MLS
· Regular Season - 9
April 23, 2026 03:30
J. Hall
(ast. R. Donkor)
15'
R. Donkor
21'
J. Ruvalcaba
(ast. E. Forsberg)
52'
J. Ruvalcaba
(ast. R. Donkor)
71'
37'
(ast. J. Hopkins)
T. Baribo
54'
(ast. Peglow)
J. Hopkins
59'
(ast. Peglow)
T. Baribo
80'
(ast. S. Hefti)
T. Baribo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 44% win probability (draw 26%, DC United 28%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 4–4 DC United.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
5
1.34
Actual xG
3.41
1
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
3
12
Tackles
31
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Hall
· ast. R. Donkor
15'
⚽R. Donkor
21'
37'
ast. J. Hopkins ·
T. Baribo⚽
M. Dos Santos
/ J. Masanka Bungi
46'
A. Mehmeti
50'
⚽J. Ruvalcaba
· ast. E. Forsberg
52'
54'
ast. Peglow ·
J. Hopkins⚽
59'
ast. Peglow ·
T. Baribo⚽
A. Mehmeti
/ G. Berggren
65'
R. Mosquera
/ M. Sofo
65'
⚽J. Ruvalcaba
· ast. R. Donkor
71'
77'
C. Clark
/
A. Herrera
80'
ast. S. Hefti ·
T. Baribo⚽
J. Ruvalcaba
/ E. M. Choupo-Moting
80'
81'
J. Murrell
/
J. Hopkins
81'
N. Markovic
/
B. Servania
86'
M. Peltola
90'+3
J. Stroud
/
Peglow
90'
C. Clark
Pre-match prediction
44.4%
New
26.93%
X ←
28.67%
DC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.01
1.34
-0.67
1.33
3.41
+2.08
DC United dominated by xG (3.41 vs 1.34).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
34
G
56
Matthew Dos Santos
45'
D
Matthew Dos Santos
45'
D
6
Robert Voloder
D
Robert Voloder
D
12
Dylan Nealis
D
Dylan Nealis
D
3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
10
Emil Forsberg
1 👟
M
Emil Forsberg
1 👟
M
15
Adri Mehmeti
65'
M
Adri Mehmeti
65'
M
48
Ronald Donkor
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
Ronald Donkor
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
11
J. Ruvalcaba
2 ⚽
80'
F
J. Ruvalcaba
2 ⚽
80'
F
16
J. Hall
1 ⚽
F
J. Hall
1 ⚽
F
79
Rafael Mosquera
65'
F
Rafael Mosquera
65'
F
Bench
7
Cade Cowell
F
Cade Cowell
F
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting
17'
F
4
Gustav Berggren
32'
M
Gustav Berggren
32'
M
23
J. Masanka Bungi
52'
M
20
J. Mina
D
37
Mohammed Sofo
32'
F
Mohammed Sofo
32'
F
1
G
6
Keisuke Kurokawa
D
Keisuke Kurokawa
D
15
Kye Rowles
D
Kye Rowles
D
3
Lucas Bartlett
D
Lucas Bartlett
D
5
Silvan Hefti
1 👟
D
Silvan Hefti
1 👟
D
7
João Peglow
2 👟
M
João Peglow
2 👟
M
23
Brandon Servania
81'
M
Brandon Servania
81'
M
4
Matti Peltola
M
Matti Peltola
M
22
Aaron Herrera
77'
M
Aaron Herrera
77'
M
9
T. Baribo
3 ⚽
F
T. Baribo
3 ⚽
F
25
J. Hopkins
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
F
Bench
30
Caden Clark
20'
M
Caden Clark
20'
M
12
Conner Antley
D
Conner Antley
D
48
Gavin Turner
M
Gavin Turner
M
77
Hosei Kijima
M
Hosei Kijima
M
17
Jacob Murrell
16'
F
Jacob Murrell
16'
F
8
Jared Stroud
4'
M
Jared Stroud
4'
M
27
Nikola Markovic
16'
D
Nikola Markovic
16'
D
Best on the pitch
T. Baribo
F · DC
10.00
3 ⚽
4 shots
· 19 pass
J. Ruvalcaba
F · New
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Ronald Donkor
M · New
9.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots
· 35 pass
J. Hopkins
F · DC
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 18 pass
J. Hall
F · New
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Silvan Hefti
D · DC
7.60
1 👟
· 46 pass
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Robert Voloder | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Nealis | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 76 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Emil Forsberg | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ronald Donkor | M | 97 | 9.00 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 80 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 3 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Hall | F | 97 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Mosquera | F | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. M. Choupo-Moting | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gustav Berggren | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Masanka Bungi | M | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohammed Sofo | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
DC United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Keisuke Kurokawa | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Kye Rowles | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Bartlett | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Silvan Hefti | D | 97 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| João Peglow | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | 2 | 2 | 44 | 33% | 5 | — | — |
| Brandon Servania | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Matti Peltola | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Aaron Herrera | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Baribo | F | 97 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 4 | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Hopkins | F | 81 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Caden Clark | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jacob Murrell | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Jared Stroud | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Nikola Markovic | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 4–4 DC United.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
The model assigned 44% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 26% to a draw, and 28% to an DC United win.