. Jean Jacques
69' (ast. C. Sullivan) B. Damiani
75' (ast. Q. Sullivan) B. Damiani
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 41% win probability (draw 23%, Philadelphia Union 34%). The final result was New York City FC 2–3 Philadelphia Union. In 1 previous meetings, New York City FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
5
2.25
Actual xG
2.39
2
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
8
Corners
4
8
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽B. Traore (pen.)
4'
16'
N. Harriel
Luighi
43'
44'
J. Lukic
⚽Luighi (pen.)
45'+2
48'
ast. C. Sullivan · D. Jean Jacques⚽
51'
M. Iloski
↕ J. Shore / M. Carrizo
60'
↕ K. Parks / K. O'Toole
60'
62'
J. Bueno / J. Lukic ↕
↕ Luighi / Talles Magno
67'
↕ B. Traore / M. Jones
67'
69'
ast. C. Sullivan · B. Damiani⚽
70'
Q. Sullivan / I. Vassilev ↕
75'
ast. Q. Sullivan · B. Damiani⚽
↕ M. Murray / Raul Gustavo
78'
T. Gray
79'
80'
A. Bedoya / C. Sullivan ↕
85'
K. Wagner
M. Jones
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.84%
New
23.52%
X
34.64%
Philadelphia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Philadelphia Union) 34.64% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.66
2.25
+0.59
Philadelphia
1.50
2.39
+0.89
xG dominance was balanced (2.25 – 2.39). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
New York City FC New York City FC 4-3-3
49 M. Freese M. Freese G 6.30
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo D 6.50
6 J. Sands J. Sands D 6.30
23 Maxwell Murray Maxwell Murray 78' D 5.90
24 T. Gray T. Gray D 5.90
8 A. Perea A. Perea M 6.90
55 Keaton Parks Keaton Parks 60' M 7.20
32 J. Shore J. Shore 60' M 6.70
9 B. Traoré B. Traoré 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.60
20 Luighi Hanri Luighi Hanri 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.20
26 A. Ojeda A. Ojeda F 6.90
Bench
75 El Hadij Samb El Hadij Samb M
15 Kevin Pierre Kevin Pierre M
22 K. O'Toole K. O'Toole 30' D 6.00
29 Máximo Carrizo Máximo Carrizo 30' M 6.20
35 M. Ilenič M. Ilenič D
88 M. Jones M. Jones 23' F 6.20
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo 12' D 6.60
11 Talles Magno Talles Magno 23' F 6.50
30 T. Romero T. Romero G
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
18 A. Blake A. Blake G 7.30
27 K. Wagner K. Wagner D 7.00
26 N. Harriel N. Harriel D 6.50
44 Neil Pierre Neil Pierre D 5.60
39 F. Westfield F. Westfield D 7.20
19 I. Vassilev I. Vassilev 70' M 6.50
4 J. Lukić J. Lukić 62' M 6.00
21 D. Jean-Jacques D. Jean-Jacques 1 ⚽ M 7.30
6 Cavan Sullivan Cavan Sullivan 2 👟 80' M 7.20
10 M. Iloski M. Iloski F 6.20
9 B. Damiani B. Damiani 2 ⚽ F 8.60
Bench
28 A. Anello A. Anello F
11 A. Bedoya A. Bedoya 10' M 6.20
76 A. Rick A. Rick G
16 B. Bender B. Bender M
23 E. Alladoh E. Alladoh F
8 J. Bueno J. Bueno 28' M 7.00
14 J. Rafanello J. Rafanello M
5 J. Sery Larsen J. Sery Larsen D
33 Q. Sullivan Q. Sullivan 1 👟 20' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
B. Damiani
B. Damiani
F · Philadelphia
8.60
2 ⚽
2 shots · 20 pass
B. Traoré
B. Traoré
F · New
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
D. Jean-Jacques
D. Jean-Jacques
M · Philadelphia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
A. Blake
A. Blake
G · Philadelphia
7.30
· 27 pass
Cavan Sullivan
Cavan Sullivan
M · Philadelphia
7.20
2 👟
3 shots · 20 pass
F. Westfield
F. Westfield
D · Philadelphia
7.20
· 25 pass
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Freese G 90 6.30 — — 1 25 16% — — —
Nico Cavallo D 90 6.50 — — — 32 24% 2 — —
J. Sands D 90 6.30 — — 2 43 32% — — —
Maxwell Murray D 78 5.90 — — — 31 24% 1 — —
T. Gray D 90 5.90 — — 1 42 29% 1 1 —
A. Perea M 90 6.90 — — — 30 20% 1 — —
Keaton Parks M 60 7.20 — — 1 25 21% 1 — —
J. Shore M 60 6.70 — — 1 23 16% — — —
B. Traoré F 67 7.60 1 — 1 19 12% — — —
Luighi Hanri F 67 7.20 1 — 3 12 7% 2 1 —
A. Ojeda F 90 6.90 — — — 25 18% — — —
K. O'Toole D 30 6.00 — — — 10 8% — — —
Máximo Carrizo M 30 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
M. Jones F 23 6.20 — — — 5 4% — 1 —
Raul Gustavo D 12 6.60 — — — 14 8% — — —
Talles Magno F 23 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Blake G 90 7.30 — — — 27 14% — — —
K. Wagner D 90 7.00 — — — 39 30% 2 1 —
N. Harriel D 90 6.50 — — — 50 46% 1 1 —
Neil Pierre D 90 5.60 — — — 32 24% 1 — —
F. Westfield D 90 7.20 — — — 25 19% 3 — —
I. Vassilev M 70 6.50 — — — 20 13% — — —
J. Lukić M 62 6.00 — — — 24 20% — 1 —
D. Jean-Jacques M 90 7.30 1 — 1 37 28% 5 — —
Cavan Sullivan M 80 7.20 — 2 3 20 13% 3 — —
M. Iloski F 90 6.20 — — 4 11 10% — 1 —
B. Damiani F 90 8.60 2 — 2 20 13% 1 — —
A. Bedoya M 10 6.20 — — 1 4 3% — — —
J. Bueno M 28 7.00 — — — 15 11% 1 — —
Q. Sullivan M 20 6.90 — 1 1 5 3% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was New York City FC 2–3 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 41% probability to a New York City FC win, 23% to a draw, and 34% to an Philadelphia Union win.