MLS · Regular Season - 21 August 23, 2026 01:30

New York Red Bulls

#12 · 27 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Chicago Fire

#4 · 39 pts

C. Harper (ast. E. M. Choupo-Moting) 85'

38' (ast. V. Radojevic) M. Haile-Selassie

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 38% win probability (draw 25%, Chicago Fire 36%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 1–1 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chicago Fire.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

5

0.60

Actual xG

0.89

48%

Possession

52%

3

Corners

2

Match Events

17'

L. Barroso

38'

ast. V. Radojevic · M. Haile-Selassie⚽

↕ M. Jimenez / J. Ruvalcaba

46'

↕ C. Cowell / M. Sofo

46'

↕ M. Dos Santos / J. Marshall-Rutty

46'

↕ D. Nealis / O. Valencia

56'

↕ E. Forsberg / E. M. Choupo-Moting

57'

64'

J. Waterman

65'

A. Saletros / S. Williams ↕

65'

R. Lewandowski / P. Zinckernagel ↕

M. Sofo

66'

77'

J. Dean / V. Radojevic ↕

↕ J. Hall / C. Harper

85'

⚽C. Harper · ast. E. M. Choupo-Moting

85'

86'

D. D'Avilla / M. Pineda ↕

87'

J. Elliott / R. Lod ↕

87'

P. Dithejane / J. Bamba ↕

Pre-match prediction

38.58%

New

25.15%

X ←

36.27%

Chicago

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.15% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

New

1.33

0.60

-0.73

Chicago

1.29

0.89

-0.4

xG dominance was balanced (0.60 – 0.89). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	24	53
2	Inter Miami	24	44
3	New England Revolution	24	40
4	Chicago Fire	23	39
5	Charlotte	24	39
6	Orlando City SC	24	31
7	FC Cincinnati	23	31
8	Philadelphia Union	24	30
9	New York City FC	24	29
10	Toronto FC	24	29
11	DC United	23	28
12	New York Red Bulls	24	27
13	Columbus Crew	24	23
14	Atlanta United FC	24	22
15	CF Montreal	24	21