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MLS · Regular Season - 9 April 23, 2026 01:30
New York Red Bulls
#10 · 39 pts
4 – 4
Final score
DC United
#14 · 33 pts
J. Hall (ast. R. Donkor) 15'
R. Donkor 21'
J. Ruvalcaba (ast. E. Forsberg) 52'
J. Ruvalcaba (ast. R. Donkor) 71'
37' (ast. J. Hopkins) T. Baribo
54' (ast. Peglow) J. Hopkins
59' (ast. Peglow) T. Baribo
80' (ast. S. Hefti) T. Baribo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 44% win probability (draw 26%, DC United 28%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 4–4 DC United. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for DC United.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
5
1.34
Actual xG
3.41
1
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
3
12
Tackles
31
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Hall · ast. R. Donkor
15'
⚽R. Donkor
21'
37'
ast. J. Hopkins · T. Baribo⚽
↕ M. Dos Santos / J. Masanka Bungi
46'
A. Mehmeti
50'
⚽J. Ruvalcaba · ast. E. Forsberg
52'
54'
ast. Peglow · J. Hopkins⚽
59'
ast. Peglow · T. Baribo⚽
↕ A. Mehmeti / G. Berggren
65'
↕ R. Mosquera / M. Sofo
65'
⚽J. Ruvalcaba · ast. R. Donkor
71'
77'
C. Clark / A. Herrera ↕
80'
ast. S. Hefti · T. Baribo⚽
↕ J. Ruvalcaba / E. M. Choupo-Moting
80'
81'
J. Murrell / J. Hopkins ↕
81'
N. Markovic / B. Servania ↕
86'
M. Peltola
90'+3
J. Stroud / Peglow ↕
90'
C. Clark
Pre-match prediction
44.4%
New
26.93%
X ←
28.67%
DC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.93% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
2.01
1.34
-0.67
DC
1.33
3.41
+2.08
DC United dominated by xG (3.41 vs 1.34). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 74
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 59
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 33 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 33 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 33 53
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 47
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 33 46
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 44
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 33 43
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 33 39
11 New York City FC New York City FC 33 39
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 33 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 33 33
14 DC United DC United 33 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 33 26
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34
G 5.30
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos 45' D 6.20
6 R. Voloder R. Voloder D 5.90
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis D 6.20
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty D 5.90
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 1 👟 M 6.90
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti 65' M 6.90
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor 1 ⚽ 2 👟 M 9.00
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 2 ⚽ 80' F 9.00
16 J. Hall J. Hall 1 ⚽ F 7.70
79 R. Mosquera R. Mosquera 65' F 6.70
Bench
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell F
13 E. Choupo-Moting E. Choupo-Moting 17' F 6.50
4 G. Berggren G. Berggren 32' M 6.30
23
J. Masanka Bungi 52' M 6.50
20
J. Mina D
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo 32' F 6.70
DC United DC United 4-4-2
1
G 5.20
6 K. Kurokawa K. Kurokawa D 6.00
15 K. Rowles K. Rowles D 6.30
3 L. Bartlett L. Bartlett D 6.30
5 S. Hefti S. Hefti 1 👟 D 7.60
7 Peglow Peglow 2 👟 M 6.90
23 B. Servania B. Servania 81' M 6.30
4 M. Peltola M. Peltola M 6.90
22 A. Herrera A. Herrera 77' M 6.60
9 T. Baribo T. Baribo 3 ⚽ F 10.00
25 J. Hopkins J. Hopkins 1 ⚽ 1 👟 81' F 8.30
Bench
12 C. Antley C. Antley D
30 C. Clark C. Clark 20' M 6.60
48 Gavin Turner Gavin Turner M
77 Hosei Kijima Hosei Kijima M
17 J. Murrell J. Murrell 16' F 6.70
8 J. Stroud J. Stroud 4' M
27 Nikola Markovic Nikola Markovic 16' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
T. Baribo
T. Baribo
F · DC
10.00
3 ⚽
4 shots · 19 pass
J. Ruvalcaba
J. Ruvalcaba
F · New
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
R. Donkor
R. Donkor
M · New
9.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots · 35 pass
J. Hopkins
J. Hopkins
F · DC
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 18 pass
J. Hall
J. Hall
F · New
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
S. Hefti
S. Hefti
D · DC
7.60
1 👟
· 46 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 5.30 — — — 26 16% — — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 45 6.20 — — — 33 21% — — —
R. Voloder D 97 5.90 — — — 68 53% — — —
D. Nealis D 97 6.20 — — — 76 67% — — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 97 5.90 — — 1 57 47% 2 — —
E. Forsberg M 97 6.90 — 1 1 27 24% 1 — —
A. Mehmeti M 65 6.90 — — — 43 38% 2 1 —
R. Donkor M 97 9.00 1 2 1 35 31% 2 — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 80 9.00 2 — 3 16 14% — — —
J. Hall F 97 7.70 1 — 1 17 13% 2 — —
R. Mosquera F 65 6.70 — — — 17 12% — — —
E. Choupo-Moting F 17 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
G. Berggren M 32 6.30 — — — 16 11% — — —
J. Masanka Bungi M 52 6.50 — — — 12 8% 3 — —
M. Sofo F 32 6.70 — — — 5 5% — — —
DC United DC United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 5.20 — — — 38 24% — — —
K. Kurokawa D 97 6.00 — — — 39 31% 2 — —
K. Rowles D 97 6.30 — — — 53 44% 2 — —
L. Bartlett D 97 6.30 — — — 53 38% — — —
S. Hefti D 97 7.60 — 1 — 46 38% 5 — —
Peglow M 93 6.90 — 2 2 44 33% 5 — —
B. Servania M 81 6.30 — — 1 19 13% 4 — —
M. Peltola M 97 6.90 — — — 43 39% 5 1 —
A. Herrera M 77 6.60 — — 1 36 24% 1 — —
T. Baribo F 97 10.00 3 — 4 19 16% 3 — —
J. Hopkins F 81 8.30 1 1 3 18 13% — — —
C. Clark M 20 6.60 — — — 5 3% 2 1 —
J. Murrell F 16 6.70 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
J. Stroud M 4 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Nikola Markovic D 16 6.90 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 4–4 DC United.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
The model assigned 44% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 26% to a draw, and 28% to an DC United win.