MLS
· Regular Season - 11
May 03, 2026 01:30
54'
(ast. R. Binyamin)
P. Musa
88'
(ast. L. Farrington)
S. Sarver
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 46% win probability (draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 27%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 0–2 FC Dallas. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Dallas.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
8
0
Shots on target
6
0.62
Actual xG
1.86
4
Saves
0
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
4
10
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
31'
M. Collodi
54'
ast. R. Binyamin ·
P. Musa⚽
J. Mina
/ J. Marshall-Rutty
66'
E. Forsberg
/ N. Benedetti
66'
C. Cowell
/ R. Mosquera
66'
68'
S. Ibeagha
/
R. Binyamin
68'
C. Cappis
/
P. Musa
R. Donkor
/ M. Sofo
76'
80'
S. Sarver
/
S. Moreno
80'
L. Farrington
/
J. Valiente
J. Hall
/ E. M. Choupo-Moting
83'
88'
ast. L. Farrington ·
S. Sarver⚽
89'
S. Sarver
90'+4
C. Swann
/
Kaick
Pre-match prediction
27.75%
New
25.61%
X
46.64%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas)
46.64%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
0.62
-0.87
2.56
1.86
-0.7
FC Dallas dominated by xG (1.86 vs 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
34
G
56
Matthew Dos Santos
D
Matthew Dos Santos
D
26
D
12
Dylan Nealis
D
Dylan Nealis
D
20
J. Mina
66'
D
10
Emil Forsberg
66'
M
Emil Forsberg
66'
M
15
Adri Mehmeti
M
Adri Mehmeti
M
48
Ronald Donkor
76'
M
Ronald Donkor
76'
M
11
J. Ruvalcaba
F
J. Ruvalcaba
F
16
J. Hall
83'
F
J. Hall
83'
F
7
Cade Cowell
66'
F
Cade Cowell
66'
F
Bench
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting
13'
F
4
Gustav Berggren
M
Gustav Berggren
M
3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
30'
D
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
30'
D
37
Mohammed Sofo
20'
F
Mohammed Sofo
20'
F
5
Omar Valencia
D
Omar Valencia
D
79
Rafael Mosquera
30'
F
Rafael Mosquera
30'
F
6
Robert Voloder
D
Robert Voloder
D
30
Michael Collodi
G
Michael Collodi
G
32
N. Norris
D
3
Osaze Urhoghide
D
Osaze Urhoghide
D
18
D
6
Ran Binyamin
1 👟
68'
M
Ran Binyamin
1 👟
68'
M
55
Kaick
M
Kaick
M
17
Ramiro
M
Ramiro
M
14
H. Johansson
M
H. Johansson
M
10
Santiago Moreno
80'
F
Santiago Moreno
80'
F
9
Petar Musa
1 ⚽
68'
F
Petar Musa
1 ⚽
68'
F
21
Joaquín Valiente
80'
F
Joaquín Valiente
80'
F
Bench
12
Christian Cappis
28'
M
Christian Cappis
28'
M
5
Lalas Abubakar
D
Lalas Abubakar
D
23
Logan Farrington
1 👟
16'
F
Logan Farrington
1 👟
16'
F
16
Nicholas Simmonds
F
8
Patrickson Delgado
M
Patrickson Delgado
M
28
Sam Sarver
1 ⚽
16'
F
Sam Sarver
1 ⚽
16'
F
25
Sebastien Ibeagha
28'
D
Sebastien Ibeagha
28'
D
Best on the pitch
Sam Sarver
F · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Osaze Urhoghide
D · FC
7.50
· 30 pass
Petar Musa
F · FC
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
Ran Binyamin
M · FC
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 34 pass
D · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 45 pass
N. Norris
D · FC
7.30
· 32 pass
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 57% | — | — | — | |
| Dylan Nealis | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 90 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mina | D | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Emil Forsberg | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 69 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Ronald Donkor | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hall | F | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Cade Cowell | F | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. M. Choupo-Moting | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | D | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohammed Sofo | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Mosquera | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
FC Dallas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Collodi | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Norris | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Osaze Urhoghide | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| Ran Binyamin | M | 68 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Ramiro | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Johansson | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Moreno | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Petar Musa | F | 68 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Valiente | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Cappis | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Logan Farrington | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sam Sarver | F | 16 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 0–2 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 27% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 25% to a draw, and 46% to an FC Dallas win.