MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 14, 2026 01:30
J. Hall
(ast. C. Cowell)
7'
J. Hall
(ast. C. Cowell)
40'
J. Hall
78'
22'
(ast. H. Picard)
M. Arfsten
(pen.)
64'
D. Rossi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Columbus Crew 34%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus Crew. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Columbus Crew.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
4
2.79
Actual xG
1.51
2
Saves
2
31%
Possession
69%
3
Corners
2
20
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Hall
· ast. C. Cowell
7'
22'
ast. H. Picard ·
M. Arfsten⚽
⚽J. Hall
· ast. C. Cowell
40'
45'+3
T. Habroune
M. Dos Santos
/ O. Valencia
46'
60'
D. Rossi
/
D. Gazdag
60'
M. Farsi
/
O. Presthus
64'
(pen.)
D. Rossi⚽
D. Nealis
/ J. Che
65'
C. Cowell
/ R. Mosquera
65'
E. Forsberg
/ G. Berggren
65'
J. Ruvalcaba
68'
71'
R. Camacho
⚽J. Hall
78'
O. Valencia
83'
J. Hall
/ R. Mitchell
85'
85'
N. Akhundzade
/
T. Habroune
85'
A. Sejdic
/
S. Bangoura
R. Mosquera
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
39.15%
New ←
26.34%
X
34.51%
Columbus
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls)
39.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
2.79
+1.14
1.40
1.51
+0.11
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (2.79 vs 1.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
34
E. Horvath
G
E. Horvath
G
56
Matthew Dos Santos
45'
D
Matthew Dos Santos
45'
D
12
D. Nealis
65'
D
D. Nealis
65'
D
26
T. Parker
D
T. Parker
D
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
D
J. Marshall-Rutty
D
10
E. Forsberg
65'
M
E. Forsberg
65'
M
15
A. Mehmeti
M
A. Mehmeti
M
48
R. Donkor
M
R. Donkor
M
11
J. Ruvalcaba
F
J. Ruvalcaba
F
16
J. Hall
3 ⚽
85'
F
J. Hall
3 ⚽
85'
F
7
C. Cowell
2 👟
65'
F
C. Cowell
2 👟
65'
F
Bench
4
G. Berggren
25'
M
G. Berggren
25'
M
2
J. Che
25'
D
J. Che
25'
D
77
J. McCarthy
G
J. McCarthy
G
37
M. Sofo
F
M. Sofo
F
39
Nehuen Benedetti
M
Nehuen Benedetti
M
5
Omar Valencia
45'
D
Omar Valencia
45'
D
79
R. Mosquera
25'
F
R. Mosquera
25'
F
33
Roald Mitchell
15'
F
Roald Mitchell
15'
F
6
R. Voloder
D
R. Voloder
D
28
P. Schulte
G
P. Schulte
G
45
Owen Presthus
60'
D
Owen Presthus
60'
D
25
S. Zawadzki
D
S. Zawadzki
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
31
S. Moreira
D
S. Moreira
D
30
H. Picard
1 👟
M
H. Picard
1 👟
M
17
S. Bangoura
85'
M
S. Bangoura
85'
M
20
André Gomes
M
André Gomes
M
27
M. Arfsten
1 ⚽
M
M. Arfsten
1 ⚽
M
16
T. Habroune
85'
F
T. Habroune
85'
F
8
D. Gazdag
60'
F
D. Gazdag
60'
F
Bench
14
A. Sejdić
15'
M
A. Sejdić
15'
M
12
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
46
Chase Adams
F
Chase Adams
F
10
D. Rossi
1 ⚽
30'
M
D. Rossi
1 ⚽
30'
M
23
M. Farsi
30'
D
M. Farsi
30'
D
2
M. Herrera
D
M. Herrera
D
90
Nariman Akhundzade
15'
F
Nariman Akhundzade
15'
F
1
N. Hagen
G
N. Hagen
G
21
Y. Cheberko
D
Y. Cheberko
D
Best on the pitch
J. Hall
F · New
9.70
3 ⚽
5 shots
· 15 pass
C. Cowell
F · New
7.90
2 👟
1 shots
· 10 pass
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 47 pass
S. Bangoura
M · Columbus
7.30
1 shots
· 59 pass
André Gomes
M · Columbus
7.20
1 shots
· 81 pass
J. Che
D · New
7.00
· 8 pass
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Horvath | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Nealis | D | 65 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| T. Parker | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Marshall-Rutty | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Forsberg | M | 65 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Donkor | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Hall | F | 85 | 9.70 | 3 | — | 5 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Cowell | F | 65 | 7.90 | — | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Berggren | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Che | D | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Omar Valencia | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Mosquera | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Roald Mitchell | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Schulte | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Owen Presthus | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Zawadzki | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 98 | 91% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Camacho | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 114 | 104% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Moreira | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Picard | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 36 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Bangoura | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| André Gomes | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 75% | — | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 47 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Habroune | F | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Gazdag | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. Sejdić | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Rossi | M | 30 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Farsi | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Nariman Akhundzade | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 39% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 26% to a draw, and 34% to an Columbus Crew win.