MLS · Regular Season - 21 August 23, 2026 01:30

New York Red Bulls

#9 · 39 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Chicago Fire

#4 · 51 pts

C. Harper (ast. E. M. Choupo-Moting) 85'

38' (ast. V. Radojevic) M. Haile-Selassie

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 38% win probability (draw 25%, Chicago Fire 36%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 1–1 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chicago Fire.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

5

0.60

Actual xG

0.89

48%

Possession

52%

3

Corners

2

Match Events

17'

L. Barroso

38'

ast. V. Radojevic · M. Haile-Selassie⚽

↕ M. Jimenez / J. Ruvalcaba

46'

↕ C. Cowell / M. Sofo

46'

↕ M. Dos Santos / J. Marshall-Rutty

46'

↕ D. Nealis / O. Valencia

56'

↕ E. Forsberg / E. M. Choupo-Moting

57'

64'

J. Waterman

65'

A. Saletros / S. Williams ↕

65'

R. Lewandowski / P. Zinckernagel ↕

M. Sofo

66'

77'

J. Dean / V. Radojevic ↕

↕ J. Hall / C. Harper

85'

⚽C. Harper · ast. E. M. Choupo-Moting

85'

86'

D. D'Avilla / M. Pineda ↕

87'

J. Elliott / R. Lod ↕

87'

P. Dithejane / J. Bamba ↕

Pre-match prediction

38.58%

New

25.15%

X ←

36.27%

Chicago

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.15% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

New

1.33

0.60

-0.73

Chicago

1.29

0.89

-0.4

xG dominance was balanced (0.60 – 0.89). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	70
2	New England Revolution	31	55
3	Inter Miami	31	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	51
5	Charlotte	31	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	38
11	Toronto FC	31	36
12	New York City FC	31	35
13	DC United	31	33
14	Atlanta United FC	31	30
15	CF Montreal	31	25