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MLS · Regular Season - 9 April 23, 2026 01:30
New York Red Bulls
#10 · 27 pts
4 – 4
Final score
DC United
#12 · 25 pts
J. Hall (ast. R. Donkor) 15'
R. Donkor 21'
J. Ruvalcaba (ast. E. Forsberg) 52'
J. Ruvalcaba (ast. R. Donkor) 71'
37' (ast. J. Hopkins) T. Baribo
54' (ast. Peglow) J. Hopkins
59' (ast. Peglow) T. Baribo
80' (ast. S. Hefti) T. Baribo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 44% win probability (draw 26%, DC United 28%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 4–4 DC United.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
5
1.34
Actual xG
3.41
1
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
3
12
Tackles
31
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Hall · ast. R. Donkor
15'
⚽R. Donkor
21'
37'
ast. J. Hopkins · T. Baribo⚽
↕ M. Dos Santos / J. Masanka Bungi
46'
A. Mehmeti
50'
⚽J. Ruvalcaba · ast. E. Forsberg
52'
54'
ast. Peglow · J. Hopkins⚽
59'
ast. Peglow · T. Baribo⚽
↕ A. Mehmeti / G. Berggren
65'
↕ R. Mosquera / M. Sofo
65'
⚽J. Ruvalcaba · ast. R. Donkor
71'
77'
C. Clark / A. Herrera ↕
80'
ast. S. Hefti · T. Baribo⚽
↕ J. Ruvalcaba / E. M. Choupo-Moting
80'
81'
J. Murrell / J. Hopkins ↕
81'
N. Markovic / B. Servania ↕
86'
M. Peltola
90'+3
J. Stroud / Peglow ↕
90'
C. Clark
Pre-match prediction
44.4%
New
26.93%
X ←
28.67%
DC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.93% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
2.01
1.34
-0.67
DC
1.33
3.41
+2.08
DC United dominated by xG (3.41 vs 1.34). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 23 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 23 43
3 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 22 38
4 New England Revolution New England Revolution 23 37
5 Charlotte Charlotte 23 36
6 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 22 31
7 New York City FC New York City FC 23 29
8 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 23 28
9 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 23 27
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 23 27
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 23 26
12 DC United DC United 22 25
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 23 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 23 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 23 21
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34
G 5.30
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos 45' D 6.20
6 Robert Voloder Robert Voloder D 5.90
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis D 6.20
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty D 5.90
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 1 👟 M 6.90
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti 65' M 6.90
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor 1 ⚽ 2 👟 M 9.00
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 2 ⚽ 80' F 9.00
16 J. Hall J. Hall 1 ⚽ F 7.70
79 Rafael Mosquera Rafael Mosquera 65' F 6.70
Bench
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell F
13 E. Choupo-Moting E. Choupo-Moting 17' F 6.50
4 G. Berggren G. Berggren 32' M 6.30
23
J. Masanka Bungi 52' M 6.50
20
J. Mina D
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo 32' F 6.70
DC United DC United 4-4-2
1
G 5.20
6 Keisuke Kurokawa Keisuke Kurokawa D 6.00
15 Kye Rowles Kye Rowles D 6.30
3 Lucas Bartlett Lucas Bartlett D 6.30
5 Silvan Hefti Silvan Hefti 1 👟 D 7.60
7 João Peglow João Peglow 2 👟 M 6.90
23 Brandon Servania Brandon Servania 81' M 6.30
4 Matti Peltola Matti Peltola M 6.90
22 Aaron Herrera Aaron Herrera 77' M 6.60
9 T. Baribo T. Baribo 3 ⚽ F 10.00
25 Jackson Hopkins Jackson Hopkins 1 ⚽ 1 👟 81' F 8.30
Bench
30 Caden Clark Caden Clark 20' M 6.60
12
C. Antley D
48 Gavin Turner Gavin Turner M
77 Hosei Kijima Hosei Kijima M
8 Jared Stroud Jared Stroud 4' M
17 J. Murrell J. Murrell 16' F 6.70
27 Nikola Markovic Nikola Markovic 16' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
T. Baribo
T. Baribo
F · DC
10.00
3 ⚽
4 shots · 19 pass
J. Ruvalcaba
J. Ruvalcaba
F · New
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
R. Donkor
R. Donkor
M · New
9.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots · 35 pass
Jackson Hopkins
Jackson Hopkins
F · DC
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 18 pass
J. Hall
J. Hall
F · New
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Silvan Hefti
Silvan Hefti
D · DC
7.60
1 👟
· 46 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 5.30 — — — 26 16% — — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 45 6.20 — — — 33 21% — — —
Robert Voloder D 97 5.90 — — — 68 53% — — —
D. Nealis D 97 6.20 — — — 76 67% — — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 97 5.90 — — 1 57 47% 2 — —
E. Forsberg M 97 6.90 — 1 1 27 24% 1 — —
A. Mehmeti M 65 6.90 — — — 43 38% 2 1 —
R. Donkor M 97 9.00 1 2 1 35 31% 2 — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 80 9.00 2 — 3 16 14% — — —
J. Hall F 97 7.70 1 — 1 17 13% 2 — —
Rafael Mosquera F 65 6.70 — — — 17 12% — — —
E. Choupo-Moting F 17 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
G. Berggren M 32 6.30 — — — 16 11% — — —
J. Masanka Bungi M 52 6.50 — — — 12 8% 3 — —
M. Sofo F 32 6.70 — — — 5 5% — — —
DC United DC United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 5.20 — — — 38 24% — — —
Keisuke Kurokawa D 97 6.00 — — — 39 31% 2 — —
Kye Rowles D 97 6.30 — — — 53 44% 2 — —
Lucas Bartlett D 97 6.30 — — — 53 38% — — —
Silvan Hefti D 97 7.60 — 1 — 46 38% 5 — —
João Peglow M 93 6.90 — 2 2 44 33% 5 — —
Brandon Servania M 81 6.30 — — 1 19 13% 4 — —
Matti Peltola M 97 6.90 — — — 43 39% 5 1 —
Aaron Herrera M 77 6.60 — — 1 36 24% 1 — —
T. Baribo F 97 10.00 3 — 4 19 16% 3 — —
Jackson Hopkins F 81 8.30 1 1 3 18 13% — — —
Caden Clark M 20 6.60 — — — 5 3% 2 1 —
Jared Stroud M 4 — — — — 1 1% — — —
J. Murrell F 16 6.70 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Nikola Markovic D 16 6.90 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 4–4 DC United.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs DC United?
The model assigned 44% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 26% to a draw, and 28% to an DC United win.