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New York City FC - Santos Laguna

Leagues Cup August 07, 2026 01:30
New York City FC
vs
Santos Laguna
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.19%
Win
New York City FC
31.32%
Draw
29.49%
Win
Santos Laguna
1.61
Expected xG
1.02

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.24%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 31%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 61%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives New York City FC a 39% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Santos Laguna. Expected goals are 1.6 for New York City FC and 1.0 for Santos Laguna (total 2.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.24% probability.

Season Stats

New York City FC
6W 3D 6L
Santos Laguna
3W 2D 10L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.2
1.4
Conceded
2.0
4.7
Shots OT
3.3
2.8
Corners
4.3
55%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
87%
53%
O 2.5
73%
60%
BTTS
67%
13%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
58%
O 3.5
69%
BTTS
New York City FC
4W 2D 3L · at home
Santos Laguna
1W 1D 8L · away
2.4
gls/g
1.1
1.6
Conceded
2.9
44%
Win %
10%
67%
Win or Draw
20%
100%
O 1.5
100%
78%
O 2.5
90%
56%
O 3.5
60%
67%
BTTS
70%
22%
Clean Sht
0%
11%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ New York City FC Santos Laguna →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2% 7.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.6% 11.9% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.5% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% —
4 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

New York City FC New York City FC
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

New York City FC New York City FC
Attack
34
Defence
63
Form
63
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
Attack
30
Defence
67
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win New York City FC vs Santos Laguna?
The model gives New York City FC a 39% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 29% for an Santos Laguna win.
How many goals are expected in New York City FC vs Santos Laguna?
Expected goals: New York City FC 1.6, Santos Laguna 1.0 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in New York City FC vs Santos Laguna?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.24%.