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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 01:30
New York Red Bulls
#6 · 18 pts
0 – 2
Final score
FC Dallas
#7 · 19 pts
54' (ast. R. Binyamin) P. Musa
88' (ast. L. Farrington) S. Sarver

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 46% win probability (draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 27%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 0–2 FC Dallas.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
8
0
Shots on target
6
0.62
Actual xG
1.86
4
Saves
0
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
4
10
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
31'
M. Collodi
54'
ast. R. Binyamin · P. Musa⚽
↕ J. Mina / J. Marshall-Rutty
66'
↕ E. Forsberg / N. Benedetti
66'
↕ C. Cowell / R. Mosquera
66'
68'
S. Ibeagha / R. Binyamin ↕
68'
C. Cappis / P. Musa ↕
↕ R. Donkor / M. Sofo
76'
80'
S. Sarver / S. Moreno ↕
80'
L. Farrington / J. Valiente ↕
↕ J. Hall / E. M. Choupo-Moting
83'
88'
ast. L. Farrington · S. Sarver⚽
89'
S. Sarver
90'+4
C. Swann / Kaick ↕
Pre-match prediction
27.75%
New
25.61%
X
46.64%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas) 46.64% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.48
0.62
-0.87
FC
2.56
1.86
-0.7
FC Dallas dominated by xG (1.86 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34
G 6.90
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos D 6.20
26
D 7.20
12 Dylan Nealis Dylan Nealis D 6.60
20
J. Mina 66' D 6.70
10 Emil Forsberg Emil Forsberg 66' M 6.50
15 Adri Mehmeti Adri Mehmeti M 7.00
48 Ronald Donkor Ronald Donkor 76' M 7.00
11 Jorge Ruvalcaba Jorge Ruvalcaba F 6.50
16 Julian Hall Julian Hall 83' F 6.20
7 Cade Cowell Cade Cowell 66' F 6.90
Bench
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting 13' F 6.30
4 Gustav Berggren Gustav Berggren M
3 Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 30' D 6.60
37 Mohammed Sofo Mohammed Sofo 20' F 6.30
5 Omar Valencia Omar Valencia D
79 Rafael Mosquera Rafael Mosquera 30' F 6.20
6 Robert Voloder Robert Voloder D
FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-4-3
30 Michael Collodi Michael Collodi G 6.90
32 Nolan Norris Nolan Norris D 7.30
3 Osaze Urhoghide Osaze Urhoghide D 7.50
18
D 7.30
6 Ran Binyamin Ran Binyamin 1 👟 68' M 7.30
55 Kaick Kaick M 6.70
17 Ramiro Ramiro M 6.60
14 Herman Johansson Herman Johansson M 7.20
10 Santiago Moreno Santiago Moreno 80' F 6.90
9 Petar Musa Petar Musa 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.30
21 Joaquín Valiente Joaquín Valiente 80' F 6.90
Bench
12 Christian Cappis Christian Cappis 28' M 6.60
5 Lalas Abubakar Lalas Abubakar D
23 Logan Farrington Logan Farrington 1 👟 16' F 6.50
16 Nicholas Simmonds Nicholas Simmonds F
8 Patrickson Delgado Patrickson Delgado M
28 Sam Sarver Sam Sarver 1 ⚽ 16' F 7.50
25 Sebastien Ibeagha Sebastien Ibeagha 28' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
Sam Sarver
Sam Sarver
F · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Osaze Urhoghide
Osaze Urhoghide
D · FC
7.50
· 30 pass
Petar Musa
Petar Musa
F · FC
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
Ran Binyamin
Ran Binyamin
M · FC
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 34 pass
D · FC
7.30
1 shots · 45 pass
Nolan Norris
Nolan Norris
D · FC
7.30
· 32 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.90 — — — 33 25% — — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 96 6.20 — — 1 56 50% 1 — —
D 96 7.20 — — — 66 57% — — —
Dylan Nealis D 96 6.60 — — — 90 79% 1 — —
J. Mina D 66 6.70 — — — 50 42% 2 — —
Emil Forsberg M 66 6.50 — — — 26 23% — — —
Adri Mehmeti M 96 7.00 — — — 69 57% — — —
Ronald Donkor M 76 7.00 — — — 36 32% 3 — —
Jorge Ruvalcaba F 96 6.50 — — 2 34 31% 1 — —
Julian Hall F 83 6.20 — — — 7 7% — — —
Cade Cowell F 66 6.90 — — — 19 15% — — —
E. M. Choupo-Moting F 13 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty D 30 6.60 — — — 37 30% 2 — —
Mohammed Sofo F 20 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Rafael Mosquera F 30 6.20 — — — 14 12% — — —
FC Dallas FC Dallas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Michael Collodi G 96 6.90 — — — 40 23% — 1 —
Nolan Norris D 96 7.30 — — — 32 26% 3 — —
Osaze Urhoghide D 96 7.50 — — — 30 28% 2 — —
D 96 7.30 — — 1 45 38% 2 — —
Ran Binyamin M 68 7.30 — 1 2 34 27% 2 — —
Kaick M 94 6.70 — — — 37 30% 1 — —
Ramiro M 96 6.60 — — 1 58 39% 2 — —
Herman Johansson M 96 7.20 — — — 28 18% 1 — —
Santiago Moreno F 80 6.90 — — — 38 33% 2 — —
Petar Musa F 68 7.30 1 — 3 25 17% — — —
Joaquín Valiente F 80 6.90 — — — 28 23% 1 — —
Christian Cappis M 28 6.60 — — — 7 7% 2 — —
Logan Farrington F 16 6.50 — 1 — 5 3% — — —
Sam Sarver F 16 7.50 1 — 1 4 3% — 1 —
Sebastien Ibeagha D 28 6.90 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 0–2 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 27% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 25% to a draw, and 46% to an FC Dallas win.