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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 01:30
New York Red Bulls
#12 · 27 pts
0 – 2
Final score
FC Dallas
#4 · 40 pts
54' (ast. R. Binyamin) P. Musa
88' (ast. L. Farrington) S. Sarver
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 46% win probability (draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 27%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 0–2 FC Dallas. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Dallas.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
8
0
Shots on target
6
0.62
Actual xG
1.86
4
Saves
0
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
4
10
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
31'
M. Collodi
54'
ast. R. Binyamin · P. Musa⚽
↕ J. Mina / J. Marshall-Rutty
66'
↕ E. Forsberg / N. Benedetti
66'
↕ C. Cowell / R. Mosquera
66'
68'
S. Ibeagha / R. Binyamin ↕
68'
C. Cappis / P. Musa ↕
↕ R. Donkor / M. Sofo
76'
80'
S. Sarver / S. Moreno ↕
80'
L. Farrington / J. Valiente ↕
↕ J. Hall / E. M. Choupo-Moting
83'
88'
ast. L. Farrington · S. Sarver⚽
89'
S. Sarver
90'+4
C. Swann / Kaick ↕
Pre-match prediction
27.75%
New
25.61%
X
46.64%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas) 46.64% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.48
0.62
-0.87
FC
2.56
1.86
-0.7
FC Dallas dominated by xG (1.86 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34
G 6.90
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos D 6.20
26
D 7.20
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis D 6.60
20
J. Mina 66' D 6.70
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 66' M 6.50
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti M 7.00
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor 76' M 7.00
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba F 6.50
16 J. Hall J. Hall 83' F 6.20
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 66' F 6.90
Bench
13 E. Choupo-Moting E. Choupo-Moting 13' F 6.30
4 G. Berggren G. Berggren M
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty 30' D 6.60
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo 20' F 6.30
5 Omar Valencia Omar Valencia D
79 Rafael Mosquera Rafael Mosquera 30' F 6.20
6 R. Voloder R. Voloder D
FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-4-3
30 Michael Collodi Michael Collodi G 6.90
32 N. Norris N. Norris D 7.30
3 O. Urhoghide O. Urhoghide D 7.50
18
D 7.30
6 R. Binyamin R. Binyamin 1 👟 68' M 7.30
55 Kaick Kaick M 6.70
17 Ramiro Ramiro M 6.60
14 H. Johansson H. Johansson M 7.20
10 S. Moreno S. Moreno 80' F 6.90
9 P. Musa P. Musa 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.30
21 J. Valiente J. Valiente 80' F 6.90
Bench
12 C. Cappis C. Cappis 28' M 6.60
5 L. Abubakar L. Abubakar D
23 L. Farrington L. Farrington 1 👟 16' F 6.50
16 Nicholas Simmonds Nicholas Simmonds F
8 P. Delgado P. Delgado M
28 Samuel Sarver Samuel Sarver 1 ⚽ 16' F 7.50
25 S. Ibeagha S. Ibeagha 28' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
Samuel Sarver
Samuel Sarver
F · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
O. Urhoghide
O. Urhoghide
D · FC
7.50
· 30 pass
P. Musa
P. Musa
F · FC
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
R. Binyamin
R. Binyamin
M · FC
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 34 pass
D · FC
7.30
1 shots · 45 pass
N. Norris
N. Norris
D · FC
7.30
· 32 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.90 — — — 33 25% — — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 96 6.20 — — 1 56 50% 1 — —
D 96 7.20 — — — 66 57% — — —
D. Nealis D 96 6.60 — — — 90 79% 1 — —
J. Mina D 66 6.70 — — — 50 42% 2 — —
E. Forsberg M 66 6.50 — — — 26 23% — — —
A. Mehmeti M 96 7.00 — — — 69 57% — — —
R. Donkor M 76 7.00 — — — 36 32% 3 — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 96 6.50 — — 2 34 31% 1 — —
J. Hall F 83 6.20 — — — 7 7% — — —
C. Cowell F 66 6.90 — — — 19 15% — — —
E. Choupo-Moting F 13 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 30 6.60 — — — 37 30% 2 — —
M. Sofo F 20 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Rafael Mosquera F 30 6.20 — — — 14 12% — — —
FC Dallas FC Dallas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Michael Collodi G 96 6.90 — — — 40 23% — 1 —
N. Norris D 96 7.30 — — — 32 26% 3 — —
O. Urhoghide D 96 7.50 — — — 30 28% 2 — —
D 96 7.30 — — 1 45 38% 2 — —
R. Binyamin M 68 7.30 — 1 2 34 27% 2 — —
Kaick M 94 6.70 — — — 37 30% 1 — —
Ramiro M 96 6.60 — — 1 58 39% 2 — —
H. Johansson M 96 7.20 — — — 28 18% 1 — —
S. Moreno F 80 6.90 — — — 38 33% 2 — —
P. Musa F 68 7.30 1 — 3 25 17% — — —
J. Valiente F 80 6.90 — — — 28 23% 1 — —
C. Cappis M 28 6.60 — — — 7 7% 2 — —
L. Farrington F 16 6.50 — 1 — 5 3% — — —
Samuel Sarver F 16 7.50 1 — 1 4 3% — 1 —
S. Ibeagha D 28 6.90 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 0–2 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 27% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 25% to a draw, and 46% to an FC Dallas win.