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MLS · Regular Season - 17 July 26, 2026 00:30
New York Red Bulls
#9 · 39 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Charlotte
#5 · 47 pts
7' (ast. L. Abada) P. Biel
12' (ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas) A. Westwood
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Charlotte 32%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 0–2 Charlotte. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Charlotte.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
3
2.38
Actual xG
0.27
1
Saves
6
65%
Possession
35%
6
Corners
1
18
Tackles
15
5
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
7'
ast. L. Abada · P. Biel⚽
12'
ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas · A. Westwood⚽
48'
L. Abada
J. Ruvalcaba
56'
62'
W. Cleary / H. Toffolo ↕
↕ C. Cowell / M. Sofo
70'
↕ D. Nealis / J. Marshall-Rutty
71'
↕ E. Forsberg / M. Jimenez
71'
71'
D. Diani / L. de la Torre ↕
72'
T. Smalls / L. Abada ↕
A. Mehmeti
77'
82'
A. Goodwin / I. Toklomati ↕
82'
B. Bronico / P. Biel ↕
↕ M. Dos Santos / O. Valencia
84'
↕ J. Ruvalcaba / A. Rojas
84'
O. Valencia
85'
J. Che
90'+2
A. Mehmeti
90'+3
A. Mehmeti
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
41.77%
New
25.35%
X
32.88%
Charlotte ←
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte) 32.88% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.49
2.38
+0.89
Charlotte
1.36
0.27
-1.09
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (2.38 vs 0.27). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34 E. Horvath E. Horvath G 6.00
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos 84' D 7.00
14 J. Bazán J. Bazán D 6.70
2 J. Che J. Che D 6.70
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis 70' D 6.70
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 70' M 6.20
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti M 6.90
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor M 7.60
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 84' F 6.90
16 J. Hall J. Hall F 6.20
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 70' F 6.50
Bench
70 A. Rojas A. Rojas 12' F 6.60
4 G. Berggren G. Berggren M
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty 26' D 6.90
77 J. McCarthy J. McCarthy G
91 M. Jimenez M. Jimenez 26' F 6.70
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo 26' F 6.50
80 Nathan Worth Nathan Worth M
5 Omar Valencia Omar Valencia 12' D 6.50
26 T. Parker T. Parker D
Charlotte Charlotte 4-2-3-1
1 K. Kahlina K. Kahlina G 8.70
15 H. Toffolo H. Toffolo 61' D 7.00
22 H. Kessler H. Kessler D 7.30
44 M. Agyemang M. Agyemang D 7.90
14 N. Byrne N. Byrne D 6.90
17 L. de la Torre L. de la Torre 71' M 7.20
8 A. Westwood A. Westwood 1 ⚽ M 8.90
11 L. Abada L. Abada 1 👟 71' M 6.70
16 Pep Biel Pep Biel 1 ⚽ 82' M 7.70
18 K. Vargas K. Vargas 1 👟 M 7.30
9 I. Toklomati Giorno I. Toklomati Giorno 82' F 6.30
Bench
7 A. Goodwin A. Goodwin 14' F 6.20
4 A. Privett A. Privett D
13 B. Bronico B. Bronico 14' M 6.60
28 D. Diani D. Diani 25' M 6.90
37 R. Aloko R. Aloko F
21 T. Miller T. Miller G
3 T. Ream T. Ream D
25 Tyger Smalls Tyger Smalls 25' F 6.90
35 Will Cleary Will Cleary 35' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
A. Westwood
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
K. Kahlina
K. Kahlina
G · Charlotte
8.70
· 45 pass
M. Agyemang
M. Agyemang
D · Charlotte
7.90
· 37 pass
Pep Biel
Pep Biel
M · Charlotte
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
R. Donkor
R. Donkor
M · New
7.60
1 shots · 71 pass
K. Vargas
K. Vargas
M · Charlotte
7.30
1 👟
· 26 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Horvath G 96 6.00 — — — 20 18% — — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 84 7.00 — — — 67 62% 4 — —
J. Bazán D 96 6.70 — — — 104 100% 2 — —
J. Che D 96 6.70 — — — 101 86% 3 1 —
D. Nealis D 70 6.70 — — — 53 47% 1 — —
E. Forsberg M 70 6.20 — — 4 27 24% — — —
A. Mehmeti M 90 6.90 — — 2 63 54% 2 2 1
R. Donkor M 96 7.60 — — 1 71 63% 4 — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 84 6.90 — — 3 36 33% — 1 —
J. Hall F 96 6.20 — — 3 26 20% 1 — —
C. Cowell F 70 6.50 — — 3 24 22% — — —
A. Rojas F 12 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 26 6.90 — — — 23 21% — — —
M. Jimenez F 26 6.70 — — — 5 5% — — —
M. Sofo F 26 6.50 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
Omar Valencia D 12 6.50 — — — 8 6% — 1 —
Charlotte Charlotte — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Kahlina G 96 8.70 — — — 45 28% — — —
H. Toffolo D 61 7.00 — — — 24 16% 2 — —
H. Kessler D 96 7.30 — — — 53 46% — — —
M. Agyemang D 96 7.90 — — — 37 32% 2 — —
N. Byrne D 96 6.90 — — — 26 22% — — —
L. de la Torre M 71 7.20 — — — 26 17% 3 — —
A. Westwood M 96 8.90 1 — 1 35 27% 1 — —
L. Abada M 71 6.70 — 1 — 25 18% 1 1 —
Pep Biel M 82 7.70 1 — 1 20 18% — — —
K. Vargas M 96 7.30 — 1 — 26 23% 2 — —
I. Toklomati Giorno F 82 6.30 — — 1 18 12% 1 — —
A. Goodwin F 14 6.20 — — — 1 1% — — —
B. Bronico M 14 6.60 — — — 4 3% — — —
D. Diani M 25 6.90 — — — 4 3% 2 — —
Tyger Smalls F 25 6.90 — — — 1 — 1 — —
Will Cleary D 35 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 0–2 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 41% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 25% to a draw, and 32% to an Charlotte win.