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MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 14, 2026 01:30
#12 · 27 pts
3 – 2
Final score
#13 · 23 pts
J. Hall (ast. C. Cowell) 7'
J. Hall (ast. C. Cowell) 40'
J. Hall 78'
22' (ast. H. Picard) M. Arfsten
(pen.) 64' D. Rossi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Columbus Crew 34%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus Crew.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
4
2.79
Actual xG
1.51
2
Saves
2
31%
Possession
69%
3
Corners
2
20
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
J. Hall · ast. C. Cowell
7'
22'
ast. H. Picard · M. Arfsten
J. Hall · ast. C. Cowell
40'
45'+3
T. Habroune
M. Dos Santos / O. Valencia
46'
60'
D. Rossi / D. Gazdag
60'
M. Farsi / O. Presthus
64'
(pen.) D. Rossi
D. Nealis / J. Che
65'
C. Cowell / R. Mosquera
65'
E. Forsberg / G. Berggren
65'
J. Ruvalcaba
68'
71'
R. Camacho
J. Hall
78'
O. Valencia
83'
J. Hall / R. Mitchell
85'
85'
N. Akhundzade / T. Habroune
85'
A. Sejdic / S. Bangoura
R. Mosquera
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
39.15%
New ←
26.34%
X
34.51%
Columbus
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls) 39.15% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.65
2.79
+1.14
Columbus
1.40
1.51
+0.11
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (2.79 vs 1.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
34 E. Horvath E. Horvath G 6.30
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos 45' D 6.30
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis 65' D 5.60
26 T. Parker T. Parker D 6.20
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty D 6.20
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 65' M 6.00
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti M 6.30
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor M 6.90
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba F 7.00
16 J. Hall J. Hall 3 ⚽ 85' F 9.70
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 2 👟 65' F 7.90
Bench
4 G. Berggren G. Berggren 25' M 6.90
2 J. Che J. Che 25' D 7.00
77 J. McCarthy J. McCarthy G
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo F
39 Nehuen Benedetti Nehuen Benedetti M
5 Omar Valencia Omar Valencia 45' D 6.30
79 Rafael Mosquera Rafael Mosquera 25' F 6.60
33 Roald Mitchell Roald Mitchell 15' F 6.30
6 Robert Voloder Robert Voloder D
28 P. Schulte P. Schulte G 5.90
45 Owen Presthus Owen Presthus 60' D 6.90
25 S. Zawadzki S. Zawadzki D 6.90
4 R. Camacho R. Camacho D 6.90
31 S. Moreira S. Moreira D 6.20
30 H. Picard H. Picard 1 👟 M 7.00
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura 85' M 7.30
20 André Gomes André Gomes M 7.20
27 M. Arfsten M. Arfsten 1 ⚽ M 7.50
16 T. Habroune T. Habroune 85' F 6.30
8 D. Gazdag D. Gazdag 60' F 6.30
Bench
14 A. Sejdić A. Sejdić 15' M 6.30
12 Cesar Ruvalcaba Cesar Ruvalcaba D
46 Chase Adams Chase Adams F
10 D. Rossi D. Rossi 1 ⚽ 30' M 6.90
23 M. Farsi M. Farsi 30' D 6.20
2 M. Herrera M. Herrera D
90 N. Axundzadə N. Axundzadə 15' F 6.30
1 N. Hagen N. Hagen G
21 Y. Cheberko Y. Cheberko D
Best on the pitch
J. Hall
J. Hall
F · New
9.70
3 ⚽
5 shots · 15 pass
C. Cowell
C. Cowell
F · New
7.90
2 👟
1 shots · 10 pass
M. Arfsten
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 47 pass
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
M · Columbus
7.30
1 shots · 59 pass
André Gomes
André Gomes
M · Columbus
7.20
1 shots · 81 pass
J. Che
J. Che
D · New
7.00
· 8 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Horvath G 90 6.30 38 15%
Matthew Dos Santos D 45 6.30 19 11% 1
D. Nealis D 65 5.60 33 28%
T. Parker D 90 6.20 36 28%
J. Marshall-Rutty D 90 6.20 27 24% 2
E. Forsberg M 65 6.00 1 16 14% 1
A. Mehmeti M 90 6.30 35 24% 5
R. Donkor M 90 6.90 18 14% 2
J. Ruvalcaba F 90 7.00 1 18 18% 2 1
J. Hall F 85 9.70 3 5 15 12% 1
C. Cowell F 65 7.90 2 1 10 7%
G. Berggren M 25 6.90 1 10 7%
J. Che D 25 7.00 8 8% 2
Omar Valencia D 45 6.30 8 7% 2 1
Rafael Mosquera F 25 6.60 6 3% 2 1
Roald Mitchell F 15 6.30 1 2 1%
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Schulte G 90 5.90 44 40%
Owen Presthus D 60 6.90 36 29% 2
S. Zawadzki D 90 6.90 98 91% 2
R. Camacho D 90 6.90 1 114 104% 1
S. Moreira D 90 6.20 1 64 61% 1
H. Picard M 90 7.00 1 2 36 33% 3
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura M 85 7.30 1 59 51% 3
André Gomes M 90 7.20 1 81 75%
M. Arfsten M 90 7.50 1 2 47 36% 2
T. Habroune F 85 6.30 44 31% 1 1
D. Gazdag F 60 6.30 25 21%
A. Sejdić M 15 6.30 11 9%
D. Rossi M 30 6.90 1 2 13 9%
M. Farsi D 30 6.20 18 15% 1
N. Axundzadə F 15 6.30 1 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 39% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 26% to a draw, and 34% to an Columbus Crew win.