MLS
· Regular Season - 17
July 26, 2026 00:30
7'
(ast. L. Abada)
P. Biel
12'
(ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas)
A. Westwood
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Charlotte 32%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 0–2 Charlotte. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Charlotte.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
3
2.38
Actual xG
0.27
1
Saves
6
65%
Possession
35%
6
Corners
1
18
Tackles
15
5
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
7'
ast. L. Abada ·
P. Biel⚽
12'
ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas ·
A. Westwood⚽
48'
L. Abada
J. Ruvalcaba
56'
62'
W. Cleary
/
H. Toffolo
C. Cowell
/ M. Sofo
70'
D. Nealis
/ J. Marshall-Rutty
71'
E. Forsberg
/ M. Jimenez
71'
71'
D. Diani
/
L. de la Torre
72'
T. Smalls
/
L. Abada
A. Mehmeti
77'
82'
A. Goodwin
/
I. Toklomati
82'
B. Bronico
/
P. Biel
M. Dos Santos
/ O. Valencia
84'
J. Ruvalcaba
/ A. Rojas
84'
O. Valencia
85'
J. Che
90'+2
A. Mehmeti
90'+3
A. Mehmeti
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
41.77%
New
25.35%
X
32.88%
Charlotte ←
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte)
32.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
2.38
+0.89
1.36
0.27
-1.09
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (2.38 vs 0.27).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
34
E. Horvath
G
E. Horvath
G
56
Matthew Dos Santos
84'
D
Matthew Dos Santos
84'
D
14
J. Bazán
D
J. Bazán
D
2
J. Che
D
J. Che
D
12
D. Nealis
70'
D
D. Nealis
70'
D
10
E. Forsberg
70'
M
E. Forsberg
70'
M
15
A. Mehmeti
M
A. Mehmeti
M
48
R. Donkor
M
R. Donkor
M
11
J. Ruvalcaba
84'
F
J. Ruvalcaba
84'
F
16
J. Hall
F
J. Hall
F
7
C. Cowell
70'
F
C. Cowell
70'
F
Bench
70
Andy Rojas
12'
F
Andy Rojas
12'
F
4
G. Berggren
M
G. Berggren
M
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
26'
D
J. Marshall-Rutty
26'
D
77
J. McCarthy
G
J. McCarthy
G
91
M. Jimenez
26'
F
M. Jimenez
26'
F
37
M. Sofo
26'
F
M. Sofo
26'
F
80
Nathan Worth
M
Nathan Worth
M
5
Omar Valencia
12'
D
Omar Valencia
12'
D
26
T. Parker
D
T. Parker
D
1
K. Kahlina
G
K. Kahlina
G
15
Harry Toffolo
61'
D
22
H. Kessler
D
H. Kessler
D
44
M. Agyemang
D
M. Agyemang
D
14
N. Byrne
D
N. Byrne
D
17
L. de la Torre
71'
M
L. de la Torre
71'
M
8
A. Westwood
1 ⚽
M
A. Westwood
1 ⚽
M
11
L. Abada
1 👟
71'
M
L. Abada
1 👟
71'
M
16
Pep Biel
1 ⚽
82'
M
Pep Biel
1 ⚽
82'
M
18
K. Vargas
1 👟
M
K. Vargas
1 👟
M
9
I. Toklomati Giorno
82'
F
I. Toklomati Giorno
82'
F
Bench
7
A. Goodwin
14'
F
A. Goodwin
14'
F
4
A. Privett
D
A. Privett
D
13
B. Bronico
14'
M
B. Bronico
14'
M
28
D. Diani
25'
M
D. Diani
25'
M
37
R. Aloko
F
R. Aloko
F
21
T. Miller
G
T. Miller
G
3
T. Ream
D
T. Ream
D
25
Tyger Smalls
25'
F
Tyger Smalls
25'
F
35
Will Cleary
35'
D
Will Cleary
35'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
K. Kahlina
G · Charlotte
8.70
· 45 pass
M. Agyemang
D · Charlotte
7.90
· 37 pass
Pep Biel
M · Charlotte
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
R. Donkor
M · New
7.60
1 shots
· 71 pass
K. Vargas
M · Charlotte
7.30
1 👟
· 26 pass
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Horvath | G | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Bazán | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 104 | 100% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Che | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 101 | 86% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Nealis | D | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Forsberg | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 54% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| R. Donkor | M | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 63% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Hall | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Cowell | F | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Andy Rojas | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Marshall-Rutty | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Jimenez | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Sofo | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Valencia | D | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kahlina | G | 96 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Harry Toffolo | D | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Kessler | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| M. Agyemang | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Byrne | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. de la Torre | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 96 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Abada | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 82 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| K. Vargas | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Toklomati Giorno | F | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Goodwin | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| B. Bronico | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Diani | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Will Cleary | D | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 0–2 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 41% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 25% to a draw, and 32% to an Charlotte win.