MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 14, 2026 01:30
J. Hall
(ast. C. Cowell)
7'
J. Hall
(ast. C. Cowell)
40'
J. Hall
78'
22'
(ast. H. Picard)
M. Arfsten
(pen.)
64'
D. Rossi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Columbus Crew 34%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus Crew.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
4
2.79
Actual xG
1.51
2
Saves
2
31%
Possession
69%
3
Corners
2
20
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Hall
· ast. C. Cowell
7'
22'
ast. H. Picard ·
M. Arfsten⚽
⚽J. Hall
· ast. C. Cowell
40'
45'+3
T. Habroune
M. Dos Santos
/ O. Valencia
46'
60'
D. Rossi
/
D. Gazdag
60'
M. Farsi
/
O. Presthus
64'
(pen.)
D. Rossi⚽
D. Nealis
/ J. Che
65'
C. Cowell
/ R. Mosquera
65'
E. Forsberg
/ G. Berggren
65'
J. Ruvalcaba
68'
71'
R. Camacho
⚽J. Hall
78'
O. Valencia
83'
J. Hall
/ R. Mitchell
85'
85'
N. Akhundzade
/
T. Habroune
85'
A. Sejdic
/
S. Bangoura
R. Mosquera
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
39.15%
New ←
26.34%
X
34.51%
Columbus
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls)
39.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
2.79
+1.14
1.40
1.51
+0.11
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (2.79 vs 1.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
34
E. Horvath
G
E. Horvath
G
56
Matthew Dos Santos
45'
D
Matthew Dos Santos
45'
D
12
D. Nealis
65'
D
D. Nealis
65'
D
26
T. Parker
D
T. Parker
D
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
D
J. Marshall-Rutty
D
10
E. Forsberg
65'
M
E. Forsberg
65'
M
15
A. Mehmeti
M
A. Mehmeti
M
48
R. Donkor
M
R. Donkor
M
11
J. Ruvalcaba
F
J. Ruvalcaba
F
16
J. Hall
3 ⚽
85'
F
J. Hall
3 ⚽
85'
F
7
C. Cowell
2 👟
65'
F
C. Cowell
2 👟
65'
F
Bench
4
G. Berggren
25'
M
G. Berggren
25'
M
2
J. Che
25'
D
J. Che
25'
D
77
J. McCarthy
G
J. McCarthy
G
37
M. Sofo
F
M. Sofo
F
39
Nehuen Benedetti
M
Nehuen Benedetti
M
5
Omar Valencia
45'
D
Omar Valencia
45'
D
79
Rafael Mosquera
25'
F
Rafael Mosquera
25'
F
33
Roald Mitchell
15'
F
Roald Mitchell
15'
F
6
Robert Voloder
D
Robert Voloder
D
28
P. Schulte
G
P. Schulte
G
45
Owen Presthus
60'
D
Owen Presthus
60'
D
25
S. Zawadzki
D
S. Zawadzki
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
31
S. Moreira
D
S. Moreira
D
30
H. Picard
1 👟
M
H. Picard
1 👟
M
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
85'
M
20
André Gomes
M
André Gomes
M
27
M. Arfsten
1 ⚽
M
M. Arfsten
1 ⚽
M
16
T. Habroune
85'
F
T. Habroune
85'
F
8
D. Gazdag
60'
F
D. Gazdag
60'
F
Bench
14
A. Sejdić
15'
M
A. Sejdić
15'
M
12
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
46
Chase Adams
F
Chase Adams
F
10
D. Rossi
1 ⚽
30'
M
D. Rossi
1 ⚽
30'
M
23
M. Farsi
30'
D
M. Farsi
30'
D
2
M. Herrera
D
M. Herrera
D
90
N. Axundzadə
15'
F
N. Axundzadə
15'
F
1
N. Hagen
G
N. Hagen
G
21
Y. Cheberko
D
Y. Cheberko
D
Best on the pitch
J. Hall
F · New
9.70
3 ⚽
5 shots
· 15 pass
C. Cowell
F · New
7.90
2 👟
1 shots
· 10 pass
M. Arfsten
M · Columbus
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 47 pass
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
M · Columbus
7.30
1 shots
· 59 pass
André Gomes
M · Columbus
7.20
1 shots
· 81 pass
J. Che
D · New
7.00
· 8 pass
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Horvath | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Nealis | D | 65 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| T. Parker | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Marshall-Rutty | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Forsberg | M | 65 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Donkor | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Hall | F | 85 | 9.70 | 3 | — | 5 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Cowell | F | 65 | 7.90 | — | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Berggren | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Che | D | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Omar Valencia | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Mosquera | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Roald Mitchell | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Schulte | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Owen Presthus | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Zawadzki | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 98 | 91% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Camacho | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 114 | 104% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Moreira | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Picard | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 36 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| André Gomes | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 75% | — | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 47 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Habroune | F | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Gazdag | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. Sejdić | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Rossi | M | 30 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Farsi | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Axundzadə | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 3–2 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 39% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 26% to a draw, and 34% to an Columbus Crew win.