MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 14, 2026 01:30
J. Hall
(ast. C. Cowell)
7'
J. Hall
(ast. C. Cowell)
40'
J. Hall
78'
22'
(ast. H. Picard)
M. Arfsten
(pen.)
64'
D. Rossi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Columbus Crew 34%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus Crew.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
4
2.79
Actual xG
1.51
2
Saves
2
31%
Possession
69%
3
Corners
2
20
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Hall
· ast. C. Cowell
7'
22'
ast. H. Picard ·
M. Arfsten⚽
⚽J. Hall
· ast. C. Cowell
40'
45'+3
T. Habroune
M. Dos Santos
/ O. Valencia
46'
60'
D. Rossi
/
D. Gazdag
60'
M. Farsi
/
O. Presthus
64'
(pen.)
D. Rossi⚽
D. Nealis
/ J. Che
65'
C. Cowell
/ R. Mosquera
65'
E. Forsberg
/ G. Berggren
65'
J. Ruvalcaba
68'
71'
R. Camacho
⚽J. Hall
78'
O. Valencia
83'
J. Hall
/ R. Mitchell
85'
85'
N. Akhundzade
/
T. Habroune
85'
A. Sejdic
/
S. Bangoura
R. Mosquera
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
39.15%
New ←
26.34%
X
34.51%
Columbus
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls)
39.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
2.79
+1.14
1.40
1.51
+0.11
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (2.79 vs 1.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
34
Ethan Horvath
G
Ethan Horvath
G
56
Matthew Dos Santos
45'
D
Matthew Dos Santos
45'
D
12
Dylan Nealis
65'
D
Dylan Nealis
65'
D
26
Tim Parker
D
Tim Parker
D
3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
10
Emil Forsberg
65'
M
Emil Forsberg
65'
M
15
Adri Mehmeti
M
Adri Mehmeti
M
48
Ronald Donkor
M
Ronald Donkor
M
11
J. Ruvalcaba
F
J. Ruvalcaba
F
16
J. Hall
3 ⚽
85'
F
J. Hall
3 ⚽
85'
F
7
Cade Cowell
2 👟
65'
F
Cade Cowell
2 👟
65'
F
Bench
4
Gustav Berggren
25'
M
Gustav Berggren
25'
M
77
John McCarthy
G
John McCarthy
G
2
Justin Che
25'
D
Justin Che
25'
D
37
Mohammed Sofo
F
Mohammed Sofo
F
39
Nehuen Benedetti
M
Nehuen Benedetti
M
5
Omar Valencia
45'
D
Omar Valencia
45'
D
79
Rafael Mosquera
25'
F
Rafael Mosquera
25'
F
33
Roald Mitchell
15'
F
Roald Mitchell
15'
F
6
Robert Voloder
D
Robert Voloder
D
28
Patrick Schulte
G
Patrick Schulte
G
45
Owen Presthus
60'
D
Owen Presthus
60'
D
25
Sean Zawadzki
D
Sean Zawadzki
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
31
Steven Moreira
D
Steven Moreira
D
30
Hugo Picard
1 👟
M
Hugo Picard
1 👟
M
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
85'
M
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
85'
M
20
André Gomes
M
André Gomes
M
27
M. Arfsten
1 ⚽
M
M. Arfsten
1 ⚽
M
16
T. Habroune
85'
F
8
Dániel Gazdag
60'
F
Dániel Gazdag
60'
F
Bench
14
Amar Sejdic
15'
M
Amar Sejdic
15'
M
2
Andres Herrera
D
Andres Herrera
D
12
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
46
Chase Adams
F
Chase Adams
F
10
Diego Rossi
1 ⚽
30'
M
Diego Rossi
1 ⚽
30'
M
23
Mohamed Farsi
30'
D
Mohamed Farsi
30'
D
90
Nariman Akhundzade
15'
F
1
Nicholas Hagen
G
Nicholas Hagen
G
21
Yevhen Cheberko
D
Yevhen Cheberko
D
Best on the pitch
J. Hall
F · New
9.70
3 ⚽
5 shots
· 15 pass
Cade Cowell
F · New
7.90
2 👟
1 shots
· 10 pass
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 47 pass
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
M · Columbus
7.30
1 shots
· 59 pass
André Gomes
M · Columbus
7.20
1 shots
· 81 pass
Justin Che
D · New
7.00
· 8 pass
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Horvath | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Dylan Nealis | D | 65 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Tim Parker | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Emil Forsberg | M | 65 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| Ronald Donkor | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Hall | F | 85 | 9.70 | 3 | — | 5 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Cade Cowell | F | 65 | 7.90 | — | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gustav Berggren | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Justin Che | D | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Omar Valencia | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Mosquera | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Roald Mitchell | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schulte | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Owen Presthus | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Sean Zawadzki | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 98 | 91% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Camacho | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 114 | 104% | — | 1 | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Picard | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 36 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| André Gomes | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 75% | — | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 47 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Habroune | F | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dániel Gazdag | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Amar Sejdic | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Diego Rossi | M | 30 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Farsi | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Nariman Akhundzade | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 39% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 26% to a draw, and 34% to an Columbus Crew win.